Fang Yuan said Jin:8.24黄金原油走势分析及操作布局

　goldTrend analysis:



　　8month24日亚市早盘，美元指数交投于108.53附近；盘中一度触及自7月以来的最高水平至109.27，但美国8月民间部门活动弱于预期，推动人们押注美联储在加息周期中可能不会那么激进；金价受到提振，结束六日连跌；之前公布的数据显示美国企业活动疲软，拖累美元和美国国债收益率下跌。8Private enterprise activities in the United States have shrunk for the second consecutive month, creating27个月最弱水平。数据显示企业活动严重萎缩，表明经济迅速转弱，引发了美联储可能不会那么激进的想法，这进一步支撑黄金。美元指数下跌0.5%，美国国债收益率下降，降低了持有黄金的机会成本，从而增强了黄金的吸引力。市场目前关注美联储主席鲍威尔周五在怀俄明州杰克森霍尔举行的全球央行年度会议上的讲话。若黄金价格跌穿1724美元，那么可能跌向1700美元。相反，如果金价回升至1752美元之上，可能会打开升向1770-1800美元的通道。



　　黄金昨日下探回升收阳，日线转阳反弹修正，今日多空延续决定周内强弱，若是进一步反弹收盘在1754上方，短线则会形成反攻之势，反之今日能够快速转阴回落，则继续看下行，今天的收盘位置比较关键。



短线四小时图上针对1807The high point experienced a wave of decline and is currently in the process of rebounding and correcting the wave shape. Yesterday, it touched the previous conversion to break through the low point for the first time1754有轻微承压迹象。趋势而言，还是倾向于下行，目前的反弹当作是修正。日内操作先依托1764做空头防守，此位之下看空，突破再调整思路。


　黄金策略：1754点位附近空，止损保护正常设置五个点，目标7~15美金；多单在下方1735附近可介入；



　crude oilTrend analysis:



　　周二油价大涨近4%Previously, Saudi Arabia proposedOPEC+The idea of reducing production to support prices amid the prospect of Iranian crude oil returning to the market and declining US inventories. As of8month19During the current week, crude oil inventories decreased by approximately560Ten thousand barrels, gasoline inventory increased by about26.8Ten thousand barrels, distillate oil inventory increased by approximately110万桶。伊朗原油供应恢复的前景和经济衰退的担忧，以及美国原油存储中心连续录得周度库存增加，汽油需求的缓解和炼油厂维修季节的临近，推动了最近几周油价的走低，并为OPEC+定下了基调。本周沙特考虑的OPEC+The reduction in production may not be implemented immediately, and if Iran reaches a nuclear agreement with the West, the reduction may be synchronized with the return of Iranian oil to the market. A senior US official told Reuters on Monday that Iran has abandoned some of its main demands for restoring the agreement.



　　原油技术面，日线级别昨日延续收阳，价格突破企稳中轨，今日有望进一步走高，4小时图连续的下探启稳回升向上突破压力线，昨日在整理中蓄势走强，站上了92.0.下一阻力点在96.30-97.30一带。目前的短线形态相对偏反弹一些，小时图则是较强的整理放量上涨，昨日尾盘的回撤低点91.0成今日的多头防守点，日内短线先多后空，暂定先涨后跌的震荡。先在92.30-92.0附近短线多一次，上方接近97.0-97.20Backhand empty.



Crude Oil Strategy: Recommendations92.30-92.50Nearby, stop loss91.30, Objective94.30-95.30.【上方见97.0-97.20附近反手空一次】