Yu Yue on Jin:10.21今日周线收官该如何操作布局，谨防周五黑...

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Thursday(10month20day)Spot gold is refreshing9month28Since the low point of the day1622.36dollar/After rebounding in ounces, it turned higher as the US dollar index113Near the checkpoint, there is resistance and it falls back. But the Federal Reserve's aggressive rate hike policy continues to be expected to continue to be bearish on gold prices. According to the Federal Reserve9The forecast released after the monthly policy meeting shows that the target interest rate will rise next year4.6%The unemployment rate has risen to4.4%about. Federal Reserve officials hinted at controlling the unemployment rate5%The successful suppression of inflation is complete. in the U.S.9After the month's consumer price increase exceeded expectations, it is widely expected that the Federal Reserve will11The fourth consecutive interest rate hike at the policy meeting in month75Basis points. Although gold is often seen as an inflation hedge, the rise in US interest rates increases the holding cost of non bearing asset gold. Federal Reserve policymakers have stated that they will continue to raise interest rates until they witness inflation cooling, although they acknowledge that higher borrowing costs may lead to slower growth, weak labor market, and increased unemployment. According to the Federal Reserve9The forecast released after the monthly policy meeting shows that the target interest rate will rise next year4.6%The unemployment rate has risen to4.4%about. Looking ahead, gold prices will continue to decline, although high physical demand may provide some support for gold prices. The slight weakening of the US dollar and the decline in the stock market provided some support for gold. However, the rise in yields in major bond markets and the prospect of further tightening monetary policy by most central banks continue to weigh on gold prices.

Technical analysis of gold:


　　黄金早盘延续一波震荡回修，跌回至1622一线，午盘时段伴随着美指的回落，黄金也受益回弹，测压至1635一线后有承压，但欧盘时段美指再跌再度激发黄金回弹动能，目前上方欲测试1640Pressure.


　　根据日线以及小时图结构来看，既然昨日1640一线已经失守，短线结构趋势已经转向弱势，行情进一步扩大回修调整的可能性增加，但是仅仅在1622一线便止步下跌，与预期的前期交易低点1620-15区域还有一定的距离，而日内行情回弹幅度虽未超预期，但又略显偏大，其主要上涨动能还是美指所左右，所以短期内黄金走势将如何运行，关键还是得看美指走势如何影响，而目前美指走势极为多变异常，故黄金短期的不确定风险也在随之增加。

　　晚间黄金上方还是着重关注1640一线争夺，如果今日能站上，则短线走势将可能发生质变，但最终是否会质变还是要看美指如何影响，如果今晚一直承压1640下方运行，则短线黄金将维持偏弱震荡，后期随着时间推移，以及美指如果继续偏强居高震荡，则还会有进一步的下跌可能性。


Golden Operation Concept:

　　①晚间保守选择观望，规避当前美指走势极端异常带来的不稳定风险，有待行情走势稳定后再择机参与。


　　②激进可在回弹1638-40Nearby light positions with short positions and stop losses1646Above, look down at the target1635-30Regional reduction of positions, replacement of principal and stop loss, remaining orders can be reviewed again1625-20区域回撤预期。


　　③如果晚间行情再度回撤，下方可关注1630争夺，重点还是1620-15一带支撑测试，但多单的参与务必有待根据实际情况再做调整。


　　④如果晚间行情站上1640上方站稳，盘中莫要追多，也不急于再空，具体策略有待实盘再做调整。


Latestcrude oilMarket trend analysis


The US crude oil market opened early on82.755The market will first decline after the position is given81.612After its position, the market rose strongly and reached its highest point on the daily line84.924After the position was sorted out, the daily line finally closed at84.639的位置后行情以一根下影线很长的大阳线收线，而这样的形态收尾后日线阳包阴，今日的行情83.1Multiple stop loss82.5, look at the goal85.Break the position to see85.7and86.2。