Li Shengyi8.26Analysis and Operation Guidelines for Gold and Crude Oil Market

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　　goldcrude oilLatest news:

News: Spot gold has fluctuated slightly and is currently trading in1754Near the US dollar. Although the US dollar saw a slight pullback on Thursday, helping gold prices continue to rise for three consecutive trading days, the upward trend was hindered on Thursday, and the closing still fell below the daily level of the Bollinger Line. Investors are generally concerned about the speech of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell at the Jackson Hole annual meeting in the evening, and market expectations are biased towards hawks. Investors need to be cautious of the risk of gold prices returning to their downward trend. Oil prices fell nearly on Thursday2.5%Affected by investors preparing for the possible return of sanctioned Iranian oil exports to the global market, and with Federal Reserve Chairman Powell speaking at the annual meeting of global central banks on Friday, the market is concerned that rising US interest rates will weaken fuel demand, and weak gasoline demand will also drag down oil prices.

Gold market analysis:

Technical aspect: Spot gold rebounded yesterday, but1765The US dollar level is facing resistance. On this trading day in the Asian session, spot gold turned lower, but the decline was not significant. from1From the hourly trend chart, the green momentum column continues weakly, while bears maintain a weak advantage. At present, the market needs to wait for the speech of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell. On Thursday, gold opened higher and continued to rise slowly unilaterally until the US market, with little opportunity for bullish trading. Prior to the US market, there was a clear signal of short-term pressure on gold to fall, but the subsequent decline was not long-lasting. The bullish candlestick above the daily line has ended, and this week has already begun3The trend of continuous bullishness has changed. From the daily cycle perspective, the overall trend of gold is still inclined towards a high level and a downward trend. The upward suppression is the mid daily track1770And daily line60Daily moving average1780Suppression. The golden daily trend closed with a smaller bullish trend, and the short-term trend was weak.4Hourly cycle prices are subject to1765-1770The pressure on the US dollar is obvious, and there is a high probability of a pullback within the day! In summary, in terms of gold trading strategy, Li Shengyi suggests that rebound short selling should be the main approach, with pullback long selling as a supplement, and short-term attention should be paid above1765-1780Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1750-1745Frontline support.

　　GOLDWatershed:1750dollar/ounce

Strategy reference: empty order suggestion1765-1760Entry and stop loss respectively5USD, target1740-1733Nearby; Multiple order suggestions1733-1740Entry and stop loss respectively5USD, target1758-1760nearby

Analysis of crude oil market:

Technical aspect: Daily crude oil level, rising before falling, stabilizing92.80On the first line, the market rose and regained lost ground at a high level, with a fluctuating rhythm. However, the overall trend is rebounding upwards, and the daily trend is stable with a reversal trend above the short-term moving average. Looking at the four hour trend chart,MACDThe golden fork diverges,KDJGolden cross divergence, expected to establish a bottom in the short term, with a focus on attention200Resistance level near the daily moving average95.69If the resistance level can be broken through, it will increase the bullish signal in the future. In the short term, it will8month3Daily high96.54、8month1Daily high98.60and55Daily moving average100.51There are also some obstacles nearby. Given that US crude oil has been rising for three consecutive days, short-term bearish momentum has been consumed, and there are certain rebound conditions, the intraday operation is no longer mainly bearish in a single direction. Instead, it is advisable to try short-term low long high-altitude operations within the range! Overall, in terms of short-term crude oil operations, Li Shengyi suggests a pullback and a long position as the main strategy! Short term focus above95.6-96.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below91.2-90.5Frontline support.

　　WTIWatershed:92.5dollar/bucket

Strategy reference: empty order suggestion96.0-96.5Entry and stop loss respectively0.4Points, target92.0-92.5Nearby. Multiple suggested crude oil orders92.0-92.5Entry and stop loss respectively0.4Points, target96.5-97.0nearby

Author's message:

The answer to all questions is never unique and unchanging. Whether the market is going up or down, you cannot control it yourself. Only by keeping up with the pulse of the market can you avoid being eliminated. The market cannot always go up or down, and what is certain is that it will always go right. Risk is an objective, inevitable, and under certain conditions, it also has certain regularity, so we should pay more attention to risk control in operation.

This article is contributed by Li Shengyi. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and have in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. The above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of posting Li Shengyi online, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source when reprinting.