Li Shengyi9.2 ： The latest operation guide for analyzing the crude oil situation of the Golden Line in the evening.

The market is a big stage, not all stories can be told. People need a certain belief to motivate and restrain them. Peace comes after peace, and peace can be determined after peace. In the past, smiling without regrets is the only way to be beautiful;Game, smile in tears, just colorful; Success or failure, smiling in strength, is the most exciting! Due to reason and fate, we gather together in the world,There is reason and fate in the world; Every wave of market trends will be investigated by the market for its reasons,Those who understand will always become market winners. Don't always think that the market has let you down. In this market, no one lives easier than anyone, and simple trading is charming: often many market trends are like this. When you deliberately pursue them, they will run very fast. When you abandon superficial mundane thoughts, focus on strategy, planning, and every wave of market, some profits can be easily obtained.

　　goldTrend analysis:

　　目前黄金跌个不停，多个重要支撑失守，就连1700大关都已经失守，极限逼近1680前低位置。不论是基本面还是技术面都偏向空头，多头极不乐观了，并且空头还在进一步承压。日线在1808高位一路连阴下行，MA5—MA10均线死叉下行压制，布林带已经向下开口运行，MACD绿柱能延续放量。虽然隔日没有参与到入空队伍，但是九月还是开门红，连续布局的多单也是成功获利，欧盘布局的1700多成功抵达1708目标，可惜未等到1710入空位置；美盘布局的1693Duohe1689多也是成功低位反弹回升1700目标。按照目前这样的走势，反弹就是给空的机会，要闭眼去空，不要去看反弹有多强势，也不要看什么支撑点，顺势看空就行。今日亚欧盘重点关注1700大关，如若突破企稳那么多头就还要反弹希望，下方关注1680前低支撑即可，上方关注1710Nearby pressure.

Gold Strategy: Rebound1710Near empty, stop loss1715, Objective1702-1695；下方支撑1686Nearby, stop loss1680, Objective1695-1700

　　crude oilAnalysis of the latest market trend

Friday(9month2day)，国际油价上涨，因市场预计石油输出国组织及其合作伙伴(OPEC+)Will be on9month5日举行会议讨论减产。但全球增长疲软担忧继续限制涨幅。此外，西方对俄罗斯石油出口价格上限设置迫在眉睫。尽管最大产油国沙特阿拉伯表示供应仍然紧张，OPEC+本周下调需求前景，现在预测2022年需求将落后供应4010000 barrels/日；但根据基准情境，OPEC+estimate2023年市场供应将呈现缺口300000bucket/Day.OPEC+联合技术委员会表示，今年剩余时间和2023年市场将吃紧，并补充说初步数据显示，经合组织商业石油库存将在2022年剩余时间和2023年保持在五年平均水平下方。分析师表示：“我们预计OPEC+将保持产出目标不变。他们自己的数据显示，市场比预期更紧张。在对产出政策做出任何重大改变之前，他们可能还希望更清楚地了解伊朗产能。”市场也在关注西方国家即将对俄罗斯石油出口价格设置上限。预计七国集团(G7)财长将在周五确定计划，旨在削减莫斯科获得更多收入用以乌克兰战争，同时保持正常原油贸易，避免价格飙升。

　　原油从技术面来看，日线级别震荡下跌；MACDThere is a dead cross trend,KDJDead fork,5Daily moving average underpass10日均线结成死叉，油价回落至所有均线下方，油价短线偏向空头，继续关注8Monthly low point85.71附近支撑，若下破该支撑，则油价可能会跌向80Near the integer level,1month24Daily low point81.90附近支撑也存在一定的支撑。鉴于前三个交易日油价跌幅较大，目前油价在85.71附近获得支撑后并展开反弹，而且反弹速度较快，油价短线也存在进一步反弹调整的需求；上方初步阻力在90关口附近，在收复该位置前，后市仍偏向下行；重点关注10Daily moving average91.81附近阻力，若意外收复该位置，则削弱后市看空信号。日线上看，NYMEXCrude oil from97.66US dollar starts to decline(iii)Wave trend, downward support looking towards38.2%Target bit83.16USD.(iii)Waves are from123.68The downward trend of the US dollar opening((c))The sub waves of the waves.((c))浪隶属于自130.50Adjustment of USD opening4浪。小时图上看，油价在86.28-85.73美元区间获得支撑后反弹，并重新站上此前跌破的颈线位88.27美元，上方阻力看向89.64美元。综合来看，今日短线操作思路李胜溢建议以回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注90-91Frontline resistance, short-term focus below86-87Frontline support.

　　（以上仅供参考，行情变幻莫测具体以实盘操作为准，有兴趣的可以添加关注。欢迎讨论咨询）

Sheng Yi's Message

The answer to all questions is never unique and unchanging. Whether the market is going up or down, you cannot control it yourself. Only by keeping up with the pulse of the market can you avoid being eliminated. The market cannot always go up or down, and what is certain is that it will always go right. Risk is an objective, inevitable, and under certain conditions, it also has certain regularity, so we should pay more attention to risk control in operation.

　　本文由李胜溢供稿，本人解读世界经济要闻，剖析全球投资大趋势，对原油、黄金、白银等大宗商品等有深入的研究，以上内容属于个人建议，因网络发文有时效性，仅供参考，风险自担，转载请注明出处。