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Yu Yue on Jin:11.8Gold is still under pressure, looking back for support, and crude oil is adjusted...

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Tuesday(11month8Asian period, spotgold小幅下跌,目前交投于1670dollar/盎司附近,虽然隔夜美元指数下跌,但更多的是美元多头获利了结,并没有给金价提供进一步上涨动能,而且美债收益率延续涨势,令持有黄金的机会成本继续增加。市场普遍关注本周将出炉的美国10monthCPI数据,该报告将于本周四(11month10日)公布,虽然市场预期增幅相比9月份会小幅回落,但仍处于历史较高位置,这将增加美联储12Monthly interest rate hike75个基点的压力,美联储官员将放缓加息步伐的说辞将受到挑战,这令黄金多头估计困难重重。



-------Analysis of Gold Market Trend

4小时周期中,目前在高位1683之下收三连阴,有短期顶部的形态,如果周二成功下跌,下方可见1660,1650低点,其中1650yesH4周期布林中轨支撑点,如果破位,黄金在11月非农数据后的强势则转弱,可进一步的拉开下方空间。所以,不管是市场美元对立面影响还是目前技术面看法,黄金在周二看好下跌一波,交易开始做空。从小周期来看,午夜黄金在慢跌后反弹至1676无力,亚欧盘可直接在1676之下看跌,可持有到欧美盘,下方关注1666,1660,1650。日内操作上建议黄金周二看回落,早盘1674/1676做空,下方关注1660, of which1650是多空强弱关键点!综合来看,今日黄金短线操作思路上建议反弹做空为主,回调做多为辅,上方短期重点关注1680-1683Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1660-1666Frontline support.

  11.8Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:

Empty order strategy:

Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1675-1680Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1665-1655Nearby, break down and take a look1650frontline;

Multiple order strategy:

Strategy 2: Gold Callback1650-1655Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1665-1670Nearby, break down and take a look1675frontline;




-------crude oilMarket trend analysis

原油目前在日线走势上仍维持着较好的震荡上行走势,上个交易日价格在触及到前期93.6一带的压力位之后走出一波快速的回落短期继续关注下该位置的压力。在4小时级别走势上暂时维持在高位的震荡走势中,小时级别在连续的回落之后有开始逐步企稳的迹象在短线走势上走的稍微偏强一些。

Operation suggestions:

  1,90-90.1Nearby, stop loss89.3, Objective91-92.5

2,92.8-93Near empty, stop loss93.6, Objective91.5-90.5.Real time market in session guidance.

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