Tao Hongda:2.23The latest trend of gold price and online guidance of crude oil trend analysis

　　goldTrend analysis:

One,Fundamentals:本周市场关注的焦点将是联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)将于周三凌晨发布的1月会议纪要，近期强劲的美国经济数据提高了市场对美联储后期将进一步加息的押注。货币市场参与者认为指标利率将在7Monthly5.3%的峰值，且全年将保持在这种水平附近。另外，美国国内生产总值(GDP)数据将于周四公布，核心个人消费支出(PCE)物价指数将于周五公布。企业活动反弹与最近强劲的零售销售、劳动力市场和制造业产出数据相一致，这些数据表明今年年初经济增长势头强劲。昨日发布的PMI数据显示，美国经济的很大一部分仍证明比预期更有韧性，特别是服务业，但住房市场仍面临挑战，成屋销售意外下降就是证明。

　　目前来看，美国经济的领先指标和滞后指标不一致，前者显示经济衰退仍迫在眉睫，后者指出需求仍稳固。这可能会使美联储保持谨慎，并提高更激进加息的门槛。

II,Technical aspect:从上图黄金30分钟走势图来看，黄金上周五在1830附近拉出了一根上涨标K，为后市的行情上行奠定了上涨基调，本周截至目前，黄金2次走回落，但均在1830附近获得企稳并反弹，这表明黄金上周五的向上突破是有效的。目前由该标K指引的多头走势节奏仍然正常，后市继续看涨的概率仍然很大，故日内操作可尝试继续以1830作为支撑博弈多单，目标看1846Near.

Operation suggestions:1830.0Attempt to short and stop loss nearby1838.0, Objective1822.0、1816.0附近。实时行情盘中指导。

　　crude oilTrend analysis:

Crude oil rebounded slightly on the previous trading day and closed at a small bullish line. After a slight rebound in the daily trend of crude oil and reaching near the early pressure zone, it has basically completed the repair of its technical form. CurrentlyKThe short-term moving average may still have room to continue to decline in the daily trend, as the line continues to bear pressure. There are signs of starting to break out of the arc top after continuous high level horizontal trading on the hourly level trend, and the technical form is gradually repairing and completing. The tendency is for crude oil to continue its downward trend in the short term.

Operation suggestions:75.3-4Near empty, stop loss76.1, Objective74.5-73。 Real time market in session guidance.