Yu Yue on Jin:9.21黄金避险诱多，利率决议将继续打压！

Wednesday(9month21day)Entering the European market, after Russian President Putin threatened to escalate the war against Ukraine, market risk aversion increased, European stocks came under pressure, the euro fell, and the US dollar continued to climb20年新高，与此同时，gold也获得部分提振重返1670Above, but for bulls, the greater risk lies in today's Federal Reserve resolution, which the market is highly vigilant about.



　　尽管俄乌战争重大升级令黄金获得部分提振，但美元明显获益更多。美元指数今日再度刷新20Annual high to110.88附近，而指标10Annual bond yield(Yield rate)则守在周二触及的逾11年高点附近。



　　对黄金多头而言，更为关键的则是今日稍晚的美联储风暴。



　　美联储将于北京时间周四凌晨02:00公布政策决定，随后是美联储主席鲍威尔的新闻发布会。



美联储再次加息75The probability of a basis point is81%Interest rate hike100The probability of a basis point is19%。



就黄金而言，目前市场处于原地踏步的状态，直到美联储做出政策决定，然后可能会以波动性加剧做出回应。


　　黄金目前最低才1660，肯定是完全没有消化75个基点的数据影响，更不谈100The possibility of a basis point.


所以，今晚黄金再度跌下来的可能性非常大。


gold4hour(8).png

4小时目前也是完全突破不上去，所以一旦说今晚出现75A basis point or100个基点，首先黄金肯定是下跌。


所以目前想提前布局我觉得也要只能做空，尽量在1675附近进场做空，只要凌晨数据出来跌破1660，那么将会加剧下跌，可能会直接去1615-20Here.



Latestcrude oilMarket trend analysis



The US crude oil market opened yesterday at84.911After the position is raised, the market will be given first86.03The market started to decline after the position, and the daily line reached its lowest point82.88After the position was sorted out, the daily line finally closed at84.12After the position, the market ended with a spindle shape with a slightly longer lower shadow than the upper shadow, and after this shape ended, the US crude oil daily line was still in the consolidation range. At the point, today's market86Empty stop loss86.6Look at the target below83-82.8, break down and see82-81.6Support.



Analysis of the latest silver market trend



The silver market opened yesterday at19.551The position of the market is slightly stretched and given19.58After the market fluctuated and fell, the daily line reached its lowest point19.049After the position was sorted out, the daily line finally closed at19.258After the position, the market closed with a large negative line with a long shadow line, and after this form of closure, today's market fell back and became empty. On the point, today's market19.4Empty stop loss19.6Look at the target below19.05, break down and see18.85and18.65。