Yu Yue on Jin:9.2亚盘黄金白银走势分析和最新原油全面操作...

　　goldMarket trend analysis:



Federal ReserveFOMCpublish7月利率决议，如期加息75个基点。美联储昔日官员戴利采访时表示：不排除美联储在9monthFOMC会议上连续第三次加息75个基点，将密切关注8月非农和CPI数据。美联储主席鲍威尔在杰克逊霍尔央行行长会议上的讲话强调了降低通胀的必要性，支持了加息的前景，不排除在即将到来的9Raise interest rates again at the monthly meeting75个基点的可能性，全面粉碎了对更鸽派立场的希望。会议之后货币市场加大了对美联储9月更激进加息的押注，现在预计加息75个基点的可能性在70%左右。值得注意的是，本周起美联储缩表将“全速前进”，这会减少市场流动性，同样利好美元。另外美国公布的8monthADP就业数据为13.2万人，远不及预期，应是大幅利多，但黄金并无所动。另外美联储梅斯特重申，她倾向于在2023年初将利率提高到4%以上，且不认为美联储明年会降息，使加息更为鹰派。



　　美联储现在更加鹰派，而且不排除9Monthly interest rate increase75基点的倾向，导致黄金看空情绪骤增。目前黄金跌跌不休，已经跌破1720支撑迎来了加速下行，隔日一度跌破1700大关，空头进一步下跌至1688附近，低点再一次被刷新。局势上简直是若的不行，反弹甚是无力，可以说是从1765下跌以来就没有反弹过，都是一路连阴向下走，就连1700大关都如薄纸，毫无支撑可言。只能说空头势如破竹，太过强劲了！有句话是这么说的“物极必反”，太过强势就越容易反转，技术面都处于超卖阶段，且都是维持多次底背离状态，今日将迎来非农数据，就看黄金能否借助这个契机打响反攻站了。



　　目前黄金跌个不停，多个重要支撑失守，就连1700大关都已经失守，极限逼近1680前低位置。不论是基本面还是技术面都偏向空头，多头极不乐观了，并且空头还在进一步承压。日线在1808高位一路连阴下行，MA5—MA10均线死叉下行压制，布林带已经向下开口运行，MACD绿柱能延续放量。虽然隔日没有参与到入空队伍，但是九月还是开门红，连续布局的多单也是成功获利，欧盘布局的1700多成功抵达1708目标，可惜未等到1710入空位置；美盘布局的1693Duohe1689多也是成功低位反弹回升1700目标。按照目前这样的走势，反弹就是给空的机会，要闭眼去空，不要去看反弹有多强势，也不要看什么支撑点，顺势看空就行。今日亚欧盘重点关注1700大关，如若突破企稳那么多头就还要反弹希望，下方关注1680前低支撑即可，上方关注1710Nearby pressure.



　　9.2多空操作策略：



　　1710Near empty, stop loss1715, Objective1702-1695

　　1686Nearby, stop loss1680, Objective1695-1700



Analysis of silver market trend:



After a continuous decline, silver is currently under concentrated pressure19.3Region, which means rebound19.3Continue empty20The loss is good, and the early rebound channel is concentrated in the early stage of multiple orders17.5In terms of position, when encountering the opportunity to go long, compared to silver, due to its small size, it tends to follow the trend of gold more, which means that the industrial demand for silver in the later stage of economic recovery is greater than investment demand. When gold stabilizes at the same time, going long for silver leads to a greater increase in price. After a continuous decline, it is not advisable to chase short positions,17.5Just wait for the opportunity to go long nearby. correspondingTDDue to the instability of the exchange rate, there is no special emphasis on the point, and more attention should be paid to selecting opportunities and participating based on spot prices. Anyway, overall, it's better not to easily chase empty spaces.



　　crude oilMarket trend analysis:



　　原油昨晚跌至前低附近，日线收阴，和昨天一样，正常走势今天还是应该有新低出现。不过前低不破，也要防止行情再拉上去，日线阻力88.6附近，不破可以空一波。还有一个阻力昨天高点89.6，不破也可以小止损空，上破看90.5-91.8even to the extent that93附近。下方如果跌破昨天低点，再看1-2dollar.