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——goldAnalysis——
国际金价一度上涨逾1%,但受制于美联储大幅加息前景,金价随后逐渐震荡下行,回吐日内多数上涨。美元指数逐渐震荡反弹转升。美联储主席鲍威尔此前在杰克逊霍尔全球央行年会上再度明确强调,控通胀是美联储的优先要务,哪怕不惜经济增长受阻。考虑到美联储激进鹰派姿态提振美元强势,金价维持任何上行走势可能会很困难。华尔街越来越一致认为,美联储将通过一系列激进加息来对抗通胀,从而引发经济衰退。政策制定者在6Month and7月连续75个基点加息,并表示将根据之后公布的经济数据,决定9月是否再次大幅加息。
黄金周二开盘在1709.61dollar/盎司,开盘后黄金出现了直接拉升走势,最高触及1726.22dollar/盎司遇阻回撤,金价逐步下破步步支撑,进一步给到1706水平徘徊。日线走势图上看,金价中阳拉升收复1700大关,灵动指标STO也开始由超卖区勾头向上修复运行,代表1680附近还是具有大量买盘支撑。四小时级别上看,黄金处于超卖阶段,且都是维持多次底背离状态,早已有反弹修复需求,只是当前不论是基本面还是技术面都偏向空头,空头趋势压制的极为严重,今日高开低走后金价再次考验支撑。综上所述鼎盛金师总结:黄金冲高回撤,再次考验底部支撑,后市操作上考虑高空低多策略,上方重点关注1715-1720USD resistance, lower support focus1700-1690USD support.
——crude oilAnalysis——
OPECLast week, member Saudi Arabia proposed the possibility of reducing production, which could coincide with an increase in Iran's supply if Iran and the West reach a nuclear agreement. The European Union has implemented oil sanctions against Russia, and the United States and Europe are discussing measures to set price caps. There are still hidden concerns about European energy supply, with multipleOPEC国家支持沙特减产稳定市场价格提议。原油价格近期走势比较纠结,震荡下行至85The low point was able to alleviate the decline, and this position was the expected support point, followed by a rebound and rebound97A high position represents a large amount of buying support. Unfortunately, the good times don't last long, the impact97After experiencing three consecutive yin drops, the position immediately fell back again86Nearby, the short-term long short competition is still fierce. However, the weekly pattern is still very clear, and the high volatility situation has been broken,92The position of the neckline is still clearly missed, and the Brin belt is running downwards with an opening,MA5—MA10The moving average is going down with a dead cross, so try to maintain a bearish and rebound mentality in operation. Now, you can86Bounce near Bo Xia.
Serve as an analyst and commentator for well-known financial channels such as "Golden Net" and "Globalforeign exchange》Professional contributors to several well-known financial forums such as "Huitong Net" and "Zhongjin Net", specializing in short, medium, and long term operations of gold, crude oil, and silver. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market. Suggestions are for reference only; This article is original by Dingsheng Jinshi, who carefully writes every analysis and conveys valuable investment concepts. If there is any similarity, it is purely plagiarism. Readers should be discerning and respect originality!
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