Dingsheng Jinshi:8.24今日黄金走势分析，经济数据“惨不忍睹”...

【8.24goldAnalysis


　　8month24日亚市早盘，美元指数交投于108.53附近；盘中一度触及自7月以来的最高水平至109.27，但美国8月民间部门活动弱于预期，推动人们押注美联储在加息周期中可能不会那么激进；金价受到提振，结束六日连跌；之前公布的数据显示美国企业活动疲软，拖累美元和美国国债收益率下跌。8Private enterprise activities in the United States have shrunk for the second consecutive month, creating27个月最弱水平。数据显示企业活动严重萎缩，表明经济迅速转弱，引发了美联储可能不会那么激进的想法，这进一步支撑黄金。美元指数下跌0.5%，美国国债收益率下降，降低了持有黄金的机会成本，从而增强了黄金的吸引力。市场目前关注美联储主席鲍威尔周五在怀俄明州杰克森霍尔举行的全球央行年度会议上的讲话。若黄金价格跌穿1724美元，那么可能跌向1700美元。相反，如果金价回升至1752美元之上，可能会打开升向1770-1800美元的通道。


　　从日线结构上来看，短线黄金已经跌至预期的区间下沿位置，出现回弹也是技术上的需要，虽然昨日收阳，KThe line presents a negative to positive pattern, which is conducive to further rebound. However, the current rise of gold is not an autonomous upward trend in its own structure, and the pace of the trend has always been controlled by the US dollar. Therefore, the short-term momentum of gold's rise may not be very strong, so we will focus on it above10、20Daily line1765-70In the region, unless the market takes down this pressure, gold bulls may have a future. During the day, continue to focus on the lower edge support of the range1733-30The possibility of falling below is unlikely, but if the market returns to this test support again, it will undoubtedly increase the uncertainty risk of the short-term market.


Combining1、4小时图走势，日内黄金会先有一定的回修，一是对目前美元再有反弹的反应，二是对隔夜回升行情的消化巩固。日内下方关注1743-40一带争夺，如果此位不破，则整体结构相对偏强，如果跌破，则下方可能会再去回踩1735-33支撑。但日内黄金上涨动能可能不会很大，上方先关注1750附近争夺，站上则再看1760Nearby stress testing.


　　操作上，日内保守者选择暂观，规避一下当前市场可能面临转换的风险。激进则还是尝试以择低多为主，但空间预期不大，所以操作级别也要降低。


　　①日内激进可在回踩1743-40时再轻仓搏短多，有效跌回1740以下手动止损，目标看1750附近还是先减仓改保本止损，剩余持单可与隔夜已有多单遗留的一并带好保本止损继续持有，看1760附回弹预期。


　　②如果日内行情出现较大幅度回撤，跌回至1740下方，那么届时再看1735-33附近支撑争夺，根据实际情况再考虑能否参与短多。切记日内暂时不考虑任何空单参与，除非上方触及1765-70区域，可根据情况考虑短空。


　　【8.24crude oilAnalysis


　　原油周二博文提出看涨至94，经过一天的上涨，最高刚好在94.2附近，预测完全正确。目前收线在93.5附近，可以看到原油在85.5上涨以来，转势非常明显，大胆预测，这波原油可以看涨至100以上。在全球能源危机环境下，原油必将是稀缺产品，美虽然想利用美元和原油来控制，收割全球经济，但事与愿违，原油的利用价值越来越薄弱，即使是美高通胀的情况下，也难以打压原油的高价位事实。加上沙特，欧佩克和俄的高度合作，原油的价格受美元影响越来越小。因此，未来原油还有很大的上涨空间。长线继续看涨不变。日内，原油保持低多不变，看涨不追涨，支撑在93，92.2，等待欧盘回落多，美盘看涨可见97.5。


Serve as an analyst and commentator for well-known financial channels such as "Golden Net" and "Globalforeign exchange》Professional contributors to several well-known financial forums such as "Huitong Net" and "Zhongjin Net", specializing in short, medium, and long term operations of gold, crude oil, and silver. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market. Suggestions are for reference only; This article is original by Dingsheng Jinshi, who carefully writes every analysis and conveys valuable investment concepts. If there is any similarity, it is purely plagiarism. Readers should be discerning and respect originality!