Dingsheng Jinshi:9.23今日黄金走势分析，利空出尽，美指受阻，...

——9.23gold方面——


　　美联储发布的最新预测显示，明年利率将达到4.6%的峰值，在2024年之前不会降息。美联储周四一如预期将政策利率目标区间再提高75Basis points, to3%-3.25%. Federal Reserve11Monthly interest rate increase50Bps to3.50%-3.75%The probability of the interval is30.3%Interest rate hike75The probability of a basis point is69.7%Interest rate hike100The probability of a basis point is0%； reach12Monthly cumulative interest rate increase100The probability of a basis point is30.2%Accumulated interest rate increase125The probability of a basis point is69.6%Accumulated interest rate increase150The probability of a basis point is0.2%在俄罗斯总统普京周三下令征召预备役到乌克兰作战后，美元已经受到避险资产需求的支撑。日本当局自1998年以来首次以买进日元干预汇市后，日元周四全面劲升。


　　在加息降温的环境中，黄金周四走了一个震荡，先跌后涨再跌，区间比较明显。在欧盘试探前期1654不破的情况下，很明显形成技术面的三底，加上美元的下跌刺激，黄金确定基础，走出大涨，连续拉高至美盘1684，走出接近30美金空间，虽然没有破位1688前高，但基本确定，本次黄金下跌很难破位1654，因此，短期内1654形成强势支撑，近期黄金围绕1654开始看上涨空间。至于1688是否破位，则看市场反应，近期可能破位，走到趋势线关键压制点1710。技术面来看，日线在低位形成多个下引线较长的k线，布林收口，底部基础出现，后市看好慢涨出现高点，上方依次关注1688，1710，1730，其中，日线1730点位是本周期的关键点，破位1730，周线大底也会出现。短线来看，周四走震荡，基础性形态在区间之内，因此，本周尾盘震荡概率较大，市场也缺乏上涨的动力，1688也难以破位，大概率维持在小时线周期1680/1660区间震荡，其中，周四美盘冲高1684后走回落至1668，1668也有较强支撑，所以，日内黄金看好震荡，区间放在1680/1660，中间点位在1668。


Operation suggestion: Gold1680Near empty, stop loss1686, Objective1670、1660; Below1668，1660不破亦可短多！


　　——9.23crude oil方面——


　　原油预计周五也不会破位，继续看区间震荡。目前可看的范围在85.6/82.8，可根据支撑，压制点做高空低多交易。


Operation suggestion: crude oil82.8There are many light positions nearby, stop loss82.2, Objective84、85.6； upper85.6不破亦可做空看震荡！


Serve as an analyst and commentator for well-known financial channels such as "Golden Net" and "Globalforeign exchange》Professional contributors to several well-known financial forums such as "Huitong Net" and "Zhongjin Net", specializing in short, medium, and long term operations of gold, crude oil, and silver. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market. Suggestions are for reference only; This article is original by Dingsheng Jinshi, who carefully writes every analysis and conveys valuable investment concepts. If there is any similarity, it is purely plagiarism. Readers should be discerning and respect originality!