Dingsheng Jinshi:8.24今日黄金走势分析，多头背水一战，俄乌大...

——消息面——


Wednesday（8month24Daily SpotgoldNarrow volatility, currently trading at1745Nearby the US dollar, most of the overnight gains were temporarily held up. On Tuesday, due to US real estate data andPMIPoor data performance has brought the US dollar closer20The near annual high has fallen, and data from the eurozone and the UK have also heightened market concerns about global economic weakness. Geopolitical concerns have increased, providing some rebound momentum for gold prices. However, the market still generally expects Powell to deliver a hawkish speech this week, with current interest ratesfuturesdisplay9Monthly interest rate hike75个基点的概率有所上升，美债收益率上涨，令金价仍承压于布林线中轨下方，短线金价仍有一定的下跌风险。


　　整体来看，虽然美元周二冲高回落，但9Monthly interest rate hike75Expectations of a basis point increase. Prior to Powell's speech on Friday, there is still a chance for the US dollar to further strengthen, and US bond yields have also risen to weeks of highs, which is also unfavorable for gold prices. There is still a risk of further decline in the future market for gold prices; Of course, it is also necessary to guard against the possibility of a sharp deterioration in the geopolitical situation between Russia and Ukraine. In the short term, gold prices may even have some rebound opportunities, and concerns about global economic recession may also limit the downward space of gold prices.


　　——8.24今日黄金分析——


Gold continued to fluctuate at a low level yesterday for digestion and stepped back again1730Nearby support, influenced by US data in the evening, the US dollar significantly retreated, and gold also received support for a rebound. At one point, pressure was measured above1754On the first line, it was later repaired and shaken, and the daily line closed with a positive. From the perspective of daily structure, short-term gold has fallen to the expected lower edge of the range, and a rebound is also a technical need, although it closed positive yesterday,KThe line presents a negative to positive pattern, which is conducive to further rebound. However, the current rise of gold is not an autonomous upward trend in its own structure, and the pace of the trend has always been controlled by the US dollar. Therefore, the short-term momentum of gold's rise may not be very strong, so we will focus on it above10、20Daily line1765-70In the region, unless the market takes down this pressure, gold bulls may have a future. During the day, continue to focus on the lower edge support of the range1733-30The possibility of falling below is unlikely, but if the market returns to this test support again, it will undoubtedly increase the uncertainty risk of the short-term market.


The current trend of gold is a rebound from a low point and an upward trend, with a more obvious performance of stopping the decline and rising1754After a nearby pullback, the short-term force of the pullback is not very strong, and there is still a possibility of a second upward trend. Therefore, short-term pullback support is a key reference for the day, and pullback cannot go down. In the future, the rebound will rise, and the pullback force is relatively strong. Therefore, there is an expectation of further pullback. In terms of trend structure, the short-term structure rebounds from a low point, and after a series of negative and downward trends in the previous period, switches to a positive position, rebounds upwards, and the low point forms a directional shift, serving as a reference point for the day1740Above the main position, if a pullback cannot effectively break the level, then continue to long above the support level and look upward. If the break is following the trend. Overall, considering the short-term rebound and upward trend as the main trend, the support level for gold today has become1742If the intraday price drops directly to1742You can open a position to go long, and if it goes up directly to1757.5Area, then directly short and hold until1746。 If1757.5Breakthrough, the next level of pressure is at1771。那么今日黄金操作思路上鼎盛金师建议低多看涨为主；


　　——8.24黄金操作思路——


Suggestions1742Long nearby, stop loss1735, look at the goal1755; rebound1757Near dry, stop loss1763, look at the goal1747；


　　——8.24crude oilAnalysis——


Wednesday（8month24During the Asia Europe period, US crude oil fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading in93.71dollar/桶附近，距离隔夜创下的逾一周高位不远，对OPEC+可能减产的担忧依然给油价提供支撑，盖过了经济数据不佳和美元持续走强的影响，而且API原油库存大幅下降，提振原油需求预期，此外，市场对俄乌地缘局势可能加剧的担忧也给油价提供支撑；技术面看涨信号进一步增强，关注200Daily moving average95.69Nearby resistance.


　　不过，投资者还需留意核协议谈判的相关消息，如果伊朗与西方达成核协议，市场还将遭遇伊朗供应重返油市的考验；本交易日还需留意美国7月耐用品订单月率和美国EIACrude oil inventory series data.


　　原油近期连续低位震荡，周一沙特代表释放欧佩克+将调整产能计划，原油极限探底。低位震荡时间比较长，可能借助消息刺激打破震荡。昨日早盘破前期平台高点91一线，所以肯定要多，由于隔夜强势修正，回落幅度有限，所以看多就不能期待太大的回撤幅度，午后如期回撤90.5-6区域企稳上涨。昨日欧盘冲高承压92.1前高压制下方，但连续四五根线承压并未表现回落，那么形态上大概率会回踩蓄力突破，所以晚间回撤91.2加仓继续多。美盘原油冲高，同样凌晨高位横盘修正，回落幅度有限，依然强势表现，所以鼎盛金师今日原油看多依然不能期望太大回撤幅度，回撤幅度大反而容易走震荡，所以今日关注93.1附近去多看94.7-96.4。


　　原油策略：回调93Long nearby, stop loss91.8, Objective95.5。


Serve as an analyst and commentator for well-known financial channels such as "Golden Net" and "Globalforeign exchange》Professional contributors to several well-known financial forums such as "Huitong Net" and "Zhongjin Net", specializing in short, medium, and long term operations of gold, crude oil, and silver. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market. Suggestions are for reference only; This article is original by Dingsheng Jinshi, who carefully writes every analysis and conveys valuable investment concepts. If there is any similarity, it is purely plagiarism. Readers should be discerning and respect originality!