Yu Yue on Jin:10.22黄金还会跌吗黄金今天行情资讯及独家策略...

goldMarket trend analysis;



Friday(10month21day)International gold prices continue to rise9month28Recently, it has reached a new low1617.12dollar/盎司，因强劲的劳动力市场数据和美联储官员鹰派言论削弱了黄金的吸引力，10年期美债收益率创下2008year6月以来的新高。费城联储主席哈克说，降低通胀需要时间，这给货币政策带来了不确定性。有分析师表示：美联储紧缩周期才刚刚过半，利率可能还有更多上升空间，黄金可能会继续下跌。市场将继续密切关注通胀和就业数据，如果美联储暂停加息预期提前，那么将推动金价走高。隔夜公布的数据显示，上周美国初请失业金人数下降，表明劳动力市场依然紧张。另一项数据显示，美国9月份成屋销售连续第八个月下降。美联储理事库克表示，通胀压力高得令人无法接受，需要更多的加息来抑制通胀。她进一步补充说，未来将继续加息，之后将保持限制性货币政策。费城联储主席哈克暗示，美联储将继续加息一段时间以抑制通胀，这促使投资者为美联储在即将到来的11月政策会议上再一次超大规模加息做好准备。哈克在讲话中警告称，虽然通胀飙升非常快，但降低通胀需要时间，这给货币政策带来了不确定性。如果通胀没有降温，明年“我们可以根据数据进一步收紧。作为政策制定者，我们真正需要看到的是，在我们放松货币紧缩政策之前，一些通胀指标会持续下降。总而言之，黄金可能会延续近期疲态，目前来看金价短线仍偏向震荡下行。



　　黄金技术面分析；黄金周四先涨后跌，先涨不是趋势，收盘才是关键。不用看涨多高。要看最终的收盘位置来决定隔日的强弱延续，昨日一度触及到1645.46dollar|The ounce is at a high level, and in the late trading session, it came under pressure and turned downwards. Exhale all the intraday upward momentum and close at a low level, with a small bearish cross at the close of the daily chartKLine. As expected in yesterday's daily review, the rebound will not exceed the critical point1646.Short term bearish sentiment remains, although there was a slight rebound during the trading session, fortunately it recovered in the late trading session1640下方。今日有望进一步走低。4The hour was accompanied by a wave of counter draws confirming the resistance point of the top and bottom transition, and the end of the trading session was under pressure and closed at a low level. Therefore, yesterday's rebound high point is a short-term correction resistance point, as well as a critical point for long and short positions, with a distinct sense of hierarchy or downward steps1684to1672  1667 to1645The high point slowly moves downwards, and the rebound strength begins to weaken. The moving average indicator also turns downwards after rebounding first and then falling, driving the death cross. Today's short-term trend is expected to further decline. The Bollinger Bands have just hit a low point where the middle track is under pressure and has recovered, which is usually the short-term boundary between strength and weakness. Hold on and close short term bearish.1小时图过山车式的冲高回吐，相对于昨日先弹后跌，今日开盘在低位，整理之后有望创新低。综合来看，今日黄金短线操作思路上建议反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注1645-1650Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1615-1610Frontline support,



Analysis of silver market trend:



Silver Exploration17.5低点後迎来了连阳上涨，并且回踩确认18支撑，一度冲击21高位。只是现在21位置受阻回落，再次跌破20Key watershed to18关口，从哪涨的又跌回了原点。目前失守20关口局势开始偏空，但是从形态上来看日线低位已经形成联排底部，也呈现了头肩底看涨形态，只是多空局势不太明朗，处于低位宽幅震荡。日线八连阴回落，周线也是大阴下跌从而吞没之前全部涨幅，短线MA5—MA10均线都是死叉势头下行，格局上空头再次主导节奏。目前依托17.5—18短期上行趋势线得以缓解跌势，现在重点还是18关口支撑，回踩18.2Multiple orders can be placed nearby, follow from above19关口压力布局空单。



Pressure:19——19.3Support:18——18.2



　　crude oilMarket trend analysis:



　　原油日线图超跌反弹状态，目前价格依然受压于云层下方，中长期走势有待进一步考验；小时图超跌反弹格局运行，目前价格站上云层上方，短期向上反弹的概率比较高。今日美盘操作建议：原油83.5Long, stop loss82.5Stop surplus85.2/86.5，