Guide Metallographer:2.21Analysis of today's gold trend, low volatility of gold, fundamentals...

　　goldMessage interpretation:


In terms of news, the current market focus is mainly on Wednesday's Federal Reserve meeting minutes, and in addition, on Friday's release of the US1monthPCEData is also very important, considering that in recent times, Federal Reserve officials have frequently made hawkish speeches, and the United States1monthCPIAndPPIThe data increase also exceeded expectations, and the meeting minutes are consistent withPCEThe possibility of data bearish gold prices is relatively high.


We should also pay attention to the impact of the geopolitical situation on gold. It has been a year since the conflict between Russia-Ukraine conflict. On Monday, US President Biden unexpectedly appeared in Kiev, supported Ukraine, and brought a new wave of aid. On Tuesday, Putin will make an important speech, proposing the goal of the second year of the war, which may cause market risk aversion and support the gold price.


Overall, the rebound of gold has been hindered, indicating that the upward selling pressure is still strong, and the main technical indicators are still pointing downwards, with a technical bias towards the bearish side. In terms of news, the market expects the Federal Reserve to further raise interest rates and maintain high interest rates for a longer period of time, still suppressing gold prices. What needs attention is the unexpected impact of the latest progress of the Russia-Ukraine conflict.


Today's Focus Data:


　　15:00Switzerland1Monthly trade account


　　16:15France2Monthly manufacturing industryPMIinitial value


　　16:30Germany2Monthly manufacturing industryPMIinitial value


　　17:00eurozone2Monthly manufacturing industryPMIinitial value


　　17:30britain2Monthly manufacturing and service industryPMI


　　18:00Germany2monthZEWEconomic Sentiment Index


　　18:00eurozone2monthZEWEconomic Sentiment Index


　　19:00britain2monthCBIIndustrial order difference


　　21:30Canada1monthCPIMonthly rate


　　21:30Canada12Monthly retail sales rate


　　22:45U.S.A2monthMarkitmanufacturingPMIinitial value


　　22:45U.S.A2monthMarkitService industryPMIinitial value


　　23:00U.S.A1Annualized total monthly housing sales


Technical analysis of gold:


Trading was light on Monday, and the US market is closed for the President's Day holiday. Gold continued its strong trend of late Friday trading yesterday, continuing to fluctuate and rise, with a high point measuring pressure to1847On the first line, although the overall bullish expectation is retained, there is limited space, indicating that the short-term market is only a technical rebound and does not necessarily change the bearish expectation of the midline trend. From the trend of the intraday hourly chart, the upper part is1847There is pressure on the front line, and this position belongs to the daily level60From the daily pressure level, it can be seen that the short-term trend is still based on technical trends.


Currently, gold is60Daily line1845The first line is blocked, but the market on the hour chart is more inclined towards the small level head, shoulder, bottom, and neck positions that are expected to be under pressure1845Under pressure on the front line, a pullback adjustment is technically necessary, but currently the short-term bullish sentiment in the market is relatively strong, so there may not be much room for a pullback. It was originally expected that the top, bottom, and right shoulder positions would be1835-30Regional, but after digesting the high volatility of the intraday market, there may be a rise in the right shoulder. Pay attention to the following1834Frontline support testing can consider this position as an ideal retreat position. Overall, in today's gold short-term operation guidelines, gold analysts suggest a pullback and long selling as the main approach, supplemented by a rebound and short selling, with a focus on short-term trading above1850-1855Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1830-1835Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


　　2.21Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1850-1855Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1845-1840Nearby, break down and take a look1835frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1837-1839Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1845-1850Nearby, break down and take a look1855frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


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Solid Harvest Operation Plan:


　　1、5000The US dollar mini position is operated with a stable and conservative approach, with an expected return point of50%above


　　2、1-3A standard position of 10000 US dollars, operated through a combination of medium and short term operations, with expected revenue potential70%above


　　3、8Senior positions above $10000, supplemented by short-term and medium-term positions, with long-term positions as the main focus, with expected revenue potential90%above