Guide Metallographer:2.10今日黄金走势分析，金价冲高回落震荡收跌

Good tea is not afraid of fine taste, good deeds are not afraid of detailed discussion. Live fish will swim upstream, while dead fish will drift with the current. In the face of the market, it is the same. A hundred empty words are better than one action, precise strategy, than one execution. The most terrifying thing in the market is not the lack of market conditions, not the lack of opportunities, but the confusion. A person who doesn't know where to go, facing in any direction, is in the opposite direction, and the wind blowing in any direction will be in the opposite direction! Fate does not refuse, fate does not stay, and meeting and becoming friends in the vast sea of people is also a kind of fate. Buddha has a destiny, I have a heart! Guide Jinshi looks forward to becoming friends with you! The guide financier is willing to be your guide on the investment path, and even more willing to be your close friend! Strength building classic, success is not accidental


Market Review:


InternationalgoldThursday(2month9day)Volatile closing price1873.70dollar/Ounces, highest price1889.93dollar/Ounces, lowest price1871.83dollar/Ounces, closing price1874.00dollar/ounce.


Interpretation of the Golden News:


Thursday's announcement from the United States to2month4Record of initial claims for unemployment benefits for the current week19.610000 people, higher than market expectations1910000 people, the former value is18.310000 people.


　　评论称，上周美国初请失业金人数的增长超过预期，但仍处于与劳动力市场紧张相一致的水平。尽管科技行业以及对利率敏感的金融和房地产行业高调裁员，但初请失业金人数仍保持在较低水平。坊间证据显示，在疫情期间招聘遇到困难后，企业普遍不愿裁员。在一些行业，工人仍然稀缺。公布的数据显示，去年12月，每一个失业人员对应1.9个职位空缺。经济学家推测，遣散费推迟了申请失业救济的时间，而大量的职位空缺使下岗工人更容易找到新工作。他们还认为，季节性因素使申请人数保持在较低水平。Wrightson ICAPchief economist Lou Crandall表示，不过，他们确实预计，今年春季发布年度季调后数据时，初请失业金人数将被上修。


　　美联储官员巴尔金表示，虽然平均通胀率已经达到峰值，但下降幅度被一些商品扭曲了，中值“保持在高位”。通胀可能已过峰值，但仍处于高位，需求回落将需要更长的时间才能来进一步减缓价格上涨的步伐。美联储需要在控制通胀方面“坚持到底”。数据继续推低衰退风险。不能理所当然地认为过去三个月的通胀下降能持续，抗击通胀任重道远。


　　美国银行预计，美国1After adjusting the roseCPI月率可能从去年12Of the month-0.1%加速升至0.4%。这一前景很大程度上反映了汽油价格上涨推动能源价格环比增长2.0%的预期。他们预计未季调CPIThe annual rate will decrease from6.5%lower6.1%，未季调核心CPIThe annual rate will decrease from5.7%lower5.4%。二手车价格预计将再次推动核心CPI的下降，该行警告称，二手车价格的下跌可能很快就会结束。


The world's largest goldETF--SPDR Gold TrustPosition decrease compared to the previous day0.31Tons, current position is920.79Tons.


According toCMEFederal Reserve Observation: The Federal Reserve3Monthly interest rate increase25Bps to4.75%-5.00%The probability of the interval is90.8%Interest rate hike50Bps to5.00%-5.25%The probability of the interval is9.2%； reach5The probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged on a monthly basis is0.0%Accumulated interest rate increase25The probability of a basis point is22.0%Accumulated interest rate increase50The probability of a basis point is71.0%Accumulated interest rate increase75Bps to5.25%-5.50%The probability of the interval is7.0%。


Today's Focus Data:


　　15:00UK Q4GDPAnnual rate correction value


　　15:00britain12Three months in a monthGDPMonthly rate


　　15:00britain12Monthly manufacturing output rate


　　15:00britain12Commodity Trade Account after Monthly Adjustment


　　15:00britain12Monthly industrial output rate


　　21:30Canada1Monthly Employment Number


　　23:00U.S.A2Expected monthly and one-year inflation rate


　　23:00U.S.A2Initial monthly University of Michigan consumer confidence index


Technical analysis of gold:


Gold still maintains a consolidation and volatile operation. Today is the fourth trading day after the decline, and there is no sign of a breakthrough. The longer this volatility lasts, the greater the probability of a change in price. In this market, special attention should be paid to the operation. The originally expected change was originally based on a rebound correction, but the strength of the rebound is not enough and there are endless fluctuations, which is a problem. Therefore, If the oscillation time is too long, the space and strength of the rebound will be consumed. In the first three trading days of this week, we have moved up from low to high every day, but the upward movement is too small, and the positive line entity is also very small.


From the trend of these days, it can also be seen that during the day, although gold prices can rise to1880Above, but often when closing at night, it falls back again1880Below, a longer shadow line is left, which does not represent a strong bullish trend. Instead, it reflects a weak upward trend. Recently, the position where the daily line has been blocked and tested is also where gold prices have fallen below1618Since the rise23.6%After confirming the suppression of this position, the further downward target for gold prices is expected to be38.2%Callback bit1828On the front line, the long and short divide of the daily line is still at1920On the first line, it is expected to be difficult to return to this position in the short term. This is also the position of the double neckline, as long as it is maintained below this position, the downward trend of the daily line will not end yet.


FromMACDIn terms of indicators, after several days of volatility, the fast and slow lines have gradually approached the zero axis. Although there is still some distance, there is not much room, indicating that there is not much time left for the gold price to rebound and correct. In the past two days, it is necessary to focus on the end of the correction and the possibility of starting the downward trend. It is recommended to continue following in terms of operation1886-1890The suppression situation, while the unexpected situation focuses on strong resistance1900To suppress the situation, maintain a bearish mentality overall and pay attention to the possibility of a recent downward trend in the market. On the hourly chart, the current market is still operating within the expected downward relay channel, but the channel is more horizontal and the oscillation range is narrower, indicating that there is no choice between the long and short sides under the current stalemate. The reasons for this phenomenon are firstly due to the backlog of rebound demand for gold itself, and secondly, the current state of the US Index has also had a significant impact on gold. During the day, gold will continue to maintain a fluctuating range, but the risk of abnormal movements in gold will increase in the next two days.


Stay tuned above the intraday gold technology level1890Frontline competition, this position is still under the upward pressure of the current volatile range. Once the market breaks through and stabilizes above this level, short-term bulls are likely to take advantage of this opportunity to rise, and the top will continue to pay attention at that time1895-1900Belt pressure. During the day, focus first on the lower edge of the oscillation range1870-68There is a possibility that the market will directly break through this level during the zone testing. In response to my personal opinion in the future, the current trend of gold is entirely a consolidation and repair of the sharp decline in the previous super data week. However, it is important to note that there has been no significant rebound in the strength of this repair, proving that the power of gold bears has not been fully released, so I am still optimistic about gold's decline. Overall, today's gold short-term operation strategy is guided by the guidance of gold analysts, who suggest that the main focus is to rebound and short, supplemented by a pullback and long, with a focus on the short-term above1886-1890Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1860-1858Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


　　2.10Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1886-1888Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1875-1865Nearby, break down and take a look1860frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1860-1862Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1870-1875Nearby, break down and take a look1880frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


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Solid Harvest Operation Plan:


　　1、5000The US dollar mini position is operated with a stable and conservative approach, with an expected return point of50%above


　　2、1-3A standard position of 10000 US dollars, operated through a combination of medium and short term operations, with expected revenue potential70%above


　　3、8Senior positions above $10000, supplemented by short-term and medium-term positions, with long-term positions as the main focus, with expected revenue potential90%above