Yu Yue on Jin:9.19Interest rate hike imminent, analysis and operation of the price trend of gold, silver, and crude oil...

LatestgoldMarket trend analysis



       Published by the United StatesCPIData display,8Monthly and quarterly adjustmentsCPIAnnual rate recorded8.3%Exceeding market expectations8.1%, previous value is8.5%。 U.S.A8Monthly and quarterly adjustment coreCPIAnnual rate recorded6.3%, for2022year3A new high since the beginning of the month. In the unexpectedCPIAfter the data was released, the Federal Reserve fully priced swap transactions9Monthly interest rate increase75Basis points, market sentiment towards the Federal Reserve9Monthly interest rate increase100The likelihood of a basis point expectation varies from22%Once elevated to47%Former US Treasury Secretary Summers also believes that the Federal Reserve9Will choose to raise interest rates in the month100Basis points. Subsequently announced8Monthly retail data also greatly boosted the US dollar, with announced values0.3%It exceeded the previous value and expectations, but the core retail sales were lower than expected, and the number of people applying for unemployment benefits for the first time last week, which was announced at the same time as the retail data, further provided data support for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates significantly. The yield of the US two-year treasury bond bond hit a new 15 year high, and the US dollar also remained slightly lower than over20The high point of an annual high; Significant pressure on gold prices, ultimately falling below1680Acceleration occurs and descends to1654Low point, further widening the decline. The global tightening policy has quietly arrived, and everyone is waiting for the Federal Reserve's heavyweight resolution next week, and it is expected to continue to maintain a positive interest rate hike attitude next week.



       The gold daily line has broken through three consecutive negative declines1680Forward low position, accelerate descent1654The low point rebounded and rebounded to1680At the checkpoint, this position will be the key point for bottom to top conversion, and from the perspective of rebound strength, it is still quite impressive, and it is also the closing point of the Zhongyang rally1670Above, touch1680There has also been no significant decline. If it's just a simple data bullish rally, then the rebound should just be a flash in the pan. In addition, based on the magnitude of the decline, that is1650Nearby, after all4Hour from high point1807Starting to move on a downward trend, starting from a downward trend1Waves and3If the decline of the waves is used as a reference, the decline is all about80Around US dollars, then this decline5Waves from1735Starting descent, to1655It is the most standard. A rebound now represents a decline5The waves may have bottomed out, and bulls are expected to break through1680The key point is to launch the rebound stage. Wave theory is the law of the eight wave cycle. If the five wave decline is confirmed to be over, what will happen isABCAdjust the three waves. Plus daily and weekly linesRSIThey are all in the oversold zone, deepening the chances of a rebound. Speaking of 1000 to 10000, the point is still1680Gateway and1688Under pressure, the current bearish trend is clear at a glance, and the bearish sentiment is still very high. In terms of operation, we still maintain a rebound bearish mentality.



　    9.19Golden Strategy:1--1680-1688Empty, stop loss1693, Objective1670-1660



　　                        2--1660Nearby, stop loss1655, Objective1670-1680



Latestcrude oilMarket trend analysis



The US crude oil market opened last week at85.81After the position, the market first rose and reached its highest point on the weekly chart89.67The market quickly fell back after the position, and the weekly minimum was reached83.744After the position was sorted out, the weekly line finally closed at84.855After the position of the market is closed with a very long inverted hammer head shape, and after this shape is closed, today's market86Empty stop loss86.5Look at the target below84.3and83.7。



Analysis of the latest silver market trend



Last week, the silver market opened at the beginning of the week18.856After the position, the market first rose and reached its highest point on the weekly chart20.007After the market fluctuated and fell, it reached its lowest point on Friday's weekly line18.765The position of the rear end of the trading session was strongly elevated, and the weekly line finally closed at19.593After the position, the market closed with a long upward shadow line, and after this pattern ended, there was a demand for continued rebound in the weekly market. At the point, today19.25Multiple stop loss19.05, look at the goal19.8and20-20.2。