ATFX: Expectations have landed one after another, but the US stock market started a callback trend

“利多出尽是利空”的规律重现。周四超级央行日过后，美国三大stock market index集体收跌，跌幅介于2.25%to3.37%。 It is expected that the "Federal Reserve's first reduction of single interest rate increase", which supports the entry of funds in the early stage, will be implemented. A large number of funds will choose to take profits, and hot sectors such as technology, finance and biomedicine will be spared.

2023In the first quarter of, the Federal Reserve will have two interest rate resolutions1month26Day3month23Day, there is a greater probability of a single interest rate increase from50Base point reduced to25基点。相比今年上半年激进加息的状态，明年一季度的货币政策已相当宽松。美股受到的利多提振远未结束，昨日的集体下跌大概率是暂时现象，待回调充分后，道琼斯有可能在12月下旬至明年一季度刷新历史最高点。

美股市场当中机构投资者占比较高，所以“抱团取暖”是最可靠的选股思路。机构扎堆的个股往往呈现高市值、高股价的双重特征。以总市值来看，苹果公司以2.41万亿美元位列榜首，其次是微软、谷歌（A+C）、亚马逊、特斯拉。苹果最新价136.5美元、微软249.01美元、谷歌Aby90.86美元、亚马逊88.45美元、特斯拉157.67美元。以100元为筛选条件，微软、特斯拉、苹果三支个股最值得关注。

今年三季度，微软实现营收501.2100 million yuan, year-on-year growth10.6%，成长性一般。同期，特斯拉实现营收214.5100 million yuan, year-on-year growth55.95%，成长性较强。苹果实现营收总额901.5100 million yuan, year-on-year growth8.14%，在三支个股中成长性最低。优中选优，特斯拉虽然饱受争议，但持有价值仍是三者中最高。

2021year11月至今，特斯拉股价从400美元以上，跌至当下150美元左右，趋势为显著空头。最近两个月，虽然股票指数实现了大幅反弹，但特斯拉并未受到提振。虽然特斯拉长期前景看好，但现阶段或许并非布局良机。

ATFX分析师团队综合观点：美股的技术性回调不改趋势性多头，12月下旬至明年一季度有望再创新高。

*Risk Tips and Disclaimers*
There are risks in the market and investment should be cautious. The above contents only represent the views of analysts and do not constitute any operational recommendations.
2022-12-16