Tao Hongda:2.20Gold trend down, European market1850Suggestions for pressure short selling with crude oil operation

　　【goldMarket Trend Analysis

　　黄金上周呈现的都是弱势，没有大级别的企稳，拉升都是昙花一现，这是弱势的体现。金价的洗盘，由于拉升，但缺少企稳，就造成了市场洗盘的走势。黄金在日线走势上跌破前期的低位震荡区间之后继续承压短周期均线走偏弱运行，日内在触及到前期日线1820After a small rebound near the support belt in the area, pay attention to the strength of the rebound at this position on the daily line. On the daily trend, prices have fallen below the previous low volatility range and are currently under pressure1840After a continuous decline, there are signs of starting to stabilize slightly, and there may be some room for rebound and repair in the short-term trend.

　　隔夜受1845Suppressed, and there is a compression shape at the top. The original plan was to reverse extract the channel pressure (move down)1842）再继续看跌，但无奈价格直接走了连跌，丝毫不给反抽机会； 根据通道下轨指引，首要支撑在1817-18On the front line, there are certain signs of rebound here, and whether there can be expansion and correction depends on whether we can stand on it10The moving average is the only way to have a chance to touch the middle track1831-32and66Daily moving average1838-40，也是继续顺势看跌的两个参考点；既然通道明显失守，则逢高继续看跌下去；日线走势上，空头继续形成延续，而且从日KIt can be seen that after each adjustment, the gold price will form a drop that breaks through the previous low. Currently, there is no sign of a stop in the daily decline. The conditions for the daily line to contain the stop in the decline are either a strong positive to regain the previous negative, or a continuous positive to stop the decline, so the daily line still has a trend of continued decline; In the short term, yesterday1818一线形成支撑，金价连续低位震荡后美盘小幅反弹拉升。综合来看，黄金今日短线操作思路上陶泓达建议以反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注1852-1857Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1820-1818Frontline support.

　　【黄金今日策略】

Suggest a rebound1850-1853Short selling in batches on the first line, stop loss1856Look at the target below1840-35frontline;

Suggest stepping back1833-1830Long on the front line in batches, stop loss1827On the target1845-48frontline;

　　【crude oilMessage Analysis

　　周五，2month17日，美原油震荡大幅走弱，目前交投于76附近，随着美国经济数据表现强劲，美联储官员多次发表鹰派讲话，市场提升了美联储的终端利率预期，市场风险偏好明显降温，全球股市普遍承压，而美元持续走高，对油价形成打压，且美国公布的API数据也显示原油库存大幅增加，国际能源署(IEA)stayOPEC预测称，全球原油供需平衡可能会迅速转向短缺，上调了需求前景，而沙特能源大臣阿卜杜勒阿齐兹亲王表示，他对中国的需求预测仍持谨慎态度，这打击了多头士气，且OPEC+年内将坚持20010000 barrels/日减产政策，频繁的相冲的数据也导致了上周原油也是在走过山车的行情。

　　【原油今日行情走势分析】

　　技术面来看，油价多次反弹受阻后，今日单边下跌，连续下破78-76内的所有支撑，当前来看，今晚不要期待过大的反抽，日线10average77基本有效破位，看空信号有所增加，需要提防油价短线的进一步下行风险。而小时线走势方面，10average77附近位置多空转换下，已经是今晚的压制点了，没有站稳上面之前，不要盲目的抄底了，以空头思路对待，综合来看，原油今日短线操作思路上陶泓达议以反弹高空为主，回调低多为辅，上方短期关注77-78Frontline resistance, short-term focus below75-74Frontline support.