Fang Yuan said Jin:9.20Gold can charge up80Is it? Intraday long short operation strategy

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goldMarket trend analysis;


   Published by the United StatesCPIData display,8Monthly and quarterly adjustmentsCPIAnnual rate recorded8.3%Exceeding market expectations8.1%, previous value is8.5%。 In the unexpectedCPIAfter the data was released, the Federal Reserve fully priced swap transactions9Monthly interest rate increase75Basis points, market sentiment towards the Federal Reserve9Monthly interest rate increase100The likelihood of a basis point expectation varies from22%Once elevated to47%Former US Treasury Secretary Summers also believes that the Federal Reserve9Will choose to raise interest rates in the month100Basis points. Subsequently announced8Monthly retail data also greatly boosted the US dollar, with announced values0.3%It exceeded the previous value and expectations, but the core retail sales were lower than expected, and the number of people applying for unemployment benefits for the first time last week, which was announced at the same time as the retail data, further provided data support for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates significantly. The yield of the US two-year treasury bond bond hit a new 15 year high, and the US dollar also remained slightly lower than over20The high point of an annual high; Significant pressure on gold prices, ultimately falling below1680Acceleration occurs and descends to1654Low point, further widening the decline. The global tightening policy has quietly arrived, and everyone is waiting for this week's heavyweight decision from the Federal Reserve, and it is expected to continue to maintain a positive interest rate hike attitude this week.


   Gold has been under pressure since its opening yesterday1680The front line continues to oscillate and fall, falling below1660After the first line of decline, there was a rebound, and the final pressure was measured to1675/76A line of overcast stars with a downward shadow in the area where the daily line is drawn. In terms of daily structure, gold closed positive last Friday, but although it did not close positive yesterday, it has a long shadow line,KThe line pattern shows signs of stopping the decline, but the actual rebound momentum is not strong. Overall, it is still in line with expectations to carry out low volatility digestion, waiting for the impact of Thursday's Federal Reserve interest rate decision. Follow Above Gold During the Day5Daily line1678-80Belt pressure test, if the station cannot return5On the daily line, the overall performance of gold is weak, so the impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on Thursday morning may also be more direct, making operation easier. If we go to the Golden Station today or tomorrow5On the daily line, the short-term structure rose slightly, indicating a slight change in market sentiment, which is also a common situation in the early days of major fundamental events, but this situation will affect the judgment and operation of the market trend after the announcement of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, so the main idea is still inclined to the weak volatility of gold today and tomorrow.



Operation suggestions: 1679Short nearby, stop loss1684, Objective1660, break down and see1650Area.


                 Step back1660Multiple, stop loss1654, Objective1675-80


                 The above ideas are for reference only, and the specific points will be provided on a firm offer.




crude oilMarket trend analysis;



   In terms of crude oil, Iran's nuclear negotiations have once again experienced setbacks, which have been relatively smooth before. However, there have been disagreements on some details again, providing some short-term support to the market. However, the Federal Reserve continues to aggressively raise interest rates, posing greater risks to the economic downturn, So the suppression of bearish sentiment is more persistent, and last trading day, like gold, crude oil85.8Nearby oscillations have been falling all the way, with European and American markets accelerating downward and touching81.8Nearby, and then quickly hit the highest point again in the evening85.7On the first line, the roller coaster trend is basically the same, and in the short term, it is also a very obvious repeated consolidation trend87-88Strong pressure, below81-82The front line has formed a phased low point platform support, and the middle position appears awkward. There is plenty of space, but it is not big. However, defense is difficult to do, so the middle position can be seen more and moved less. Crude oil rebound86.4-5Nearby air, defense87.5Look84-83Step back below82There are many nearby, defense81.2Look84-5First line, for reference only, specific firm offer provided






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    The most important thing in investing is not how much you can earn in a week, but whether you can make stable profits. Short term fluctuations, medium term bands, and long term trends are not good or bad methods. As long as they are suitable for oneself and can achieve stable profits, they are all good methods. As the ancients said, "Don't do small things for good, and don't do small things for evil. The answer to all questions is never unique and unchanging. Whether the market is going up or down, you cannot control it yourself. Only by keeping up with the pulse of the market can you avoid being eliminated. The market cannot always go up or down, and what is certain is that it will always go right.



    This article is provided by Fang Yuan. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Fang Yuan provides online solutions, returns losses, and provides one-on-one real-time guidance on WeChat. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online posts, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Real time ideas are provided at the current price. Please indicate the source when reprinting.