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Gold closed lower against the US dollar on Friday, due to the impact of the overall strength of the US dollar and bond yields after the hawkish remarks made by the Federal Reserve officials, and then closed higher after the shock1841.96Near.
In terms of bad data 1. Inflation data is still high: the United States on TuesdayCPIData display,1monthCPIThe inflation is still accelerating, and the inflation stickiness shows that the Federal Reserve is far from the time to suspend the interest rate increase. The market now expects that the federal funds rate will be7Monthly5.28%The peak value will remain at5%above. 2. 美联储加息意识抬头：上周四克利夫兰联储主席 梅斯特 和圣路易斯联储主席 Brad 表示，通胀仍然过高且风险偏向上行，货币政策需要保持紧缩，暗示终端利率可能远高于5%。美联储本月初或许本应该以更大幅度加息。他们警告表示，进一步加息对于将通胀率降至理想水平至关重要。原本预计美国经济面临硬着陆，将迫使美联储放松鹰派姿态。但现在看来该情景不太可能发生，一连串红火的数据提高了市场对美联储继续加息的预期，并推动资金流出黄金。 3. 美国经济及就业数据强劲：基于上周三的数据显示美国零售销售激增、隔日1月生产者物价增幅创七个月最大及上周初请失业金人数意外下降情况下，CMC MarketsMarket analyst forTina Teng表示，从最近的数据表现来看，美国经济仍然健康，似乎不会很快进入衰退，市场定价正反映出高利率将维持更长时间的前景。
Press from above(Upper resistance) 1841.90，1843.20； From the downward direction, the lower support1839.60。
CPT MarketsRisk Tips and Disclaimers : The above article content is for reference only and is not intended as future investment advice.CPT Markets The articles published are mainly based on international financial data reports and international news as reference.
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