Yu Yue on Jin:10.20黄金原油美盘实时操作建议最新走势分析附...

　　goldMarket trend analysis;



Thursday(10month20day)Spot gold is refreshing9month28Since the low point of the day1622.36dollar/After rebounding in ounces, it turned higher as the US dollar index113Near the checkpoint, there is resistance and it falls back. But the Federal Reserve's aggressive rate hike policy continues to be expected to continue to be bearish on gold prices. According to the Federal Reserve9The forecast released after the monthly policy meeting shows that the target interest rate will rise next year4.6%The unemployment rate has risen to4.4%about. Federal Reserve officials hinted at controlling the unemployment rate5%The successful suppression of inflation is complete. in the U.S.9After the month's consumer price increase exceeded expectations, it is widely expected that the Federal Reserve will11The fourth consecutive interest rate hike at the policy meeting in month75Basis points. Although gold is often seen as an inflation hedge, the rise in US interest rates increases the holding cost of non bearing asset gold. Federal Reserve policymakers have stated that they will continue to raise interest rates until they witness inflation cooling, although they acknowledge that higher borrowing costs may lead to slower growth, weak labor market, and increased unemployment. According to the Federal Reserve9The forecast released after the monthly policy meeting shows that the target interest rate will rise next year4.6%The unemployment rate has risen to4.4%about. Looking ahead, gold prices will continue to decline, although high physical demand may provide some support for gold prices. The slight weakening of the US dollar and the decline in the stock market provided some support for gold. However, the rise in yields in major bond markets and the prospect of further tightening monetary policy by most central banks continue to weigh on gold prices.



　　黄金技术面分析；黄金周三中阴线下挫收低，在经过周初两个交易日的小阳线整理修正蓄势，昨日借助美元上涨，金价承压下行，开盘维持在1654After the consolidation of nearby weaknesses, European and American stocks broke through lows1640Establish a downward trend within the day, with a minimum refresh to1627This week's new low, with the daily line breaking low and closing low, today's short term relies on breaking low1640Look for further decline. Collaborate with the method of organizing and correcting while falling. 4The hour chart continues the downward wave pattern, which was previously1684The pressure bearing structure fell in the second wave, maintaining a weak consolidation below the high point of the second wave in the first two trading days of this week, but it did not show a weak break below the low. After gaining momentum, we broke through and opened up space yesterday. Today at the top and bottom conversion ports1640Obstruction will further lead to a downward trend. At present, the moving average indicator is turning downward and has downward momentum in the short term. Combined with yesterday's weak point sorting and correction techniques, the correction of the weak point in Lianyin is combined with the correction of the small positive line. Further innovation low.1Last night, the hourly chart showed a weak trend and a downward trend. The two reverse high points in the end of the day were1646  1637.Neutral value at1640.Low point seen from below1615In the area, if you break the position, you can see1600.结构上已经打开下行空间，保持反弹看空思路。综合来看，今日黄金短线操作思路上建议上方短期重点关注1646-1651Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1620-1615Frontline support.



　　crude oilTechnical analysis:

　　美油日内先居高横盘窄幅震荡，欧盘初期行情出现再度拉升回弹，且上涨节奏持续，目前已经突破86压力，高点测压至86.5附近，整体走势符合预期的偏强，且必预期表现还要偏强。


　　目前美油虽然偏强，走势也符合预期，但小时图结构上已经有一定的超买信号以及顶部背离信号出现，结合日线结构，晚间上方着重关注10Daily line87一线压力测试，行情也很有可能会在此位附近受阻。


　　操作上，晚间也不再盲目追多，已有多单的可在86上方逐步减仓，可保留部分持单再看87附近做短线减离出局。晚间美油首次触及87附近激进可轻仓搏短空，带止损87.5Look at the target below86.2-0附近减仓改保本止损，剩余持单可再看85.2-0附近回撤，而再次多单的参与则可有嗲回撤85.2-0附近再做考虑。