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Guide Metallographer:8.24黄金走势分析,疲软美国数据引爆黄金多头

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  goldMessage interpretation:


Tuesday(8month23day),由于美国方面接连公布的新屋销售以及制造业指数两项数据不佳,美元出现回落,现货黄金则小幅走高0.2%, closing at1,738美元附近。盘中一度从日内低点1730美元拉升了20多美元至1754USD level.


  近期美元的强势,迫使黄金出现了六连阴的下跌走势。美元新一波涨势的背后,与欧系货币的下挫有关。欧洲已经准备好迎接俄罗斯能源供应的新一轮中断。欧盟基准天然气价格一夜之间飙升13%,达到历史最高水平,仅一个月时间就上涨了一倍,比过去10年平均水平高出14倍。花旗银行的分析师警告说,如果能源价格不受控制,英国的通胀率可能会超过18%。“欧洲严峻的能源形势表明,通胀尚未见顶,如果央行不采取进一步积极行动,高通胀将持续更长时间的风险仍然存在。”而即使欧元区和英国加速并前置收缩周期,欧元和英榜国也不太可能持续走高,大幅加息也不太可能产生超出“膝跳式”反应的积极影响;相反,加速的前置收缩周期可能会加剧对两个地区和国家经济增长担忧和2023年出现政策逆转风险。因此,美元兑不断下跌的欧元和英镑汇率接近几十年来的高点也就不足为奇了。随着人们从风险较高的资产转向安全的美元,黄金必然面临压力。与此同时,美联储官员近期的强硬言论更是削弱了黄金的避险吸引力。现在的焦点转向本周晚些时候将在怀俄明州杰克逊霍尔召开的美联储研讨会。从此前一众美联储官员在利率方面发表的鹰派讲话来看,鲍威尔料在该次讨论会上不会发出偏鸽的声音。利率的上升将对继续黄金造成压力。此外,根据彭博社汇编的初步数据,投资者需求有所下降,ETF持有量连续第10周下降。全球最大的黄金交易所交易基金SPDR Gold Trust表示,周一其黄金持有量从上周五的989.01吨下降0.15%, to987.56Tons.


Today's Focus:


  20:30U.S.A7Monthly rate of durable goods orders


  22:00U.S.A7Monthly rate of contracted sales index for completed housing


Technical analysis of gold:


  黄金多头在昨天才有起色,这个是不错的状态,周二行情并没有延续周一下跌,价格盘中反复确认力度,开始拉升上涨,盘中一度给到1754位置,价格日线也是止跌反转收复行情,周二盘中布局短线思路做多也是获利了结仓位。价格的上涨日内继续关注压力位置1760,价格修正支撑点位1740Location.


  周三黄金上涨支撑点位1740是关键,价格昨天也是有给到1740的关键压力思路,价格1740昨天突破虽没有直接拉升,可最终的方向是可取也是相对可行,今天价格1740也是反转的支撑,日内回撤可看得失去考虑多头介入,上涨延续看涨1760位置即可,最近行情涨跌附近都是在25美金左右,价格日内行情基本就是如此,做多行情也是有限。


  黄金冲高回落收尾,最终结盘在1747美元一线,日线以一根上下影线很长的大阳线收线,这样的形态过后,黄金结束了连阴下跌的弱势格局,今天黄金开始做多,还有继续上涨的需求,今天黄金关注下方支撑在1734美元附近,回踩依托这里支撑以上继续做多,上方再看1753-1758美元得失,突破继续看涨1765-1770美元区域即可。今日黄金操作思路上指南金师建议低多看涨为主;下方关注1735Support for;


Recommendations for Gold Operations;


Suggestions1742Long nearby, stop loss1735, look at the goal1755; rebound1757Short nearby, stop loss1763, look at the goal1745


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