Guide Metallographer:2.15Today's gold trend analysis shows that gold continues to deviate from the bottom and weaken

　　goldMessage interpretation:


　　昨天晚上美国1monthCPI数据公布，年率录得6.4%Exceeding expectations6.20%, for consecutive7个月下降，创2021year10月以来最小增幅。美国1Monthly and quarterly adjustment coreCPIAnnual rate recorded5.6%, creating2021year12月以来最小增幅。受汽油和住房成本的推动，美国1After adjusting the roseCPIMonthly rate recorded0.5%, creating2022year6月以来最大增幅。显示出美国通胀的顽固，


　　数据后，FOMC三号人物，永久票委、纽约联储主席威廉姆斯表示，最近的数据支持进一步加息，且美联储尚未将利率调整到需要的水平，需要在一段时间内将利率维持限制性水平。另外，美联储有可能需要将利率提高到高于目前预期的水平，并可能会在24Year or25年降息。(这是首次有官员提及降息的时间表，可以认为是鸽派的论调)


　　另外，最新消息称，美国总统拜登计划将美联储“二把手”布雷纳德招入麾下，任命其为全美首席经济顾问。我们知道布雷纳德是联储的绝对鸽派，这次调任属于升职了，更加能够决定美国的政策制定，所以是否意味着美国的货币政策开始转向了呢？值得我们继续关注。


Tonight9点半，美国零售销售月率将公布，重点留意！


Today's Focus Data:


　　15:00britain1monthCPIMonthly rate of retail price index


　　18:00eurozone12Monthly adjusted trade account


　　18:00eurozone12Monthly industrial output rate


　　21:30Canada12Monthly wholesale sales rate


　　21:30U.S.A1Monthly retail sales rate


　　21:30U.S.A2New York Fed Manufacturing Index for the Month


　　22:00European Central Bank President Lagarde delivers a speech


　　22:15U.S.A1Monthly industrial output rate


　　23:00U.S.A2monthNAHBReal Estate Market Index


　　23:00U.S.A12Monthly commercial inventory rate


Technical analysis of gold:


Yesterday, the technical aspect of gold prices was in the eveningcpiUnder the data, there is a wide range of volatility and a big bearish wash, with prices revolving around1870-1843The market oscillated back and forth in a tug of war, eventually falling rapidly downwards in the early morning1850Continuing downward after the checkpoint1843Nearby stabilizing, fluctuating and rebounding, closing with a wide range of oscillating crosseskThe overall price rose, fell, and broke through the bottom, continuing the bullish and bearish oscillation rhythm. However, although there was a slight rebound at the close of yesterday morning, it still suppressed the opening and closing of the US market1868-1870Near the checkpoint, the overall price still suppresses the bearish form, and today's withdrawal relies on yesterday's opening of a falling position1868-1870The region continues to maintain its main bearish position and sees further volatility and decline, with short-term support below focusing on yesterday's low point1843-40Nearby, if the European market stabilizes at this position, it can be seen that the rebound will rebound again in a short period of time. Other positions with multiple orders will not participate, and the main empty space rhythm of the counter drawing will continue to remain unchanged;


From the daily chart, it can be seen thatKThe physical size of the line is not large, and it has entered a narrow range of consolidation rhythm. While consolidating and correcting, it accumulates momentum and moves downwards. However, every time a new low is reached in the short term, it will fall into oscillation, and the slow pace will fluctuate and fall. At present, in the hourly chart structure, the support below gold has once again broken through, and the market is still in a bearish rhythm. Therefore, the rebound will continue to be short selling. However, currently gold continues to maintain1850Based on the above analysis, the daily moving average system is still under pressure. Therefore, today's Guide to Finance suggests that it is still necessary to maintain a high-altitude mindset for operation, and the pressure above will continue to be maintained1865Area.


From4Looking at the hourly chart,4From the hourly chart, it can be seen that the price fluctuates slightly and runs weakly, with the opening of the Bollinger Bands,KDJThe indicators are expected to form a golden cross, but the overall price is currently weak, so we will continue to waitKDJAfter the indicator forms a golden cross, prices begin to rise. Gold is currently maintaining a narrow range of low volatility in its trend, and after completing a wave of market washing yesterdayKThe short-term moving average continues to operate under pressure, and there may be room for further downward movement in the daily trend. After continuous washing of the market in the short-term trend, it continues to maintain a low level of volatility. After continuous fluctuations in the hourly level trend, the technical form begins to gradually recover and complete. There may still be some room for rebound in the short-term trend, but the strength may not be too strong. Overall, today's gold short-term operation strategy is guided by the guidance of gold analysts, who suggest a rebound and short selling as the main approach, supplemented by a pullback and long selling. The short-term focus should be on the upper part1863-1865Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1840-1843Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


　　2.15Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1863-1865Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1855-1850Nearby, break down and take a look1845frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1843-1845Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1850-1855Nearby, break down and take a look1860frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


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