Guide Metallographer:11.11今日黄金走势分析，黄金逆转增强直至千八

　　gold消息面数据：


　　11month10日，贵金属行业的两位巨头表示，无论有意无意，美国政府和美联储通过利率和强势美元操纵金价的能力可能即将终结。


　　Fiore GroupofCEO、Lionsgate娱乐公司创始人、Aris Gold董事会特别顾问Frank GiustraandSprottagoCEO、Rule Investment Media现任总裁Rick Rule都认为，随着美元作为世界储备货币的主导地位不断受到挑战，黄金仍是一种重要的价值储存工具。


In theKitco News最新现场小组讨论中，GiustraandRule谈到了黄金市场操纵的争议问题。Giustra说，自上世纪70年代以来，美国一直一致努力控制金价，以确保美元成为世界储备货币的地位。


　　Giustra说：“美国的体系是建立在账面资产的基础上，要做到这一点，你需要至高无上的美元，而黄金阻碍了这一点。如果美元失去了最高储备货币的地位，那将是灾难性的，美元疲软是一种生存威胁。”


　　Rule称，他认为金价疲弱是美联储货币政策持续支撑美元的结果。不过，他补充说，他不认为全球合谋正在积极压制黄金市场。


　　然而，Rule也表示，目前美元在加息推动下走强的环境(而这反过来又给金价带来了压力)可能即将结束。随着美国应对巨额债务，美联储的加息空间即将用尽。他说：“政府通过利率操纵美元的能力即将结束。”他们无法通过不断大幅加息来抑制金价。


　　Giustra还表示，他怀疑美联储目前激进的紧缩周期即将结束。他说：“他们不能继续加息而不破坏整个体系。”


　　但这不仅仅是黄金市场。RuleandGiustra一致认为，美国在全球金融市场的主导地位正在开始减弱。Giustra说：“国际货币体系正在重新调整，这已经开始了。”Rule补充道：“各国别无选择，只能减少对美元的敞口，因为美元已经被武器化了。”


　　两位分析师都指出，各国开始将黄金视为美元的一种有价值的替代品。上周，世界黄金协会(WGC)报告称，各国央行在今年第三季度购买了近400吨黄金，这是自上世纪60年代以来最大的季度购买量。


　　Giustra指出，自2008年金融危机以来，各国央行实际上一直是黄金的净买家。他说：“为什么各国央行在过去12年里毫无理由地囤积黄金？”GiustraandRule都表示，在当前经济不确定性上升的环境下，现在是时候持有一些黄金作为保险政策了。Rule说：“有一些金子可以让我晚上睡得安稳。”


　　至于金价的走势，RuleandGiustra都表示，他们未必希望金价走高，因为那样会给全球经济健康描绘出黯淡的前景。Rule称：“金价升至1.5万美元将对经济产生巨大影响。”


Today's Gold Data:


　　15:00Germany10monthCPIMonthly rate final value


　　15:00UK Q3GDPAnnual rate correction value


　　15:00britain9Three months in a monthGDPMonthly rate


　　15:00britain9Monthly manufacturing output rate


　　15:00britain9Commodity Trade Account after Monthly Adjustment


　　15:00britain9Monthly industrial output rate


　　23:00U.S.A11Expected monthly and one-year inflation rate


　　23:00U.S.A11Initial monthly University of Michigan consumer confidence index


Technical analysis of gold:


Gold opened Thursday at1706.29dollar/Ounces, gold prices remain in a narrow range of fluctuations after opening, with the lowest point being1703Horizontal stabilization and oscillationCPIAfter the data was released, gold prices have skyrocketed and are currently standing at1750upper. The daily line is exploring again1615When the bottom picks up, it's straight from the1630Skyrocketing to1760In just one week, the increase has reached nearly150US dollars, as can be seen from this1615This bottom support is strong. Now the continuous giant Yang pull has successfully opened up the space on Bolin's orbit,MA5—MA10Moving Average Begins Golden Cross Momentum, Top High1730—1735The range also effectively broke through, and the next day the huge positive pull ended in1750Above all, bullish sentiment is very strong. The recent trend has been characterized by high volatility after an instant rise, followed by high volatility after an instant rise of the Juyang. The high level is violently refreshing, and after the shock, it is immediately rising unilaterally. It is not wrong to be bullish in operation, but the problem is that there is a high risk of catching up with the ceiling. If we follow this pattern, today will be another day of high volatility repair, and there is an expected opportunity for a correction and repair at the end of the week. However, such a strong short selling also requires courage to be able to make a correction1740There are many nearby, follow from above1770Nearby pressure.


At the four hour level, gold has once again risen and broken through, and the bullish trend has clearly changed. The change in cycle is also the same, with a large sun engulfing the top, clearly relaxing the limit for bulls. After breaking through the previous upward trend, gold further reversed its bearish trend and fell to a low point in the early morning1743Nearby, you can touch more in the morning. Another one is1739There are also long positions nearby, but if the market gives this position, it is estimated that it will be difficult to rise today. Keep looking at the target above1790Nearby, the first target was high yesterday1757-1765Breakthrough1765If there is any further news stimulation, just watch it directly1790Nearby. Overall, in today's gold short-term operation guidelines, gold analysts suggest a pullback and long selling as the main approach, supplemented by a rebound and short selling, with a focus on short-term trading above1757-1765Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1730-1740Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


　　11.11Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1757-1760Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1750-1740Nearby, break down and take a look1730frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1730-1732Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1740-1745Nearby, break down and take a look1750frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)