Fang Yuan said Jin:9.8黄金短线拉升1720，多空操作策略

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goldMarket trend analysis;

    Thursday(9month8day)进入欧市盘中，市场在欧洲央行决议前保持谨慎，欧银可能宣布有史以来最大规模加息，欧股小幅走高，美元高位徘徊，现货黄金在昨日涨幅的基础上盘整，等待今日美联储主席鲍威尔的关键讲话。


    本交易日重点关注美联储主席鲍威尔的讲话，关注欧洲央行利率决议、美国初请失业金人数变动，留意芝加哥联储主席埃文斯和明尼阿波利斯联储主席卡什卡利的讲话，留意俄乌地缘局势和俄欧能源博弈的相关消息。


    日内黄金上方暂时还是先关注1718-20短压带测试，预期现有承压，如果基本面出现利好，才能有突破的可能性，届时上方再关注1727-30压力带。日内下方关注1710-05昨日短压转换为的支撑，如果行情跌回其下，则昨日反弹将起不到带动作用，多头信心也势必受损，后期行情变数风险将再度放大。操作上，黄金主思路还是看偏弱回落完成第三波下跌趋势，但目前短线行情下跌意愿不是很强，且有反复动作，故日内可暂看区间震荡，以等待基本面做进一步的引导。


      Golden Operation Strategy:1710There are many nearby, defense1705Look1718-26

                             1726Nearby air, defense1731Look1719-14



crude oilMarket trend analysis;


    Thursday(9month8day)亚欧时段，美原油震荡反弹，目前交投于82.62dollar/桶附近，涨幅约1.6%，一方面是欧洲打算设置价格上限，俄罗斯方面威胁停止石油和天然气出口，令能源供给紧张的担忧升温，另一方面则是隔夜大跌后的调整需求，一些空头获利了结。不过，对全球央行激进加息可能会增加全球经济衰退的担忧情绪也笼罩市场，投资者担忧原油需求前景会受到负面影响，APIThe unexpected significant increase in crude oil inventory has also exacerbated demand concerns. In addition,EIAExpected increase in US crude oil production in the next year8410000 barrels/Japan has also suppressed oil prices. In the short term, there is still a risk of further decline.


    日线级别：震荡下跌；油价跌破8Monthly low point85.71Accelerated decline after key support, announcing technical aspects85.71-97.64The shock box is broken downwards,MACDDeadfork signal continuation,KDJDead cross operation, with a clear short-term bias towards bearish positions. From price calculations, the median oil price may be tested1month3The year-end low set by Japan74.27Nearby; Short term, overnight low point81.49Nearby80整数关口也还分别存在一定的支撑，进一步支撑在1month10Daily low point77.83Near.


    鉴于隔夜油价跌幅较大，而且油价尚未有效跌破1month24Daily low point81.90附近支撑，油价短线也存在震荡调整或者是温和反弹的机会，甚至是对85.71进行回踩确认，短线需要提防油价探底回升的可能性。初步阻力在日内高点82.95附近，油价隔夜破位后后的第一波反弹高点阻力在84.40Nearby,5Daily moving average resistance85.42附近，收复该位置前，中线偏向空头。日内需要关注昨日美盘第一波下跌之后的盘整位置，也就是83-83.5这一区域，这将是今日的重要阻力位置，日内操作思路上，反弹至此位置可先行做空，止损放在昨日美盘反弹高点84.3Above is sufficient.





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    In the market, there are3The famous saying of Zhili: firstly, the market fluctuates according to trends; secondly, history repeats itself; and thirdly, the market encompasses everything. The biggest enemy in the market is yourself. Believe in the power of the market, make orders based on trends, operate mechanically, and do not make orders based on emotions. The gold market is an open, fair, and just market. Only by defeating yourself can you defeat the market.


    This article is provided by Fang Yuan. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Fang Yuan said that Jin has an online solution, a loss recovery policy, and real-time one-on-one guidance on WeChat. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.