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On Monday,goldfuturesfall0.8%newspaper1748.4dollar/盎司,白银期货下跌1%newspaper18.878dollar/盎司。美联储7月会议纪要中首次提及紧缩过度风险,认为通胀压力仍然广泛,关注需求下行对降通胀的作用。在压需求就是降通胀的主基调下,经济下行还不足以成为美联储后续加息的掣肘。贵金属后续可能更多受到包括全球央行年会在内的,美联储官员发言影响,及市场对美国软着陆预期升温的压制。不过,由于通胀总的来说已有缓解,加息预期最猛烈的时候接近过去,贵金属下方支撑亦较强,关注黄金1711dollar/盎司附近支撑。
原油最新行情分析:周二(8month23At the beginning of the Asian market, Meiyou is currently reporting91.11dollar/桶;当地时间22日,伊朗外交部发言人卡纳尼在新闻发布会上表示,截至目前,伊朗还未收到美国关于伊核协议维也纳会谈最终协议文本的答复,“当对方也给出答复时,我们才可以讨论谈判的成果。”美国国务院表示,现在比两周前更接近达成核协议。卡纳尼表示,美国的延迟回应,欧洲国家的不作为,以及美国和以色列部分政治团体试图施加的压力,这些因素不会阻挡伊朗前进。他指出,美国和欧洲比伊朗更需要相关谈判获得成果。白宫周日表示,美国、英国、法国和德国的领导人讨论了恢复2015年伊朗核协议的努力,这可能使受制裁的伊朗石油重返全球市场。总体来看,油价受到沙特关于OPEC+Boost from potential production reduction warnings, coupled withCPCPartial damage to the oil pipeline within Russia has led to a decrease in exports, resulting in strong oil prices,CPCPartial damage to the oil pipeline in Russia has led to a decrease in exports, causing a new blow to European energy supply and a decrease in US crude oil reserves35The lowest level in recent years may further highlight supply concerns, and oil prices may fluctuate and rise in the short term. The inventory situation still needs to be monitored as announced on WednesdayAPIandEIAIf further data shows a decrease in inventory, oil prices may be further boosted.
Technical analysis of crude oil: Crude oil staged a fierce roller coaster yesterday, with short-term repeated tugs of war91.0Falling under pressure on the first line86.23On the first line, the market regained its lost ground after a strong recovery in the late trading session, returning to the downside and closing at a high level, which is equivalent to a day of losses and recovering all the lost ground. The fluctuation base is large, and the sawing range is also relatively large, which is in line with yesterday's range. It's just a short ride out of the roller coaster. The daily trend once again bottomed down and rebounded at the closing cross, and the second bottoming and rebound enabled the short-term structure to break out of the double needle bottoming trend of bottoming and rebounding. The competition between long and short shows intense intensity. 4The hour chart is lowered to the lower track of Bollinger Road and stabilized before confirming the resistance of the downward channel through reverse pumping. The short line is in a sawing vibration and there is support underneath86.0-86.30.There is resistance on the trend line, and the short term is seeking breakthroughs. Yesterday's repeated tug of war also showed intense competition between the long and short sides. Currently, considering4小时布林道收口当中,日内短线暂时先在布林道上下轨之间做震荡,后市留意区间破位再决定方向的延续,未破之前,靠近上轨先空,靠近下轨短多,短线不排除来回拉锯持续的走法。综合来看,原油今日短线操作思路上李胜溢建议以回踩低多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期重点关注94.5-95.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below91.0-90.5Frontline support.