指南金师：今日黄金走势分析，多重数据打击，金价短期...

　　goldMessage interpretation:


　　美国劳工部周四报告称，衡量原材料在公开市场上的价格的生产者价格指数(PPI)1Monthly increase0.7%, set a record since last year6月以来的最大涨幅。继去年12Falling at the end of the month0.2%后，道琼斯调查的经济学家原本预期会上涨0.4%。剔除食品和能源的核心PPIrise0.5%，预期为上涨0.3%。虽然PPI不像其他一些通胀指标那样受到密切关注，但它可以成为领先指标，因为它衡量生产商在公开市场上获得的第一个价格。PPI上涨恰逢1Monthly Consumer Price Index(CPI)rise0.5%，该指数衡量消费者为商品和服务支付的价格。总之，这些指标表明，虽然随着2022年的结束，通货膨胀似乎正在消退，但它在新的一年开始时却出现了暴涨。经济学家将1月份的通胀上升主要归因于一些季节性因素，以及前几个月更为温和的上涨之后的反弹。反常的暖冬也可能起到了一定的作用，而波动较大的燃料价格在当月也出现了上涨。总而言之，这份PPI数据表明美国的通胀压力将比想象的更加持久。


　　在周四的其他经济数据中，美国劳工部报告称，初请失业金人数小幅下降1000Person to19.4万人，低于道琼斯估计的20万人。最近的初请数据几乎保持稳定，并处于历史低位，这是劳动力市场持续紧张的一个迹象。最近的其他经济指标也表明，经济几乎没有放缓的迹象。所以尽管通货膨胀继续缓解，但它仍然处于高位，远远高于美联储2%的目标，这也表明美联储主席鲍威尔的工作还远未结束。克利夫兰联储主席梅斯特周四上午在一次讲话中表示,她希望美联储在1月份的上一次利率委员会会议上表现得更加激进,即美联储需要将基准利率维持在5%以上并维持一段时间，以控制通胀。在PPI等经济数据出炉以及梅斯特发表讲话后，美国国债收益率上升。美国10年期国债收益率升至3.84％，为去年12month30日以来最高水平。美元利率的继续上行且高位停留时间比预期加强，无疑将对黄金施以重重压力。近期应主防黄金的下行风险，留意1800整数心里关口的支撑。短线或会出现超卖调整行情，但现阶段黄金的重新上行似乎较为困难。


Today's Focus Data:


　　15:00Germany1monthPPIMonthly rate


　　15:00britain1Monthly retail sales rate after quarterly adjustment


　　15:45France1monthCPIMonthly rate


　　17:00eurozone12Monthly adjusted current account


　　21:30U.S.A1Monthly Import Price Index Monthly Rate


　　21:30Federal Reserve Barkin delivers a speech


　　23:00U.S.A1Monthly consultation chamber leading indicator monthly rate


Technical analysis of gold:


Yesterday's overall pressure on gold technology1845Narrow amplitude oscillation operation at the low level of the checkpoint, small amplitude surge of the European market encountered resistance1845The first line of rapid decline and decline, with prices piercing down and piercing at night1830Arrival at the checkpoint1827Nearby, the price fluctuated again and rebounded, although it rose out of strong strength and reached a deep bottom in the early morningvRebound second touch1845The checkpoint did not settle at this position at the end of the day, and the roller coaster eventually fell back to1835Nearby report on the oscillating crossk,The overall price continues to fluctuate in a long and short range, washing and sawing, and suppressing the operation1845Below, it will be crucial for today's trend, with yesterday's low point1827We are currently in the key support zone for the starting point and rising point of the daily level conversion in the early stage. If the European market can further stabilize today1827-25The level rebounds upwards and stands firm1840It is expected that there will be a daily level rebound in the market above, otherwise, if further suppression is carried out1840Below the checkpoint, there will be further volatility and a continuation of bearish weakness, with gold falling below the previous volatility range on the daily lineKThe short-term moving average has maintained a weak downward trend under continuous pressure, and a small rebound within the day has just completed the technical form repair. There is a high probability that there is still room for further downward movement in the daily trend;


　　4During the continuation of the downward wave pattern in the hourly chart, there is no trend of a downward trend, a rebound, and a closing trend in the short term. It is not urgent to look at the bottom to stop the decline, as the formation of the trend takes time. Slow decline is also a decline, with short-term gains not regaining the previous day's high1845Previously, we maintained a weak and volatile downward trend. at present4The hour is in the second wave of decline and will fall back towards the thousand eight level, but the closer it approaches the thousand eight level, the greater the frequency of short-term repeated sawing. Choose a high altitude during the rebound, and promptly drop the bag after lowering.1Hour chart and30The minute chart shows distinct highs and lows, with two distinct1845Nearby under pressure, this position is the critical point for short selling in small cycles and will not stand today1845Still looking down. The short-term trend continues to be weaker as the hour level trend begins to break out of the previous low volatility range. Reference for today's operation1838Nearby empty order opportunities. The weekly closing may exacerbate the frequency of fluctuations. Overall, today's gold short-term operation strategy is guided by the guidance of gold analysts, who suggest that the main focus is to rebound and short, supplemented by a pullback and long, with a focus on the short-term above1843-1845Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1810-1800Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


　　2.17Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1838-1840Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1825-1815Nearby, break down and take a look1808frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1808-1810Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1820-1825Nearby, break down and take a look1830frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


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Solid Harvest Operation Plan:


　　1、5000The US dollar mini position is operated with a stable and conservative approach, with an expected return point of50%above


　　2、1-3A standard position of 10000 US dollars, operated through a combination of medium and short term operations, with expected revenue potential70%above


　　3、8Senior positions above $10000, supplemented by short-term and medium-term positions, with long-term positions as the main focus, with expected revenue potential90%above