Analysis of crude oil news: Thursday(2month16day),国际油价上涨,因全球最大石油进口国中国燃料需求强劲复苏的希望抵消了美元走强和美国原油库存大量增加带来的卖压。国际能源署此前警告称,全球原油供需平衡可能会迅速转向短缺。分析师表示:“欧佩克和国际能源署对中国需求前景均持乐观态度,抵消了美国庞大石油库存带来的卖压,但我认为目前还没有更多上涨空间。”市场分析师表示,油价预计将在窄幅区间内摆荡,夹在分歧的供需动能之间。虽然美国产量稳步上升,库存不断膨胀,加上美元广泛回升,对油价起到了利空作用,但中国需求强劲复苏的说法和与俄罗斯有关的减产前景仍在抬高油价。
原油技术面分析:原油日线级别震荡;MACDGolden fork,KDJ金叉,虽然之前油价在100日均线附近受阻后回落,但10日均线给油价提供了较好的支撑,连续两个交易日探底回升后,油价有望延续72.24以来的涨势,初步阻力在周二高点79.60Nearby, then80整数关口,较强的阻力在100Daily moving average81.04附近,若能顶破该阻力,则增加短线看涨信号;进一步阻力在1month23Daily high point82.61Nearby,12month1Resistance to daily highs83.31附近。下方初步支撑在日内低点78.40Nearby,10The daily moving average is supported by77.69附近,隔夜低点支撑在77.24附近,若意外失守该支撑,则增加短线看空信号;进一步支撑在2month9Daily low point76.51附近。综合来看,原油今日短线操作思路上宋奕洋建议以回踩低多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期关注80.3-80.8Frontline resistance, short-term focus below77.7-77.2Frontline support.
原油最新策略:建议反弹79.6-80.0Short selling in batches on the first line, stop loss80.2Look at the target below78.5-78.0frontline;
Author/Song Yiyang
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