Guide Metallographer:2.15今日黄金走势分析，数据洗礼后黄金还得高空

　　goldMessage interpretation:


　　周二美国CPI数据公布后，黄金走势剧烈震荡。金价先是短线跳水近10美元，随后又快速反抽近20美元，刷新日内高点1870美元，之后再次承压，刷新一个月低点1843美元，然后企稳反弹至1865美元，又承压下跌至1843美元企稳，再一次反弹至1858美元，之后在1854美元附近横盘震荡，直到收盘。


　　黄金在周二整体呈现冲高回落，这与我们当天的分析基本一致。如当天文章所言，Wolfinance星级分析师指南金师认为，虽然CPI数据存在变数，但由于美联储在数据公布后，可能继续发表鹰派讲话，因此即便CPI数据可能支撑金价上涨，黄金也可能在之后冲高遇阻，重新面临下跌风险。这也是周二我们继续看空黄金的主要理由。


　　鉴于上述观点，我们连续第三天，建议大家操作上以反弹空为主，在周二给出了1863USD1872USD and1878美元三个看空压力位，对应的是数据公布后，黄金直接下跌、小幅反弹后下跌与较大幅度反弹后下跌这三种情况，金价则主要在1870USD and1865美元，出现了两次可观的下跌走势，两次下跌最低点都是1843美元，这里是周一黄金日线布林带下轨位置，也是我们当天的看空目标位置，布林带下轨在周二下行至1836美元，金价未能试探这里。


In terms of news, the United States1monthCPI数据同比上涨6.4%, month on month increase0.5%，均超出市场普遍预期，这反映出美国通胀仍存在较大不确定性，市场预期美联储需要继续加息以控制通胀，且在更长的时间里维持高利率，美联储官员也在数据公布之后，继续发表鹰派讲话，重申需要继续加息以遏制通胀，利率峰值取决于未来的经济数据。美联储可能进一步加息，以及在更长时间里维持高利率的预期，对金价构成较大压力。


Today's Focus Data:


　　15:00britain1monthCPIMonthly rate of retail price index


　　18:00eurozone12Monthly adjusted trade account


　　18:00eurozone12Monthly industrial output rate


　　21:30Canada12Monthly wholesale sales rate


　　21:30U.S.A1Monthly retail sales rate


　　21:30U.S.A2New York Fed Manufacturing Index for the Month


　　22:00European Central Bank President Lagarde delivers a speech


　　22:15U.S.A1Monthly industrial output rate


　　23:00U.S.A2monthNAHBReal Estate Market Index


　　23:00U.S.A12Monthly commercial inventory rate


Technical analysis of gold:


Yesterday, the technical aspect of gold prices was in the eveningcpiUnder the data, there is a wide range of volatility and a big bearish wash, with prices revolving around1870-1843The market oscillated back and forth in a tug of war, eventually falling rapidly downwards in the early morning1850Continuing downward after the checkpoint1843Nearby stabilizing, fluctuating and rebounding, closing with a wide range of oscillating crosseskThe overall price rose, fell, and broke through the bottom, continuing the bullish and bearish oscillation rhythm. However, although there was a slight rebound at the close of yesterday morning, it still suppressed the opening and closing of the US market1868-1870Near the checkpoint, the overall price still suppresses the bearish form, and today's withdrawal relies on yesterday's opening of a falling position1868-1870The region continues to maintain its main bearish position and sees further volatility and decline, with short-term support below focusing on yesterday's low point1843-40Nearby, if the European market stabilizes at this position, it can be seen that the rebound will rebound again in a short period of time. Other positions with multiple orders will not participate, and the main empty space rhythm of the counter drawing will continue to remain unchanged;


From the daily chart, it can be seen thatKThe physical size of the line is not large, and it has entered a narrow range of consolidation rhythm. While consolidating and correcting, it accumulates momentum and moves downwards. However, every time a new low is reached in the short term, it will fall into oscillation, and the slow pace will fluctuate and fall. At present, in the hourly chart structure, the support below gold has once again broken through, and the market is still in a bearish rhythm. Therefore, the rebound will continue to be short selling. However, currently gold continues to maintain1850Based on the above analysis, the daily moving average system is still under pressure. Therefore, today's Guide to Finance suggests that it is still necessary to maintain a high-altitude mindset for operation, and the pressure above will continue to be maintained1865Area.


From4Looking at the hourly chart,4From the hourly chart, it can be seen that the price fluctuates slightly and runs weakly, with the opening of the Bollinger Bands,KDJThe indicators are expected to form a golden cross, but the overall price is currently weak, so we will continue to waitKDJAfter the indicator forms a golden cross, prices begin to rise. Gold is currently maintaining a narrow range of low volatility in its trend, and after completing a wave of market washing yesterdayKThe short-term moving average continues to operate under pressure, and there may be room for further downward movement in the daily trend. After continuous washing of the market in the short-term trend, it continues to maintain a low level of volatility. After continuous fluctuations in the hourly level trend, the technical form begins to gradually recover and complete. There may still be some room for rebound in the short-term trend, but the strength may not be too strong. Overall, today's gold short-term operation strategy is guided by the guidance of gold analysts, who suggest a rebound and short selling as the main approach, supplemented by a pullback and long selling. The short-term focus should be on the upper part1863-1865Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1840-1843Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


　　2.15Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1863-1865Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1855-1850Nearby, break down and take a look1845frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1843-1845Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1850-1855Nearby, break down and take a look1860frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


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