Tao Hongda:2.16Gold under pressure continued to rebound in the evening and crude oil trend analysis operation...

Thursday(2month16day)亚市早盘，美元指数保持在103.80左右，现货gold在昨日大跌之后徘徊在1835dollar/盎司附近。分析人士指出，受强劲的美国零售销售数据、美联储官员鹰派言论以及美国CPI数据刺激，美元周三大涨，并令金价遭遇重挫。从技术面来看，金价恐面临进一步大跌的风险，近期目标瞄准1800dollar/ounce.

　　美联储官员周二表示，美联储将需要继续逐步加息，并暗示在就业市场火爆的推动下，持续的物价压力可能会将借贷成本推高至他们此前的预期之上。黄金传统上被认为是一种通胀对冲工具，尽管利率上升会增加持有这种非收益资产的机会成本。美元指数上涨0.78%。美元走强使得以美元计价的金条对持有其他货币的买家的吸引力降低。美国1Monthly and quarterly adjustment coreCPIAnnual rate recorded5.6%, creating2021year12月以来最小增幅。受汽油和住房成本的推动，美国1After adjusting the roseCPIMonthly rate recorded0.5%, creating2022year6月以来最大增幅。显示出美国通胀的顽固，通胀尚未结束，这意味着利率将长期保持高位，这对金价构成压力。

Gold trend analysis:

Gold continued to decline on Wednesday, ending lower and rebounding1860Nearby under pressure, falling below1842Low point innovation, low to1830一带，弱势震荡下跌走法，边整理边修正式下跌。受累于美元走强及好于预期的美国经济数据引发对美联储可能进一步加息的担忧。黄金受挫。日线中阴线收低，继续保持调整格局。只有突破并站稳1850压力的情况下，黄金才会出现反转的可能，在此之前，日内那就顺势继续空，因势利导，顺势而为，依托压力位置继续空。

　　昨日金价在周二晚间的宽幅震荡洗盘后终于迎来弱势单边下行破底，亚盘小幅反抽承压1860The checkpoint continues to decline and continue to decline, further breaking through the previous day's low point in the afternoon1843Continuing a very weak downward trend on the first line, the US market was ultimately weak and sideways1831-1837Regional shock consolidation, dailykThe line closed lower and broke through the middle of the day, with the overall price finally experiencing a unilateral bearish downward trend after a wide range of fluctuations and saw saws the previous day, and the closing was suppressed1845-50Extremely weak operation below, short-term break1850The downward space at the checkpoint has been completely opened up, and today we will rely on the counterattack1850Front line defense continues to follow the trend, looking down from the main air, with the top pressure position1843-45Strong resistance suppression is also a weak watershed for recent bearish positions1850Pass, as long as the daily closing level fails to break through and stabilize1850关口，任何反抽均是做空机会。日内操作思路上建议反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅

Operation suggestions:

Golden advice1845Direct empty, stop loss1852target1835-30，

　　建议触及1850Continue to short and stop loss1857, Objective1840-1835。

　　crude oilTrend analysis:

　　油价周三小跌，受欧洲海运进口禁令和七国集团(G7)实施价格上限影响，俄罗斯产量将减少约10010000 barrels/Day.OPEC周二也提高了对全球石油需求增长的预测，并指出2023年市场将更加吃紧。昨日油价技术面整体维持低位窄幅震荡，亚欧盘价格不断震荡下行走弱，午后小幅加速向下试探并企稳77.5关口迎来震荡回升，晚间反抽承压78.7关口再度回落二次下跌，凌晨快速向下刺破77.2一线迎来震荡回升，收盘重回78.5上方报收探底回升长下引，连续两个交易日向下试探并企稳77.5关口迎来震荡回升。

　　日线级别震荡，MACDGolden fork,KDJ金叉，油价的回调受到了布林线中轨支撑，后市依然偏向多头，初步阻力在100Daily moving average81.01附近，若能顶破该阻力，则有望进一步涨向布林线上轨83.06附近，不过短期依旧面临80.3-80.5关口强阻压制，今日下方支撑关注昨日低点77.3-77.5Near, above pressure80.3-80.5区域，目前整体价格依旧围绕此区间宽幅震荡运行，日内操作思路上建议以反弹高空为主，回踩做多为辅。

Operation suggestions:

Suggestions80.3-80.5Short selling, stop loss81Target bit79-78.8，

Suggestions77.3-77.5Long, stop loss76.8Target bit78.5-79。