Market observation and technical analysis_20230113

US stock market and commodity market


On Wednesday, the US stock market rose further before the closely watched inflation data was released on Wednesday. Dow Jones Industrial Average rose268Point（+0.80%）To33,973Points, S&P500Index rise50Point（+1.28%）To3,969Point, NASDAQ100Index rise196Point（+1.76%）To11,402Points.


The market generally expects that,12The annual rate of inflation in the United States rose from11Of7.1%Further slowing to6.7%。


U.S.A10The yield of one-year treasury bonds fell9.1Bps to3.528%。


房地产（+3.6%）、零售业（+3.45%）和汽车（+3.1%）板块领涨大盘。


Tesla Tesla (TSLA) rise3.68%。据报道，这家电动汽车制造商已接近达成初步协议，将在印尼设立工厂，每年可生产多达100万辆汽车。


与此同时，其他电动汽车制造商 Rivian Automotive（RIVN）、蔚来汽车 NIO（NIO）And 路西德汽车 Lucid Group（LCID）分别上涨3.83%、2.4%and10.29%。


另外，苹果 Apple (AAPL) rise2.11%，亚马逊 Amazon.com (AMZN) rise5.81%，谷歌 Alphabet（GOOGL）攀升3.51%，微软 Microsoft (MSFT) rise3.02%。


欧洲股市也收高。 DAX 40Index rise1.17%，CAC 40Index rise0.80%，FTSE 100Index rise0.40%。


U.S.AWTIcrude oilfuturesrise2.50USD to per barrel77.61美元。美国能源部报告称，最新的原油库存增加了1,89610000 barrels (预期为减少22410000 barrels)。


金价变化不大，报每盎司1,876USD.


London Metal Exchange (LME) 基准铜价攀升至超过每吨9,000US dollars, from6月以来首次，皆因市场预期中国对铜的需求会出现反弹。


foreign exchangemarket

美元指数稳定在103.25Points.


euro/美元攀升23点子至1.0756, create again7A new high of months.


pound/美元下跌4点子，至1.2150。


dollar/日元增加20点子至132.46。


AUD/The dollar rose20点子至0.6909。今天上午，澳大利亚的数据显示，11月贸易顺差下降至113亿澳元（预期为109亿澳元），出口按月持平 (预期为下降1%)。


dollar/瑞郎上涨87点子至0.9314USD/加元微跌2点子至1.3424。


比特币呈四连涨，上升至17,900USD.


euro/dollar Within the day: Target is1.0800。

turning point:
1.0740

Trading strategy:
stay 1.0740 Above, bullish, target price is 1.0785 , and then 1.0800 。

Alternative strategies:
stay 1.0740 Next, look short. The target price is set at 1.0725 , and then 1.0710。

Technical comments:
RSITechnical indicators are bullish, with further room for improvement.
        
         
goldgoods in stock Within the day: Scalping (Within the day)Supporting position1867.00Near.

turning point:
1867.00

Trading strategy:
stay 1867.00 Above, bullish, target price is 1886.00 , and then 1892.00 。

Alternative strategies:
stay 1867.00 Next, look short. The target price is set at 1858.00 , and then 1850.00。

Technical comments:
Its immediate trend remains upward, but lacks momentum.

         
American crude oil (WTI)‎ futures (G3)‎ Within the day: 新一轮上升。

turning point:
76.40

Trading strategy:
stay 76.40 Above, bullish, target price is 78.40 , and then 79.40 。

Alternative strategies:
stay 76.40 Next, look short. The target price is set at 75.50 , and then 74.30。

Technical comments:
RSITechnical indicators run upward.


Bitcoin / Dollar Within the day: Bullish, when 17380 Is the support position.

The turning point is:
17380

Trading strategy:
Bullish, when 17380 Is the support position.

Alternative strategy:
If it falls below 17380 ，Bitcoin / Dollar Target orientation 17200 and 17090 。

Technical comments :
RSITechnical indicators exceed50。 MACDThe technical indicators are in a bullish state and Above its signal line. In addition, the price is higher than its20Days and50Daily moving average ( Located at 17434 and 17437 )。


香港恒生指数期货 Within the day: 新一轮上升。

turning point:
21600.00

Trading strategy:
stay 21600.00 Above, bullish, target price is 21910.00 , and then 22050.00 。

Alternative strategies:
stay 21600.00 Next, look short. The target price is set at 21450.00 , and then 21350.00。

Technical comments:
RSIThe technical indicators are bullish and there is a further upward trend.


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编辑：FXT