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本周关注哪些重点数据与事件会影响gold行情走势?
Thursday(9month1日)亚洲时段,现货黄金震荡下探,一度刷新7month22Since the low point of the day1701.90dollar/Ounces, continuing the overnight decline. Wednesday USAADP数据表现平平,一度在盘中给金价提供反弹机会,但克利夫兰联储主席梅斯特称,利率需在明年初前升到“略高于”4%,美联储明年不会降息,这进一步打压多头士气。
此外,市场对欧洲央行9Monthly interest rate increase75The expectation of basis points is further heating up, and the pressure for the Bank of England to raise interest rates is also increasing. Currently, the market expects the Bank of England to raise interest rates9Monthly interest rate hike50个基点,这使得持有不孳息资产黄金的机会成本不断上升,降低了黄金的吸引力、由于前所未有的通胀压力,各国央行将激进收紧政策,这对黄金不利,这一点越来越清楚了。
本交易日重点关注美国8monthISMmanufacturingPMI数据和美国初请失业金人数变动,留意市场对美国8月非农预期的变化,在非农预期恶化前,金价面临进一步下探风险,初步支撑在1700关口附近,强支撑在7Monthly low point1680.79附近。如果市场对美国就业增长放缓的预期升温,则有望给金价提供一些反弹机会。
——9.1Evening Gold Analysis——
从黄金走势整体来看,全球主要央行、尤其是美联储和欧洲央行9Monthly interest rate hike75The expectation of one basis point has significantly suppressed the gold price, followed by a strong US dollar to suppress the gold price. The gold price has initially fallen behind the daily level Bollinger offline track, and the Bollinger offline track has begun to open. The technical bearish signal has further increased, and the gold price tends to move downward along the Bollinger offline track in the future, which is expected to be further explored1680关口附近支撑。多头暂时主要希望在于未来美国就业数据的恶化,或者是地缘局势的升级,短线来看,这种可能性还比较小。
黄金目前在日线走势上继续维持着较好的震荡下行走势,在H4Current level trendKThe line is basically following the short-term moving average and is fluctuating downwards, with the current trend continuing to be weaker. Short term follow-up1710一带的压力关注日内是否会走出反弹确认之后的二次下跌走势。小时级别走势上目前也维持较好的空头发散走势。综上所述,今日黄金操作思路上鼎盛金师建议反弹做空为主,回调做多为辅,上方关注1716-1718USD resistance, follow below1700-1694Support,
参考一:黄金首次回踩1700-1695Nearby, stop loss1690, Objective1710-1720nearby
参考二:强势回踩1683-1686Nearby, stop loss1680, Objective1700
参考三:黄金首次触及1715-1720Near empty, stop loss1726, Objective1705-1700-1695nearby
——9.1eveningcrude oilAnalysis——
美油日内再度承压回落,欧盘时段跌幅扩大至87一线,走势虽然符合预期,但节奏上难以把控。晚间美油下方继续关注87一线争夺,如果再有跌破,下方86一线预期会起到非常关键的支撑作用。晚间上方则关注88.6-8Short voltage, and89.6附近压力。操作上,保守者还是暂时观望,有待美油进行技术性的巩固支撑,激进则尝试按照上述区间进行短线低多高空,可略侧重于短多。
Serve as an analyst and commentator for well-known financial channels such as "Golden Net" and "Globalforeign exchange》Professional contributors to several well-known financial forums such as "Huitong Net" and "Zhongjin Net", specializing in short, medium, and long term operations of gold, crude oil, and silver. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market. Suggestions are for reference only; This article is original by Dingsheng Jinshi, who carefully writes every analysis and conveys valuable investment concepts. If there is any similarity, it is purely plagiarism. Readers should be discerning and respect originality!
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