Yu Yue on Jin:9.6黄金早盘急涨，守低是关键，原油也是低点...

LatestgoldMarket trend analysis



       Federal ReserveFOMCpublish7月利率决议，如期加息75个基点。美联储主席鲍威尔在杰克逊霍尔央行行长会议上的讲话强调了降低通胀的必要性，支持了加息的前景，不排除在即将到来的9Raise interest rates again at the monthly meeting75个基点的可能性，全面粉碎了对更鸽派立场的希望。会议之后货币市场加大了对美联储9月更激进加息的押注，现在预计加息75个基点的可能性在70%左右。另外美联储梅斯特重申，她倾向于在2023年初将利率提高到4%以上，且不认为美联储明年会降息，使加息更为鹰派。美国8月非农就业报告显示更多美国人重返就业市场，就业人数增加了31.5万人，失业率升至3.7%。上个月工资涨幅有所放缓，平均时薪环比上涨0.3%, up from the same period last year5.2%，美联储正在尝试冷却通胀。　　



       美联储现在更加鹰派，而且不排除9Monthly interest rate increase75基点的倾向，导致黄金看空情绪骤增。一路跌跌不休，已经跌破1720支撑并加速下破1700大关，从而刷新低点至1688附近。空头趋势弱的不行，反弹甚是无力，可以说是从1765下跌以来就没有反弹过，都是一路连阴向下走，就连1700大关都如薄纸，毫无支撑可言。各位相信还记得非农前我曾说过“物极必反”的道理，太过强势就越容易反转，加之技术面都处于超卖阶段，且都是维持多次底背离状态。果不其然非农迎来了一波拉升，并且随后冲击了1718高位，成功收尾在1710之上，日内由阴转阳，结束了日线连阴下行格局。虽然非农夜多头扳回一局，但周线三连阴下行格局还是很弱。



　　昨日黄金市场受到美国假期影响行情小幅区间整理，早盘开盘在1712.1The market will first decline after the position is given1707.5The market fluctuated and rose after reaching its position, reaching its highest point on the daily chart1715.9After the position was sorted out, the daily line finally closed at1709.9的位置后行情以一根上影线稍长于下影线的纺锤形态收线，而这样的形态收尾后，今日的行情1709Multiple stop loss1704, look at the goal1720and1730压力破位的话看1737-1742.



Latestcrude oilMarket trend analysis



The US crude oil market opened yesterday at87.264The market will first decline after the position is given86.749The market fluctuated and rose after reaching its position, reaching its highest point on the daily chart90.167After the position was sorted out, the daily line finally closed at88.678的位置后行情以一根上影线很长的中阳线收线，而这样的形态收尾后，今日的行情87.7Multiple stop loss87.Target View89and90.2.Break the position to see91-91.5。



Analysis of the latest silver market trend



Yesterday, the silver market opened in the morning18.006The market will first decline after the position is given17.932The market fluctuated and rose after reaching its position, reaching its highest point on the daily chart18.25After the position was sorted out, the daily line finally closed at18.142的位置后行情以一根上影线较长的小阳线收线，而这样的形态收尾后，今日的行情18Multiple stop loss17.8.Target View18.25and18.5。