Guide Metallographer:8.24Analysis of today's gold trend

　　goldMessage interpretation:


　　高盛集团首席经济学家Jan Hatzius认为，美联储在连续两次加息75个基点后，加息的步伐将不再会这么快：我们的预期是，除非出现重大的出乎意料的数据，否则美联储9月加息的幅度将为50个基点。我认为鲍威尔不会在本周五具体说明这个数字，但我确实认为他会提及存在过度紧缩的风险，因此，将当前的大幅激进加息幅度放慢一些是有可能的。Hatzius并不是说鲍威尔会突然转向鸽派：他将明确表示控制通胀的工作尚未完成。通货膨胀太高了，美联储非常致力于将通胀率控制在2%的目标。但是Hatzius表示，美联储需要采取“平衡行动”，将利率提高到足以降低商品和服务价格的水平的同时，又不会将经济推入衰退：我们认为美国经济会软着陆，经济增速会放缓，但是在一两年后，通胀会低得多。


　　媒体援引多名OPEC消息人士透露，沙特在本周提出的潜在OPEC+减产可能并非迫在眉睫。OPEC+在即将于9month5日举行的会议上减产，可能为时过早。然而，如果伊朗与西方达成核协议，从而为石油市场带来更多产量，那么OPEC+的减产可能是必要的。有消息人士指出，OPEC+应该为伊朗石油在解除制裁后的出口做好准备。OPECstay8月中旬公布的最新月度报告中表示，全球经济普遍存在显著的下行风险，下调全球经济增速预期。OPECSince this year4月以来第三次下调年度全球石油需求预期，OPEC还认为，二季度石油供需接近平衡，预计三季度全球石油市场将进入供应过剩状态。OPEC的上述月度报告表明，该组织认为几乎没有超量增产的必要，进一步解释了OPEC+Why9月有点像“羞辱拜登”一样仅增产了1010000 barrels/日。财经金融博客ZerohedgeBelieving that,OPEC对油市转向供给过剩的结论，是在为未来进一步减产铺路。本周OPEC传递出的明确减产信号，与其两周前公布的月度报告相当吻合。


Today's Focus:


　　20:30U.S.A7Monthly rate of durable goods orders


　　22:00U.S.A7Monthly rate of contracted sales index for completed housing


Technical analysis of gold:


　　黄金多头在昨天才有起色，这个是不错的状态，周二行情并没有延续周一下跌，价格盘中反复确认力度，开始拉升上涨，盘中一度给到1754位置，价格日线也是止跌反转收复行情，周二盘中布局短线思路做多也是获利了结仓位。价格的上涨日内继续关注压力位置1760，价格修正支撑点位1740Location.


　　周三黄金上涨支撑点位1740是关键，价格昨天也是有给到1740的关键压力思路，价格1740昨天突破虽没有直接拉升，可最终的方向是可取也是相对可行，今天价格1740也是反转的支撑，日内回撤可看得失去考虑多头介入，上涨延续看涨1760位置即可，最近行情涨跌附近都是在25美金左右，价格日内行情基本就是如此，做多行情也是有限。


　　黄金冲高回落收尾，最终结盘在1747美元一线，日线以一根上下影线很长的大阳线收线，这样的形态过后，黄金结束了连阴下跌的弱势格局，今天黄金开始做多，还有继续上涨的需求，今天黄金关注下方支撑在1734美元附近，回踩依托这里支撑以上继续做多，上方再看1753-1758美元得失，突破继续看涨1765-1770美元区域即可。今日黄金操作思路上指南金师建议低多看涨为主；下方关注1735Support for;


Recommendations for Gold Operations;


Suggestions1742Long nearby, stop loss1735, look at the goal1755; rebound1757Short nearby, stop loss1763, look at the goal1745


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