陈嘉哲：黄金美盘市场行情分析及黄金走势分析解析

When you see this Chen Jiazhe chapter, I already understand that you are currently facing difficulties. First of all, Chen Jiazhe wants to make one point: being able to see my Chen Jiazhe chapter among millions of analysts is a fate. Since it is a fate, I hope to maintain it, find me, and communicate with me, So the dilemma you are currently facing may be just one of the many examples that Chen Jiazhe has seen since he became an analyst. Therefore, you can share all the problems you encounter with me, which not only allows you to learn more knowledge from me, but also to understand more principles. You can even continue to survive and make profits in this unpredictable market. Of course, you are currently continuously losing money, so you should ask yourself in your heart where the problem lies, or do you say that I lack a teacher who has a good understanding of myself? So I think as long as you carefully read this chapter by Chen Jiazhe, you will definitely gain something and seize a straw in the current predicament.

　　goldMessage interpretation:

Thursday(8month25day)The international gold price has reached a new high in a week1762.04dollar/盎司，受美元回落支撑。投资者等待美联储主席鲍威尔在杰克逊霍尔全球央行年会上就利率前景给出暗示。

Powell will be on Friday(8month26day)在杰克逊霍尔全球央行年会上发表讲话。全球金融市场投资者都在寻找美联储重申控通胀承诺或发出“转向”温和加息的信号。

BrokerGoldSilver CentralManaging DirectorBrian Lan表示：“美联储是否仍会不惜影响经济继续大幅提高利率，还是会放慢加息脚步……人们希望对此有明确了解。美联储货币政策前景将是黄金短期走势的关键决定因素，较高的利率会影响消费者行为。”

　　加息提升了非孳息资产黄金的持有成本，同时利好美元。自3Since the beginning of the month, the Federal Reserve has cumulatively raised the federal funds rate225A basis point to combat high inflation and indicate that further tightening of policies will depend on economic data.

The Federal Reserve7Raise interest rates again in the month75Basis points, its interest rate hike has surpassed the past40At the limit of the year, while the Federal Reserve expresses its determination to curb inflation, Federal Reserve decision-makers7月份会议纪要中首次承认有过度加息的风险，认为未来可能在某个时间点放缓加息，但没有明确何时放缓、何时结束。

　　毫无疑问，宏观面有证据表明，价格压力即将见顶，私营部门活动收缩让美联储有理由放慢加息速度。然而，通胀率仍保持在8%Above all, in order to tame the upward pressure on prices, the Fed's arduous water harvesting work is far from over.

　　因此，在全球能源危机、粮食危机若隐若现的背景下，供应端瓶颈导致美国乃至全球物价居高不下，全球主要经济体央行的主要任务依旧是遏制通胀。

Today's Focus:

　　14:00Germany Q2 not seasonally adjustedGDPAnnual rate final value

　　16:00Germany8monthIFOBusiness Prosperity Index

　　18:00britain8monthCBIRetail sales difference

　　19:30Announced by the European Central Bank7Monthly Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes

　　20:30From the United States to8month20Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week

　　20:30US Q2 ActualGDPRevised value of annualized quarterly rate

Technical analysis of gold:

　　黄金已在这个位置震荡了两天，昨天周三黄金继续延续它的震荡，我们也是以震荡的思路在1753Short to1744收获，在1743又反手做多再次收获，区间拦截是对震荡最好的方法，基本可以上下全部通吃，但是从时间和指标上来看黄金已没有震荡的空间和震荡的时间，因为周五美联储主席鲍威尔将在怀俄明州杰克逊霍尔的全球央行年会上发表讲话，再加之日线5Rihe10日均线已经靠近，这是下破信号，现在的黄金是属于大跌之后的底部修复，虽然近期一直在震荡，但是这样的震荡并没有改变周线的空头趋势，周线一直处于空头状态，陈嘉哲还是坚信震荡结束后向下突破的可能性更大，一旦下突破1730这波动力足以看1700附近，浪结果显示的大底也在1700附近，所以我们大趋势看跌短线看震荡。

　　黄金小区间我们重点关注1760-1730，如果反弹到1755-1760我们再次做空，止损后不在考虑1760多单拦截，这个位置一旦突破趋势将有所变动，目前我们在操作上下跌破位1740有机会我们也可以追空，上方1760突破也可以追多，突破任何一方都是震荡结束的信号，笔者预计黄金即将突破我们拭目以待。综上所述，今日黄金操作思路上陈嘉哲建议以反弹空为主，低多为辅，上方短期关注1760-1770Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1740-1730Frontline support.

Recommendations for Gold Operations

　　1：黄金反弹：1760-1765Short nearby, stop loss6Points, target1745-1750Nearby, break down and take a look1740-35First line (recommended for reference only!)

　　2：黄金回调：1740-1745Long nearby, stop loss6Points, target1755-1760Nearby, break down and take a look1765-70First line (recommended for reference only!)

Author's message:

The answer to all questions is never unique and unchanging. Whether the market is going up or down, you cannot control it yourself. Only by keeping up with the pulse of the market can you avoid being eliminated. The market cannot always go up or down, and what is certain is that it will always go right. Risk is an objective, inevitable, and under certain conditions, it also has certain regularity, so we should pay more attention to risk control in operation.

This article is contributed by Chen Jiazhe. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and provide insights intocrude oilWe have conducted in-depth research on commodities such as gold and silver. The above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publication of Chen Jiazhe, it is for reference only and at our own risk. Please indicate the source of the reprint.