Guide Metallographer:2.23Today's Gold Trend Analysis, Expectations for Fed Rate hikes Continuously Fermented

Market Review:


InternationalgoldWednesday(2month22day)Close down again, opening price1838.62dollar/Ounces, highest price1845.83dollar/Ounces, lowest price1831.14dollar/Ounces, closing price1835.84dollar/ounce.


Interpretation of the Golden News:


　　周四凌晨公布的美联储货币政策会议纪要显示，几乎所有官员都看到了放缓加息步伐的好处。在上次会议上，几乎所有美联储官员都支持加息25个基点。美联储认为上行通胀风险是影响前景的关键因素。“少数”官员支持或可能支持加息50个基点。在讨论当前经济状况时，与会者指出，最近的指标显示支出和生产出现温和增长。尽管如此，最近几个月就业增长强劲，失业率保持在较低水平。通货膨胀有所缓解，但仍处于高位。与会者认识到，俄乌冲突正在造成巨大的经济困难，并加剧了全球的不确定性。在此背景下，与会者继续高度关注通胀风险。美联储官员认为美国经济今年有可能出现衰退。由于通货膨胀率仍远高于委员会2%的长期目标，与会者一致认为通货膨胀率高得不可接受。一些与会者认为，通胀上升的成本对低收入家庭来说尤其高。与会者指出，过去3个月收到的通胀数据显示，月度价格涨幅出现可喜的放缓，但强调，要确信通胀正处于持续下行道路上，还需要更多证据表明，在更广泛的价格区间获得进展。与会者一致认为，劳动力市场仍然非常紧张，并评估劳动力需求大大超过了可用劳动力的供应。与会者指出，去年12月失业率已回到历史低位，职位空缺仍处于高位，工资增长仍保持高位。几位与会者指出，在一些大型科技企业近期裁员之前，前几年的劳动力增长幅度要大得多，他们认为，近期的企业裁员似乎并没有反映劳动力需求的普遍疲软。


　　美联储官员威廉姆斯表示，坚持有具体数字的通胀目标是至关重要的。需求超过了供给，劳动力市场异常强劲。尽管商品价格在过去几个月里有所下降，但有迹象表明，这种下降可能不会像预期的那样快。2％的通胀目标是政策制定的关键。


　　圣路易斯联储主席布拉德重申5.25%-5.5%的政策利率足以完成抗通胀的任务，并主张加快这场战斗的步伐。


　　分析称，美联储提出了“少数”与会者赞成加息50个基点，但我认为“少数”可能意味着不只是梅斯特和布拉德。我认为本次会议纪要比预期的更为鹰派，而且请记住，1Month in the United StatesCPI数据并没有让他们感到十分满意，因此预计今后他们甚至可能变得更加鹰派。


The world's largest goldETF--SPDR Gold TrustPosition decrease compared to the previous day0.86Tons, current position is919.06Tons.


According toCMEFederal Reserve Observation: The Federal Reserve3Monthly interest rate increase25Bps to4.75%-5.00%The probability of the interval is73.0%Interest rate hike50Bps to5.00%-5.25%The probability of the interval is27.0%； reach5Monthly cumulative interest rate increase25The probability of a basis point is0%Accumulated interest rate increase50The probability of a basis point is72.7%Accumulated interest rate increase75Bps to5.25%-5.50%The probability of the interval is27.2%Accumulated interest rate increase100Bps to5.50%-5.75%The probability of the interval is0.1%。


Today's Focus Data:


　　18:00eurozone1monthCPIAnnual rate final value and monthly rate


　　19:00britain2monthCBIRetail sales difference


　　21:30From the United States to2month18Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week


　　21:30US Q4 ActualGDPRevised value of annualized quarterly rate


Technical analysis of gold:


From the daily chart of gold, the short-term technical outlook for gold prices remains more or less unchanged, as gold prices enter a bearish consolidation stage. along with14Daily Relative strength index(RSI)Sending a bearish signal, a downward break in gold prices looks more likely. After the release of the Federal Reserve minutes in the early morning, it quickly fell, hitting1823Nearby, various performances have also raised our expectations for future bearish positions. In the short term, gold has been constantly trapped in a cycle of range fluctuations, which is likely to meet our expectations. The correction after the second decline of bearish positions, and the current pressure above gold will also be maintained1840frontline.


Gold is currently maintaining a broad range of low levels in the daily trend, and the current range has been temporarily compressed1820-1845between. But in the4On the trend of hourly levelKLine drop below early stage1835After the support of the joint row in the area, the market began to come under pressure and the short-term moving average remained weak. However, there were signs of slowing down in the trend of small-scale cycles, and the technical form showed signs of gradually repairing. There may be some room for rebound and repair in the short-term trend. Intraday gold is still a short-term reference point at the high and low points of the above two trading days, and the upper part of the day should pay attention to1835The situation of nearby suppression is currently continuing the weak downward trend at the daily level. As the daily decline suppressed yesterday, today1835Rebound is obstructed, so in terms of operation1835Consider following the sky when rebounding below; Below, for the continuation of weekly level trends, attention needs to be paid below1818Last week's low level, if it continues to break, then there should be further testing in the future1800Pass, but this belongs to the trend of continuing downward trend, pay attention to below1818On the first line of support, there has been no substantial breakthrough. Just maintain the short-term reference of high selling and low buying in the interval. Overall, in today's gold short-term operation guidelines, gold analysts suggest a pullback and long selling as the main approach, supplemented by a rebound and short selling, with a focus on short-term trading above1835-1838Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1818-1820Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


　　2.23Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1835-1837Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1825-1820Nearby, break down and take a look1818frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1818-1820Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1825-1830Nearby, break down and take a look1835frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Free benefits within the technical guidance group:The market is constantly changing every day,We have a strong analysis team, and every order we make is carefully considered and judged,To ensure that every order can be profitable and eliminated!Two to three orders per day do not require overnight prosperity,Just ask for the safety of falling into the bag!Profit is very high,I scored nine points alone,One point depends on luck,Eight points rely on strength!One or two days is luck,What about that week?Two weeks?Whether it is within the circle or in a group strategy,Or major financial websites,Team teachers are all current price lists!Daily analysis team technical guidance group, real-time announcement of daily market trends and push notifications,Real time current price list: Each entry is reasonable, evidence-based, publicly available, and can be accessed for free for group experience and inspection!


　　(Add Guide Gold Master（WX:zns83721 QQ:3096653915）After,Free application for direct group experience. Daily current price3-5single)I solemnly promise to add my friend to the guide's gold teacher,Just let me shout if you want me to,I can also tell you the correct single making techniques and mentality,Various solutions for lock orders. This is the key to turning your losses into profits!


Free benefits within the technical guidance group:


① Daily updates:Market trends and intraday reminders,Opportunities for warehouse building.


② Featured columns:Private Q&A,solution τ,Analyze the trend of the day.


③ Welfare delivery:Golden Short Line Opportunity Layout,Continuous tracking(Band opening)。


④ New fan benefits:Trading tactics《KThe King of Online Trading,Teach you how to do a good job in the short term