Yu Yue on Jin:9.13Analysis of Gold Trends and Suggestions for Gold Operations with Online Free Release...

　　goldLatest market analysis:



Analysis of Gold News: Tuesday(9month13day)In the early trading session of the European market, the US dollar index maintained a downward trend, with the index currently slightly higher than108.00Gateway. Spot gold is basically stable, and gold prices are currently reported1724dollar/Around ounces. On this trading day, investors will focus on the United StatesCPIData, as this data is crucial for the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, there may be significant market fluctuations after the data is released. The rebound in most non US currencies has led to a pullback in the US dollar index to near two-week lows, providing support for gold prices. However, the market generally expects the Federal Reserve to9Interest rates will be raised in the month75One basis point, causing bullish gold traders to remain cautious, and the price of gold is affected by21Daily moving average1731.20Nearby resistance pressure still requires caution against the risk of gold prices returning to a downward trend. Market Focus on the United States to be released in the evening8monthCPIData, market expects year-on-year growth rate to be driven by7Of8.5%Descend to8.1%The month on month growth rate remains at0.3%Unchanged, coreCPIThe year-on-year growth rate is expected to decrease from7Of5.9%Ascend to6.1%。 Although analysts generally believe that evening data will not change the Federal Reserve9Monthly interest rate hike75Investors need to be wary of the possibility of a rapid rebound in gold prices after a short-term surge, based on a basis point expectation.



Tuesday, Hong Kong time20:30The United States will announce8Monthly consumer price index(CPI)data According to authoritative media surveys, the United States8monthCPIAnnual rate expected to rise8.1%The increase is lower than last month's8.5%。 Analysts pointed out that if US inflation data falls below expectations, the Federal Reserve may soften its hawkish stance, which will hit the trend of the US dollar and drive other major currencies and gold to strengthen; On the other hand, if inflation data exceeds expectations, the Federal Reserve may consolidate its hawkish stance, which will drive a rebound in the US dollar.



Technical analysis of gold: Gold initially fluctuated and retreated yesterday, but only retreated to1712Subsequently, due to the impact of the US dollar's decline, it rose again and rose, with the evening high measuring pressure reaching1735On the first line, it fell into a period of turbulence and recovery in the later half of the night, and the daily line finally closed with a small sunny area with an upper shadow. Looking back at the rhythm of yesterday's gold trend, gold occasionally synchronizes with the US index trend in the opposite direction, bringing great difficulty and risk to operations. At present, in terms of daily structure, although it closed positive yesterday, changing the state of alternating yin and yang last week and frequent switching between long and short periods, it still closed in the end20Below the daily line, it indicates that the current pressure on gold technology is still significant, and the seen upward momentum is still passively coming from the US dollar's correction. This situation makes it difficult to determine the strength of the rebound momentum, and it also cannot make substantive changes to the technical structure of the bearish market. Therefore, the probability of gold fluctuating within the day is still high.



From the perspective of gold structure, gold has its own1688Since the rebound, I have maintained the structural operation of this rebound repair. From the current perspective, the multi serrated adjustment structure is becoming increasingly mature. The recent market trend of gold has mainly revolved around the rebound of the moving average. Currently5reach10Moving moving average support up1710reach1715Region, which means it won't break this week1710The region still continues to rebound, and of course, next Wednesday's interest rate hike is coming. Only when the last shoe falls and accelerates to catch up with the bottom, can there be a significant rebound. After all, the technical decline remains unchanged, and the fundamental market is still bearish when the Federal Reserve raises interest ratesETFlately2During each rebound in the market last month, there was a continuous reduction in gold holdings, indicating that they were not optimistic about the future. On the hourly chart, after the rebound of gold yesterday, it also completed three small cycles of rebound and rise. However, this rise appeared to exceed expectations, but it has still returned to a volatile state. The probability of gold choosing to fluctuate during the day is high, and the upper level will continue to pay attention1730-33Short term pressure competition, follow below1720-18Competition, main support still focused on1712-10Area. In summary, it is recommended to focus on pullback and long trading in today's gold trading strategy, supplemented by a rebound in high altitude, with short-term attention from above1745-1750Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1720-1715Frontline support.



　　crude oilLatest market analysis:



Analysis of crude oil news: Tuesday(9month13day)International oil prices are fluctuating and rising, with concerns about inventory tightening caused by tight fuel supply before winter supporting prices, offsetting the selling pressure caused by further increases in global interest rates. The prospects for the resumption of Iran's nuclear agreement remain bleak, which also supports oil prices. United States Department of Energy Monday(9month12day)According to the published data, as of9month9This week, the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve(SPR)reduce84010000 barrels to4.341Billion barrels, for1984year10The lowest since the beginning of the month. In the release of reserves last week,630Ten thousand barrels of low sulfur crude oil,210Ten thousand barrels of high sulfur crude oil. President Biden of the United States3I have developed a plan to release every day from the strategic oil reserve for the next six months100Ten thousand barrels of oil to cope with the vicious inflation caused by high fuel prices. Energy Minister Graham stated last week that the Biden administration is weighing its current plans to10The necessity of further releasing reserves after the end of the month. The United States Department of Energy has proposed to replenish the strategic reserve by signing a contract to allow it to purchase oil at a fixed preset price in the next few years. The government believes that the plan will help increase domestic oil production.



Technical analysis of crude oil: The US crude oil market opened yesterday at85.82The market will step back after the position84.744The market quickly rose after its position, reaching its highest point on the daily line88.717After the position was sorted out, the daily line finally closed at87.766After the position, the market closed with a slightly longer down shadow line than the up shadow line, and after this pattern ended, today's market rebounded more. This week's operating range is temporarily locked90-82Running between; From a weekly perspective,macdIn fact, the downward trend has been roughly completed, and there is currently little room for downward movement. There is a high probability that the cycle will be similar to the previous April and May, with repeated underpass channels supporting bottoming and pulling up, and eventually ushering in a mid-term pull up. In addition, crude oil itself is in a bullish trend in the medium to long term, and once the backtesting adjustment phase ends, it will return to a bullish uptrend; In the medium term, crude oil is in the process of bottoming out, while in the short term, it is subject to broad bottoming fluctuations! On the daily line, the previous trading day's market rose and closed positive, indicating that short-term crude oil bulls were relatively strong. If it can be effectively broken within the day20The daily moving average may further open up upward space. Overall, in terms of short-term crude oil operations today, it is recommended to focus on a pullback and buy long, supplemented by a rebound in high altitude, with short-term attention from above91.0-91.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below88.0-87.5Frontline support.