Guide Metallographer:2.28Today's gold trend analysis shows that the risk of gold decline is still high

　　goldMessage interpretation:


　　基本面上，黄金依旧利空消息不断，短期下跌风险仍较大。


　　上周五公布的美国1月消费者支出，创造最近两年来最大增幅，核心PCE物价指数月率上涨0.6%，，创造去年8月以来最大涨幅，核心PCE物价指数年率，也从去年12Of4.6%，攀升至今年1Of4.7%。PCE数据显示美国通胀加速，美联储在控制通胀的道路上还有更多工作要做，这加剧了市场对美联储在今年夏季继续加息的担忧。


　　PCE数据公布之后，美联储官员也继续发表鹰派讲话。梅斯特表示，最新一轮美国强劲的通胀数据，提醒美联储仍然需要进一步加息；杰斐逊表示，美联储正在迅速且有力的应对通胀；柯林斯表示，美联储需要继续加息，以遏制过高的通胀。受强劲的PCE数据与美联储鹰派讲话影响，美元刷新最近两个多月的次高，十年期美债收益率刷新三个月新高，这对黄金构成较大压力。


Today's Focus Data:


　　18:00eurozone2Monthly Industrial and Economic Prosperity Index


　　18:00eurozone2Final value of monthly consumer confidence index


　　21:30Canadian Q4 Current Account


　　21:30U.S.A1Monthly rate of durable goods orders


　　23:00U.S.A1Monthly rate of contracted sales index for completed housing


　　23:30U.S.A2Dallas Fed Business Activity Index for the Month


　　23:30Federal Reserve Director Jefferson delivers a speech


Technical analysis of gold:


Gold bottomed out last Friday1818After a significant increase in the vicinity, after repeatedly adjusting the upward test pressure level at the beginning of last week, multiple tests were conducted1845-47The pressure level at this position has repeatedly started to run downwards after multiple tests without breaking, and the high and low points have also decreased accordingly. It will be stepped back on Thursday1817After the first line, it went through the cycle again and fell below on Friday after the cycle1817-18After this short-term low point, inertia plummeted and briefly touched in the evening1808On the front line, the daily trend of four consecutive bearish and weak declines has begun to test the strong platform support at the end of last year1800In the short term, with the gradual release of bearish positions, it will be difficult to have a significant decline in the short term if there is no further downward trend on Monday. It is necessary to accumulate momentum after repeated periods and add pressure on the fundamentals in order to have the space and momentum to continue the downward trend. Please pay attention to the above1820Strong pressure nearby.


At present, the weakness in gold consolidation will continue, and the gold operation strategy at the beginning of this week is still mainly based on high-altitude thinking. Please pay attention to it below1790Nearby support breaking situation, short-term operation approaching1790Not chasing short positions nearby is not a reason to go long. It is necessary to make a decision based on the current market situation. Before there is a special form of reverse drawing, we will still operate around the bearish mentality, and gold will close1810Nearby, so after the opening, we can start by reverse drawing and lay out empty orders, while the pressure above will also maintain the top and bottom conversion in the early stage1818-1820On the front line, this position can also serve as a short-term bullish/bearish watershed position. If we break through this position in the later stage of backtracking, we still need to consider whether there is a possibility of bullish backtracking, and the support below will also be maintained at an integer level1800On the front line, we can also try to make a short-term and long-term goal1815-18Nearby, it should be noted that this week is not a non farm week and is likely to be in a volatile mode. We are cautious in chasing gains and killing losses. Overall, today's gold short-term operation strategy is guided by the guidance of gold analysts, who suggest a rebound and short selling as the main approach, supplemented by a pullback and long selling. The short-term focus should be on the upper part1817-1820Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1800-1805Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


　　今日黄金操作策略参考：


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1820-1822Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1810-1805Nearby, break down and take a look1800frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1803-1805Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1810-1815Nearby, break down and take a look1820frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


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Solid Harvest Operation Plan:


　　1、5000The US dollar mini position is operated with a stable and conservative approach, with an expected return point of50%above


　　2、1-3A standard position of 10000 US dollars, operated through a combination of medium and short term operations, with expected revenue potential70%above


　　3、8Senior positions above $10000, supplemented by short-term and medium-term positions, with long-term positions as the main focus, with expected revenue potential90%above