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When you see this Chen Jiazhe chapter, I already understand that you are currently facing difficulties. First of all, Chen Jiazhe wants to make one point: being able to see my Chen Jiazhe chapter among millions of analysts is a fate. Since it is a fate, I hope to maintain it, find me, and communicate with me, So the dilemma you are currently facing may be just one of the many examples that Chen Jiazhe has seen since he became an analyst. Therefore, you can share all the problems you encounter with me, which not only allows you to learn more knowledge from me, but also to understand more principles. You can even continue to survive and make profits in this unpredictable market. Of course, you are currently continuously losing money, so you should ask yourself in your heart where the problem lies, or do you say that I lack a teacher who has a good understanding of myself? So I think as long as you carefully read this chapter by Chen Jiazhe, you will definitely gain something and seize a straw in the current predicament.
goldLatest market analysis:
Analysis of Gold News: Wednesday(8month24day)Spot gold has returned to pressure after a trading day, as the US dollar has strengthened again after hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials. But before Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech, both bulls and bears dare not act recklessly. Investors expect Powell to reveal any views on the future path of interest rate hikes. Announced overnight7New home sales in the United States fell to6The United States, which measures private sector business activity7monthMarkitcomprehensivePMIThe index has dropped to27The month low indicates that the Federal Reserve's efforts to control inflation are paying off, blocking long positions in the US dollar and easing the decline in gold prices. But most people expect that Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will arrive on Friday(8month26day)Continuing to make hawkish remarks at the Jackson Hole Global Central Bank Annual Meeting, further emphasizing the determination to fight inflation, the US dollar is expected to start a new upward trend.
The appreciation of the US dollar has reduced the attractiveness of gold to overseas buyers. At least in the short term, gold is still susceptible to the impact of selling, and the US dollar is clearly a factor that gold needs to pay attention to. Before Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Seminar on Friday, there was some cautious sentiment in the market, and once the speech is over, investors should have a better understanding of the outlook for gold. Although gold is seen as a tool to hedge against inflation, rising interest rates are not conducive to holding non interest bearing gold. Investors hope to hear Powell's views on inflation trends, and any dovish shift in interest rate prospects could boost gold prices. Minneapolis Fed Chairman Kashkali is the latest official to reiterate that the Fed will focus on controlling inflation. The Federal Reserve3Since the beginning of the month, the indicator overnight interest rate has been raised cumulatively225One basis point to curb inflationary pressure and point out that further tightening policies will depend on economic data. In addition to Powell, investors will also pay attention to the release of the US second quarter gross domestic product later this week(GDP)Initial value and7Monthly consumer expenditure data.
Technical analysis of gold: Gold will first rebound within the day1743First line, then oscillate and rebound, then measure pressure1753/54On the front line, but the European session was affected by another abnormal rise in the US index, causing bullish gold to have concerns and leading to a reversal of intraday gains. Currently, it has returned to1755-1743Intermittent oscillation. From the performance of gold within the day, the continued rebound in the upward trend is a short-term technical need, but the momentum brought by it is not strong enough, and market confidence is also insufficient. Moreover, the current market sentiment is still dominated by the trend of the US dollar, making the gold trend exceptionally passive. If there is a slight wind or grass movement in the US dollar, the gold bulls will show a state of retreat, undoubtedly increasing the risk of short-term gold trends. Should we continue to follow below the golden bars in the evening1743-40The support band competition, if this position falls today, the market may continue to fluctuate in the next two days, waiting for Powell's speech on Friday evening. And if1743-40If it doesn't break tonight, the market will be relatively strong, and there will be a sustained rebound in the next two days, with pressure testing1760The possibility will also be magnified.
Gold4Hours for1807The high point experienced a wave of decline and is currently in the process of rebounding and correcting the wave shape. Yesterday, it touched the previous conversion to break through the low point for the first time1754There are slight signs of pressure, but whether it can turn down today is the key. After coordinating with rebound correction in the downward wave pattern, confirm the high point of the second wave, and if it is blocked and then breaks low, it will extend downward. Therefore, in the short term today, we need to compete1728-1730The gains and losses are the key to whether the two waves can continue, and only after breaking the low can they further expand and open up space.1The hour chart broke through yesterday's downward trend and rebound structure1750The downward trend line causes the small cycle to enter a correction of oscillation. The short line needs to be reoriented, which means4小时的波浪的转换选择。是构造下行波浪还是反转有待确认。趋势而言还是倾向于下行,目前的反弹当作是修正。综上所述,今日黄金操作思路上陈嘉哲建议以反弹高空为主,回调做多为辅,上方短期关注1760-1765Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1740-1735Frontline support.
Author's message:
The answer to all questions is never unique and unchanging. Whether the market is going up or down, you cannot control it yourself. Only by keeping up with the pulse of the market can you avoid being eliminated. The market cannot always go up or down, and what is certain is that it will always go right. Risk is an objective, inevitable, and under certain conditions, it also has certain regularity, so we should pay more attention to risk control in operation.
This article is contributed by Chen Jiazhe. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and provide insights intocrude oilWe have conducted in-depth research on commodities such as gold and silver. The above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publication of Chen Jiazhe, it is for reference only and at our own risk. Please indicate the source of the reprint.
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