Li Shengyi ：8.25 最新黄金原油操作指南

两个人的相遇是偶然亦是必然，在这茫茫文海中你看到我的文字，是偶然也是必然，两个人的相连必须要依靠一些什么，那这就是了。我没有单单止盈的水平，但有让你稳健赚钱的实力，我这里没有100%I have an accurate order making plan and no zero risk investment plan, but I have a detailed order making system (including basic knowledge, investment philosophy, order making skills, and order making skills) that makes money not just for the time being. Investment should be organized and systematic; Investment without rules and systems is destined to fail.

The most important thing about investing2Point: Firstly, it is necessary to understand the analysis of a market trend; The second is to understand risk control, and as an investor, one should have a good mentality and correct investment concepts; Positive people see an opportunity in every crisis, while negative people see some kind of crisis in every opportunity; Faced with volatile market conditions, we must seize every opportunity. Seizing an opportunity is equivalent to seizing tomorrow!

　　goldLatest market analysis:

Analysis of Gold News: Wednesday(8month24day)Spot gold has returned to pressure after a trading day, as the US dollar has strengthened again after hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials. But before Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech, both bulls and bears dare not act recklessly. Investors expect Powell to reveal any views on the future path of interest rate hikes. Announced overnight7New home sales in the United States fell to6The United States, which measures private sector business activity7monthMarkitcomprehensivePMIThe index has dropped to27The month low indicates that the Federal Reserve's efforts to control inflation are paying off, blocking long positions in the US dollar and easing the decline in gold prices. But most people expect that Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will arrive on Friday(8month26day)Continuing to make hawkish remarks at the Jackson Hole Global Central Bank Annual Meeting, further emphasizing the determination to fight inflation, the US dollar is expected to start a new upward trend.

　　美元升值，使得黄金对海外买家的吸引力下降。至少在短期内，黄金仍容易受到抛售的影响，而美元显然是黄金需要关注的一个因素。在鲍威尔周五在杰克逊霍尔经济政策研讨会上发表讲话前，市场有一些谨慎情绪，一旦讲话结束，投资者应该对黄金前景有更好的了解。虽然黄金被视为对冲通胀的工具，但利率上升不利于持有非孽息的黄金。投资者希望听到鲍威尔对通胀趋势的看法，而利率前景的任何**转变都可能提振金价。明尼阿波利斯联储主席卡什卡利是最新一位重申美联储将重点放在控制通胀之上的官员。美联储自3Since the beginning of the month, the indicator overnight interest rate has been raised cumulatively225One basis point to curb inflationary pressure and point out that further tightening policies will depend on economic data. In addition to Powell, investors will also pay attention to the release of the US second quarter gross domestic product later this week(GDP)Initial value and7Monthly consumer expenditure data.

Technical analysis of gold: Gold will first rebound within the day1743First line, then oscillate and rebound, then measure pressure1753/54On the front line, but the European session was affected by another abnormal rise in the US index, causing bullish gold to have concerns and leading to a reversal of intraday gains. Currently, it has returned to1755-1743Intermittent oscillation. From the performance of gold within the day, the continued rebound in the upward trend is a short-term technical need, but the momentum brought by it is not strong enough, and market confidence is also insufficient. Moreover, the current market sentiment is still dominated by the trend of the US dollar, making the gold trend exceptionally passive. If there is a slight wind or grass movement in the US dollar, the gold bulls will show a state of retreat, undoubtedly increasing the risk of short-term gold trends. Should we continue to follow below the golden bars in the evening1743-40The support band competition, if this position falls today, the market may continue to fluctuate in the next two days, waiting for Powell's speech on Friday evening. And if1743-40If it doesn't break tonight, the market will be relatively strong, and there will be a sustained rebound in the next two days, with pressure testing1760The possibility will also be magnified.

Gold4Hours for1807The high point experienced a wave of decline and is currently in the process of rebounding and correcting the wave shape. Yesterday, it touched the previous conversion to break through the low point for the first time1754There are slight signs of pressure, but whether it can turn down today is the key. After coordinating with rebound correction in the downward wave pattern, confirm the high point of the second wave, and if it is blocked and then breaks low, it will extend downward. Therefore, in the short term today, we need to compete1728-1730The gains and losses are the key to whether the two waves can continue, and only after breaking the low can they further expand and open up space.1The hour chart broke through yesterday's downward trend and rebound structure1750The downward trend line causes the small cycle to enter a correction of oscillation. The short line needs to be reoriented, which means4小时的波浪的转换选择。是构造下行波浪还是反转有待确认。趋势而言还是倾向于下行，目前的反弹当作是修正。综上所述，今日黄金操作思路上李胜溢建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期关注1765-1770Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1740-1735Frontline support.

　　8.25Golden Strategy:

　　1--1760-1765Empty, stop loss1770, Objective1755-1749

　　2--1745-1750Multiple, stop loss1740, Objective1750-1758
crude oilLatest market analysis:



Analysis of crude oil news: Thursday（8month25At the beginning of the Asian market, Meiyou is currently reporting95.26dollar/桶；油价周三上涨近2%，今年8月以来，油价一直在每桶100美元以下徘徊，原因是市场担心需求被破坏，担心欧洲和美国可能出现经济衰退，以及市场对亚洲经济增长的担忧。不过，一些分析师说，如果没有严重衰退导致全球石油需求下降，油价将在年底和2023年初上涨。大多数人指出，美国页岩油生产商和OPEC+的闲置产能非常有限，这是推动明年油价上涨的关键因素，即使全球需求增长低于当前预期。欧盟将于今年年底对俄罗斯海上石油进口实施禁运，预计这也将推高油价，因为贸易流量将不得不再次调整，就像俄罗斯入侵乌克兰头两个月所做的那样。如果伊朗和包括美国在内的世界大国达成伊朗核协议，可以在一年内每天向市场供应100万桶左右的原油。然而，就在本周，世界最大的原油出口国和OPEC最大的产油国沙特谈论油价，称OPEC+有“应对市场挑战的手段，包括随时以不同的形式削减产量”。此外，美国战略石油储备(SPR)将于今年10月到期。由于天然气价格异常高企，欧洲和亚洲的公用事业公司正从天然气发电转向燃油燃料发电，而SPR释放的结束可能会在冬季之前进一步收紧石油市场。经济增长放缓以及可能达成的伊朗核协议都在拉低油价。但天然气转石油、OPEC准备再次减产、全球闲置产能非常低、SPR释放结束以及美国页岩气的持续约束都对油价有利。



From a technical perspective, crude oil has bottomed out with daily fluctuations; Oil prices touched last week85.71Post shock rebound,MACDThe golden fork diverges,KDJThe golden fork diverges,5Daily moving average10The daily moving average has formed a golden cross, and the short term is expected to bottom out successfully. Pay attention to200Daily moving average95.69Nearby resistance, if it can be overcome, it will increase the bullish signal in the future, and the midline may even test upwards100Daily moving average103.83Nearby resistance. In the short term,8month3Daily high point96.54、8month1Daily high point98.60、55Daily moving average100.51There are also certain resistances nearby. Breaking through200Before the daily moving average, oil prices may still maintain a low and volatile trend. Below21The daily moving average support is currently at91.80Nearby,10The daily moving average is supported by90.64Nearby, then90Key support, if oil prices fall below this level, it will weaken the short-term bullish signal. Looking at the hourly chart,NYNEXOil price from86.29USD starts to riseiiiWave trend, rising and breaking138.2%Target bit94.51USD and is expected to rise further161.8%Target bit95.92USD.iiiWaves are from85.74The upward trend of the US dollar opening(i)浪的子浪。综合来看，原油今日短线操作思路上李胜溢建议以回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注97.5-98.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below93.0-92.5Frontline support.
李胜溢寄语：

成功交易者的第一个步骤就是诚实勇敢的自我剖析，评判每次交易的得与失。如果你想成为一个成功的交易者，第一步就是要做出最诚实勇敢的交易清算，评估自己交易中的每一笔的得与失。检验你的模式：亏损的交易中你做错了什么？盈利的交易中是什么在起作用？这些模式都有一个目的：认识自己。