Guide Metallographer:2.16Today's gold trend analysis, beautiful economic data, interest rate increase forecast...

　　goldMessage interpretation:


　　昨天晚上美国公布了1Monthly retail sales rate recorded3%, for2021year3月以来最大增幅。这也再次表明：美国经济可能过热，通胀短期内难以下降。


　　另外，2Recorded by the New York Fed Manufacturing Index for the month-5.8Much higher than the previous value-32，也高于预期值，显示出经济的韧性十足。


　　另外昨天一条消息是，美联储副主席布雷纳德被提拔为白宫首席经济顾问。市场对此的普遍认知是美联储内部失去了一位大鸽派，以后的政策会变得更加鹰派。但个人并不这么认为，这次提拔显然是更加接近决策层了，后续白宫的政策也会多多参考布雷女士的建议，其实应该是更加鸽派才对。


　　对于之后空缺的美联储副主席一职，外媒报道称，白宫考虑让芝加哥联储主席古尔斯比接任美联储副主席，届时克利夫兰联储主席梅斯特将代行芝加哥联储的FOMC投票权，直至后者的领导空缺被填补。总之目前还都是放风阶段，能否真正转向还需要观察。


Today's Focus Data:


　　21:30From the United States to2month11Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week


　　21:30U.S.A1monthPPIAnnual and monthly rates


　　21:30U.S.A1Annualized total monthly construction of new houses


　　21:30U.S.A1Total monthly construction permits


　　21:30U.S.A2Monthly Philadelphia Federal Reserve Manufacturing Index


The next day02:30Fed Brad delivers a speech


Technical analysis of gold:


After a brief rebound yesterday, gold continued to decline and decline, with a slight drop below1830Nearby, overall decline within the day is close30The US dollar finally closed at a solid saturation negative line on the daily basis, falling below it throughout the day60Daily support. Gold continued to decline on Wednesday, ending lower and rebounding1860The checkpoint continues to decline and continue to decline, further breaking through the previous day's low point in the afternoon1843Continuing a very weak downward trend on the first line, the US market was ultimately weak and sideways1831-1837Regional shock consolidation, dailykThe line closed lower and broke through the middle of the day, with the overall price finally experiencing a unilateral bearish downward trend after a wide range of fluctuations and saw saws the previous day, and the closing was suppressed1845-50Extremely weak operation below, short-term break1850The downward space at the checkpoint has been completely opened up, and today we will rely on the counterattack1850Front line defense continues to follow the trend, looking down from the main air, with the top pressure position1843-45Strong resistance suppression is also a weak watershed for recent bearish positions1850Pass, as long as the daily closing level fails to break through and stabilize1850At the checkpoint, any backdraft is an opportunity to short, keeping the rhythm of the main empty position unchanged;


Combining with the trend of the hour chart, gold fell to1830After the first line, it has been basically in a low and narrow range of fluctuations, so it can only be used to stop the decline. The downward divergence of the hourly chart level moving average has further increased the market's bearish expectations, but currently gold has fallen to1830It is also expected that there will be a rebound with support, which is understandable. In the early trading session, gold experienced a rebound, but the expected rebound will not change the downward trend brought by yesterday's negative line, and its rebound space will be very limited. Above, focus on the low point of the previous wave of decline1843-45Nearby testing, and if combined with daily charts,1845Nearby is also the current60The daily line is in place, and yesterday the negative line fell through and fell below this level. It is reasonable to rebound from this level today to confirm the pressure. If this level is broken, the upper level should focus on it5Daily line1848-50Nearby pressure, if this position is also taken by the bulls, then the short term counterattack of the bulls can also form a trend. It is understandable for gold to see a rebound in the day, but the rebound amplitude will not be very large. Please pay attention to it above1844/45Nearby short pressure, high pressure above attention1848-50One area, still pay attention below1833-30Nearby support, but still retaining the market may expand the retreat space, to1825The possibility of a further decline in the vicinity still depends on the strength of the US index's rise. Overall, today's gold short-term operation strategy is guided by the guidance of gold analysts, who suggest that the main focus is to rebound and short, supplemented by a pullback and long, with a focus on the short-term above1850-1852Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1830-1825Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


　　2.16Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1848-1850Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1835-1830Nearby, break down and take a look1825frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1830-1832Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1840-1845Nearby, break down and take a look1850frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)