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Sheng Yi Lun Jin:9.27gold1726已短期见顶正将逐步打压,油破底延续

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  以下是胜溢技术剖析的几个观点,作为参考,也是十年以来,每日12小时以上盯盘、复盘所积累的技术经验总结,每天都会公开技术点,配合文字和视频解读,想学习的朋友,结合实际走势可以去对比参考;认可思路的可以参考操作,带好防守,风控第一;不认可的就当飘过就行;感谢大家的支持和关注;

  回顾昨日行情走势及出现的技术点:

Firstly,gold方面:昨日早间先直接急拉一波,触及1726一线,而此位置是上周五非农所推算的反弹终结点,每一波弱势下跌是75美金,对应反弹修正38美金,正刚好指向1726,同时短趋势通道上轨下移至1730下,因此判断它是最后的拉升,放弃回测多,而直接布局1720一线波段做空,今日到位了1690frontline;

  第二,白银方面:昨日同样指出日线10均线将短期拐点承压,提出18.45一线看跌压制,今日到位17.9frontline;

Interpretation of today's market analysis:

  第一,黄金日线级别:当前仍处于短期下降通道之内,昨日较长上影形态,表明10均线压制明确,反弹结束,短期再次展开第三轮弱势下跌,每一波幅度75美金,按此推算,这轮将指向1651一线,也就意味着失守1680关键支撑,将迎来加速30美金的砸盘;

  第二,黄金4小时级别:顶部长上影阳K线受压信号,之后连跌下滑,当前10均线和中轨成为反压,1707及上方建议反弹空为主;

  第三,黄金小时线级别:图中详细规划了这几日运行轨迹,当一波反弹修正38美金结束后,隔夜破位通道下跌,第二日早盘直接续跌,然后美盘后会出现一波持续反拉,突破日内风水岭高点,半夜再压制,第三日、第四日甚至第五个交易日会连接大幅抛售打压,这是8月末走势轨迹;那么,对应现在就需要知道,1690-1680仍有支撑,不宜去追空(刚好短周期macd也出现一定背离),耐心等美盘后一波拉升突破1704后,再择机高空下来,而选择的入场点先参考顶底阻力1707-08First line, followed by1715一线昨日美盘开跌口,一旦压制再下行,1680就很难阻挡,多次试探支撑力度会逐步较弱,破位则很容易加速下跌;

  黄金建议:1715下仍继续高空,波段看跌不变,目标1690-1680Defeat1680加速看1651; 激进的,美盘前可依托1690-1680区域上先短多试探;(仅供参考)

  白银方面:日线级别也是长上影受压信号,反弹先回补影线,关注10average18.35一线,小时线级别关注年均线承压,当前是18.45,拉高仍可以继续放空,白银区间内会有反复,不急于布局空,时间点也要至少等美盘后; proposal18.45-18.35下承压可继续反复空,后市支撑17.5、17.1、16.4;(仅供参考)

  crude oil方面:日线上周四大阴失守前期第一条趋势通道支撑后,上周五和本周一以及周二,连续三日都无法有效重回通道之上,也就是不能突破站稳89之上较远,就意味着短期还会打压破底,因此昨日也建议高空,早盘计划91下空,未给机会;当欧盘连跌下滑后,美盘初的拉升就是一个跟空的时机,刚好确认通道反压点87.8,今日试探了85frontline;

  今日早盘压制87续跌一波至85一线,此时小幅反弹,也不能急于空,按图中趋势阻力线所指引,压力可能还会反复试探87.6,风水岭是88一线,这里未站上之前,拉高继续空它;

  原油建议: 87.6下维持看跌为主,目标84.5、83Stable83-82准备反手波段干多;(仅供参考)

Sheng Yi's Message

The answer to all questions is never unique and unchanging. Whether the market is going up or down, you cannot control it yourself. Only by keeping up with the pulse of the market can you avoid being eliminated. The market cannot always go up or down, and what is certain is that it will always go right. Risk is an objective, inevitable, and under certain conditions, it also has certain regularity, so we should pay more attention to risk control in operation.

  本文由李胜溢供稿,本人解读世界经济要闻,剖析全球投资大趋势,对原油、黄金、白银等大宗商品等有深入的研究,以上内容属于个人建议,因网络发文有时效性,仅供参考,风险自担,转载请注明出处。

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