Guide Metallographer:11.4今日黄金走势分析，黄金空头继续狂欢！

　　goldMessage interpretation:


　　今天凌晨美联储公布11月利率决议，连续第四次加息75个基点，暗示12月可能放缓加息步伐。消息出来后市场一度开始狂欢。但好景不长。


　　随后鲍威尔讲话称终端利率将高过此前预期，暂停加息为时过早，最快12月放慢加息，未来聚焦CPI数据。于是之前怎么涨的又怎么跌回去了。


　　目前来看，市场预测美联储12Monthly interest rate increase75The probability of a basis point is25%左右，将在明年5月达到本轮加息的终端利率5.08%。


　　有意思的是，难得出来发言一次的前美联储主席格林斯潘表示：“即使如一些预言家所预期的那样，美国通胀将在2023年上半年达到顶峰，美联储可以放慢甚至停止加息步伐，但美元仍将获得货币政策的助力。”


Technical analysis of gold:


From the daily line, the dayKAs a whole, we have taken on the form of upper shadow and large shadow. Therefore, in the short term today, we need to lean towards bearish positions. From a morphological perspective, gold is still operating within the triangular range, with upward pressure1674Nearby, supported below1618Nearby, from a moving average level perspective5Rihe10The daily moving average crosses, and the current price is running at5The position below the daily moving average, as seen from the Bollinger Belt, narrows the three line pattern. The price runs below the middle track of the Bollinger Belt, and the trend pattern is weak. In terms of technical indicatorsMACDandKDJThe overall trend of the third tier is downward, so from a daily perspective, gold prices tend to be bearish;


After finishing with the daily level, let's finally talk about the four hour level market. From the four hour perspective, the three lines of the Bollinger Belt are generally downward, and the price has dropped to the position of the lower track of the Bollinger Belt in the morning. Currently, there has been a short-term rebound, and the position of the middle track of the upper Bollinger Belt is1642Nearby, today's gold price does not break through this position. It is difficult to continue for so many positions. From the moving average, the three lines cross and turn downwards, and the price is also running at5The position below the daily moving average, based on technical indicatorsMACDandKDJThe overall trend of the third line is turning downwards, so from a four hour perspective, it is also bearish. Currently, the support for the closing of the Bollinger Road lower track on the daily line is also near the low point. In terms of form, it is temporarily fluctuating. Although the trend of rising and closing is turning short, the rhythm is not strong in continuity. The short term is still accompanied by a back and forth sawing movement, and before effectively breaking, it will repeatedly sawing above the low point.KThe form of the line is accompanied by the exchange of yin and yang. The position of the Asian market is not in a hurry to chase down temporarily, and we will choose a high altitude after the rebound of the European and American markets. Overall, today's gold short-term operation strategy is guided by the guidance of gold analysts, who suggest that the main focus is to rebound and short, supplemented by a pullback and long, with a focus on the short-term above1645-1647Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1610-1612Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


　　11.3Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1626-1630Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1615-1618Nearby, break down and take a look1610frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1610-1612Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1620-1625Nearby, break down and take a look1630frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)