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Dingsheng Jinshi:9.2今日黄金走势分析,黄金阴跌不止,空头将...

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——9.2goldAnalysis——


Golden Thursday(9month1day)fall drastically1700美元的关键心理关口,为六周来首次,因主要央行坚持对抗通胀的积极立场,抑制了对无收益黄金的需求。日内稍早公布的一项数据也表现强劲:美国至8month27Record of initial claims for unemployment benefits for the current week23.2Ten thousand people, for2022year6month25日当周以来新低。美国初请失业金人数连续第三周下降,降至两个月来最低水平,这表明尽管美国经济增长放缓,但就业需求依然健康。美市盘中,黄金持续走低,现货黄金失守1690Touching7月份以来的最低水平1688。


  从黄金目前来看,明显的底部还是依旧没能出来,底部信号目前也是没有出来。小时图目前是在走五浪下跌模式,从昨晚高点1723这里至今晚低点1688这里差不多就是处于第三浪了。那么我们这个时候一定要谨防黄金走第四浪的反弹,然后在走第五浪的下跌。根据波浪理论来分析,第四浪的反弹是不能超过第一浪的底部位置。目前一浪的底部在1710这里,所以接下来即使黄金反弹上了,只要是不破位1710这里,那么接下来黄金还会继续跌下来。


  所以,目前我不建议大家在1700下方追空,最好是等待反弹至1705-10区间我们在进场做空,防守止损1715,下方目标看向1680-85。


  ——crude oilMessage surface analysis——


Thursday(9month1day),国际油价跌至一周半新低,因为投资者担心全球央行大幅加息会减缓经济增长并削弱燃料需求,OPEC和美国产量都升至新冠大流行爆发初期以来的最高水平。调查显示,OPEC最近一个月产量达到296010000 barrels/日,而美国6月份产量增至118210000 barrels/日。两者都处于2020year4月以来的最高水平。但俄乌冲突爆发后,石油输出国组织及其合作伙伴(OPEC+)增产乏力,供应不足担忧引发石油市场波动。有消息人士称,OPEC+成员国产量不足,2022年石油市场供应量可能仅小幅增加4010000 barrels/日,远低于此前的预测水平。七国集团(G7)财长将在周五开会时讨论美国拜登政府的对俄石油价格上限设置提议。


  ——9.2Crude oil analysis——


  原油从日线级别来看,布林带有开口迹象,价格冲高回落,连续两日阴线使得价格再度重回布林中轨下方,价格再度走弱,目前来看,还不到抄底的时候。4小时,布林带开口向下,价格横盘于下轨附近,昨日美盘虽然冲高一波,但很快回吐了涨幅,价格走势还是偏弱一点,日内操作上以反弹高空为主,上方关注中轨附近阻力。另外,我们94的长线空继续持有即可,耐心等待破新低到82-80。综合来看,原油今日短线操作思路鼎盛金师建议以反弹高空为主,回踩做多为辅,上方短期重点关注88.5-89.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below84.0-83.5Frontline support.


Serve as an analyst and commentator for well-known financial channels such as "Golden Net" and "Globalforeign exchange》Professional contributors to several well-known financial forums such as "Huitong Net" and "Zhongjin Net", specializing in short, medium, and long term operations of gold, crude oil, and silver. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market. Suggestions are for reference only; This article is original by Dingsheng Jinshi, who carefully writes every analysis and conveys valuable investment concepts. If there is any similarity, it is purely plagiarism. Readers should be discerning and respect originality!

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