Fang Yuan said Jin:8.25今日黄金做多为主，原油走势分析及操作建...

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Analysis of Gold News: Wednesday（8month24During the Asian session, spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading in1746.22Nearby the US dollar, most of the overnight gains were temporarily held up. On Tuesday, due to US real estate data andPMIPoor data performance has brought the US dollar closer20The near annual high has fallen, and data from the eurozone and the UK have also heightened market concerns about global economic weakness. Geopolitical concerns have increased, providing some rebound momentum for gold prices. However, the market still generally expects Powell to deliver a hawkish speech this week, with current interest ratesfuturesdisplay9Monthly interest rate hike75The probability of a basis point increase and the rise in US bond yields have left gold prices under pressure below the mid range of the Bollinger Line, and there is still a certain risk of a decline in short-term gold prices. Overall, although the US dollar rose and fell on Tuesday9Monthly interest rate hike75Expectations of a basis point increase. Prior to Powell's speech on Friday, there is still a chance for the US dollar to further strengthen, and US bond yields have also risen to weeks of highs, which is also unfavorable for gold prices. There is still a risk of further decline in the future market for gold prices; Of course, it is also necessary to guard against the possibility of a sharp deterioration in the geopolitical situation between Russia and Ukraine. In the short term, gold prices may even have some rebound opportunities, and concerns about global economic recession may also limit the downward space of gold prices.



　　黄金技术面分析：黄金昨日持续低位震荡进行消化，且再度回踩1730Nearby support, influenced by US data in the evening, the US dollar significantly retreated, and gold also received support for a rebound. At one point, pressure was measured above1754On the first line, it was later repaired and shaken, and the daily line closed with a positive. From the perspective of daily structure, short-term gold has fallen to the expected lower edge of the range, and a rebound is also a technical need, although it closed positive yesterday,KThe line presents a negative to positive pattern, which is conducive to further rebound. However, the current rise of gold is not an autonomous upward trend in its own structure, and the pace of the trend has always been controlled by the US dollar. Therefore, the short-term momentum of gold's rise may not be very strong, so we will focus on it above10、20Daily line1765-70In the region, unless the market takes down this pressure, gold bulls may have a future. During the day, continue to focus on the lower edge support of the range1733-30The possibility of falling below is unlikely, but if the market returns to this test support again, it will undoubtedly increase the uncertainty risk of the short-term market.



The current trend of gold is a rebound from a low point and an upward trend, with a more obvious performance of stopping the decline and rising1754After a nearby pullback, the short-term force of the pullback is not very strong, and there is still a possibility of a second upward trend. Therefore, short-term pullback support is a key reference for the day, and pullback cannot go down. In the future, the rebound will rise, and the pullback force is relatively strong. Therefore, there is an expectation of further pullback. In terms of trend structure, the short-term structure rebounds from a low point, and after a series of negative and downward trends in the previous period, switches to a positive position, rebounds upwards, and the low point forms a directional shift, serving as a reference point for the day1740Above the main position, if a pullback cannot effectively break the level, then continue to long above the support level and look upward. If the break is following the trend. Overall, considering the short-term rebound and upward trend as the main trend, the support level for gold today has become1742If the intraday price drops directly to1742You can open a position to go long, and if it goes up directly to1757.5Area, then directly short and hold until1746.If1757.5Breakthrough, the next level of pressure is at1771.综上所述，黄金今日操作思路上建议以做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方重点关注1757-1762Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1730-1725Frontline support.



  Operational strategy: Gold1742Multiple, stop loss1734, Objective1768， rebound1757Short nearby, stop loss1763, look at the goal1745；

   crude oil

      今日亚盘油价窄幅震荡，距离隔夜创下的逾一周高位不远，对OPEC+可能减产的担忧依然给油价提供支撑，盖过了经济数据不佳和美元持续走强的影响，而且API原油库存大幅下降，提振原油需求预期，此外，市场对俄乌地缘局势可能加剧的担忧也给油价提供支撑。投资者还需留意核协议谈判的相关消息，如果伊朗与西方达成核协议，市场还将遭遇伊朗供应重返油市的考验；本交易日还需留意美国7月耐用品订单月率和美国EIACrude oil inventory series data.


      技术面看，原油日线图下降趋势运行，目前有筑底向上反弹的迹象，中期走势看超跌向上反弹；小时图上升趋势运行，目前仍维持创新高局面，预计短期继续反弹的可能性比较大。


   操作策略：原油在93Long nearby, stop loss92.5, Objective94.5/96.0


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