Sheng Yi Lun Jin:9.12黄金原油分析及布局策略，黄金做多

The following is the perspective of Shengyi Technology analysis, as a reference, and it has been a daily12Summarize the technical experience accumulated from over hours of tracking and reviewing, and publicly disclose technical points every day, combined with text and video interpretation. Friends who want to learn can compare and reference based on actual trends; Those who recognize ideas can refer to operations, lead defense well, and prioritize risk control; If you don't recognize it, just let it drift by; Thank you for your support and attention;

　　有哪些消息面影响goldcrude oilTrend? Where is the trend of gold going?

Friday(9month9day)当周金价触底回升，欧洲央行大幅度加息施压美元，包括黄金在内的非美品种回升，同时欧洲经济和英国经济衰退的担忧加剧，加之欧洲能源危机，这些因素都支持了避险黄金。不过，美联储官员的鹰派言论基调和美联储加息预期，限制了金价回升。美国服务业数据表现强劲，美联储加速收紧货币政策预期再度升温，美元指数和美债收益率表现强劲，特别是美元指数站稳110关口。具体来看，美国8monthISMService industryPMISlightly rise to56.9, creating4个月新高。商业活动和新订单指数均升至今年以来的最高水平，物价支付指数回落至2021year1The lowest level since the beginning of the month.

　　美联储理事沃勒周五表示，他预计本月晚些时候将大幅升息。他还表示，政策制定者应该停止试图猜测未来，而应坚持数据的含义。这些言论与美联储主席鲍威尔、副主席布雷纳德人最近的言论类似，他们表示将坚决努力降低通胀。市场强烈预期美联储将在9Raising interest rates at monthly meetings75个基点，这将是美联储连续第三次以如此大的幅度加息，也是美联储自1990年代初开始将指标基金利率作为主要政策工具以来收紧货币政策速度最快的一次。一些乐观情绪正在悄悄回到黄金市场。然而，分析师们警告投资者，如果黄金要突破上行，那么下周的经济数据需要比预期弱得多才行。黄金投资者下周的主要焦点将是两项通胀数据：下周二公布的美国消费者物价指数（CPI）和密西根大学公布的通胀初步预期。下周投资者还将关注美国8月零售销售数据，该数据将是判断消费者在美联储大幅升息后表现如何的重要指标。

Analysis of the gold market trend next Monday:

　　黄金技术面分析：周五黄金先偏强震荡，回弹测压至前期高点1730一线，晚间受自身承压以及鲍威尔讲话打压有所回落，跌回至1710一线，后半夜震荡回弹，但空间有限，日线收得一阴线。

　　日线结构上，本周黄金阴阳交替出现，且均带有上影线或下影线，说明多空双方情绪很不稳定，没有明确的方向，而这或有继续走下跌中继形态的可能。今日行情开盘即走高，主要还是受美指走弱的影响，本周以来黄金走势一直被动的受美指走势影响，但其间又反复的有自己的小动作，这也是导致本周黄金行情难以预判的原因。目前行情回到5、10日线上，且突破小周期的趋势线压力，理论上行情会有延续回升，但是上方面对前期高点1728-30Pressure, and20Daily line1735压力，都表现得看不到太多希望，所以日内行情或有可能先震荡回弹，但如果美指再度表现偏强，或下探支撑后回升，那么黄金也势必会再走测压回落趋势。

　　结合小时图走势，短期黄金虽然频繁的有止跌回弹动作，多头蠢蠢欲动欲回升，但是实际动能很有限，既对自身技术压力有顾忌，又很被动的受美指走势影响，所以表现出慢涨快跌的状态。日内黄金暂看偏强震荡，但是对于上方空间依旧不要有太多期待，且要防范测压后再转弱震荡的风险。且这种走势对于操作上也很不利，多空双方的信心都不是很强，短线面临的风险也都比较大。综上所述，下周一黄金操作思路上李胜溢建议回调做多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方关注1728-1730USD resistance, follow below1708-1710To support, it is necessary to control the position and stop loss issues, strictly set stop losses, and do not operate against orders. The recent market turbulence has been significant, with opportunities and risks coexisting. Control risks and increase profits.

　　下周一黄金操作策略参考：

Empty order strategy:

Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1728-1730Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1720-1715Nearby, break down and take a look1710frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)

Multiple order strategy:

Strategy 2: Gold Callback1708-1710Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss5Points, target1715-1720Nearby, break down and take a look1725frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)

Crude oil

　　本周油价总体探底回升，由于疫情和各国央行的鹰派立场打压了原油的需求，导致油价一度下跌至81附近。随后由于OPEC的积极减仓保价，加之市场对于欧美对俄限制效果表示怀疑，因而支撑油价自低位回升。技术面油价在下破低位的三角震荡区间后，周五收阳重回震荡区间内，虽然出现了探底回升，但是并未摆脱低位震荡的限制，所以当前油价仍不看好抄底。技术面日线仍旧死叉延续，CCI处于低位，总体仍旧维持看空不变。

Operation suggestion: rebound87——87.5Short selling, targeting85——83——80nearby

Below80一线做多，目标看82——83nearby

　　如空单止损，则重新在90——90.5Short selling on the front line, looking at the target86——85——83nearby

Sheng Yi's Message

The answer to all questions is never unique and unchanging. Whether the market is going up or down, you cannot control it yourself. Only by keeping up with the pulse of the market can you avoid being eliminated. The market cannot always go up or down, and what is certain is that it will always go right. Risk is an objective, inevitable, and under certain conditions, it also has certain regularity, so we should pay more attention to risk control in operation.

　　本文由李胜溢供稿，本人解读世界经济要闻，剖析全球投资大趋势，对、黄金、白银等大宗商品等有深入的研究，以上内容属于个人建议，因网络发文有时效性，仅供参考，风险自担，转载请注明出处。李胜溢免费指导：国际现货黄金、沪金、沪银2012, US crude oilTDRecommendations for gold, silver, and crude oil operations, gold market, daily analysis of gold, latest strategies, and more-空单解套技巧等产品全方位分析