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Yu Yue on Jin:11.3黄金原油还会跌吗?最新行情走势咨询操作...

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LatestgoldMarket trend analysis



       基本面,昨日的基本面市场聚焦凌晨的美联储利率决议,联储年内连续第四次加息75个基点,暗示12月可能放缓加息步伐。鲍威尔称终端利率将高过此前预期,暂停加息为时过早,最快12月放慢加息,未来聚焦CPI数据。截至今晨,市场预测美联储12Monthly interest rate increase75The probability of a basis point is25%左右,将在明年5月达到本轮加息的终端利率5.08%。白宫在美联储公布利率决议的前几分钟突然表态支持美联储的独立性,并认为美联储的政策能够控制住通胀。而这样的表态后美联储加息按预期所以买预期卖事实,但随后美联储主席讲话内容鹰派,且对后市美联储继续加息成开放态度,所以美指在先大幅回落后强势拉升,进而导致金银和非美货币强势下行。而美盘开始时段的美国10monthADP就业人数新增23.9万人,好于预期,显示劳动力市场有所改善。而这样的数据也映射周五的非农表现可能也会好于预期,这对未来美联储加息提供了一定的保证。



  从当前走势来看,黄金本周依托1630关口反弹回升,隔日又是冲高回落跌至1630大阴收尾,直接吞没了本周所有涨幅。目前失守1640关口,局势上再次偏空,隔日收线带有长长上引线,代表1670高位空头压制也是比较严重。不过日线布林带三轨呈现缩口运行,一定程度上限制了短期跌幅,且低位有启明星吞没形态,同时下探1617成功回升有双底形态,代表1615附近具有大量买盘支撑。那么黄金今日重点关注1630这个本周低点位置与1620关口防守点,上方首要关注1642附近压力,预期黄金将会维持在1620之上进行低位震荡。



  11.3Golden Strategy:1--1642Near empty, stop loss1648, Objective1635-1630



                         2--1622Nearby, stop loss1615, Objective1630-1638



       newestcrude oilMarket trend analysis



Yesterday, the US crude oil market opened in the morning88.027After the position is raised, the market will be given first89.106After its position, the market quickly fell and the daily line reached its lowest point87.1的位置后行情强势拉升日线最高触及到了89.692After the market rose and fell, the daily line finally closed at88.684的位置后行情以一根上下影线等长的纺锤形态收线,而这样的形态收尾后,今日的行情87.6Multiple stop loss87, look at the goal88.7and89.2, take a break to see90Pressure.



Analysis of the latest silver market trend



Yesterday, the silver market opened in the morning19.62After the position is raised, the market will be given first19.859的位置后行情回落给出19.532的位置后凌晨数据公布后行情强势拉升,日线最高触及到了20.067的位置后行情急速回落,日线最低给到了19.196After the position was sorted out, the daily line finally closed at19.202的位置后行情以一根上影线极长的大阴线收线,而这样的形态收尾后,今日的行情19.4Empty stop loss19.65Look at the target below19and18.8and18.6。

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