Analysis of the latest trend of spot gold international crude oil Operation suggestions

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Analysis of the latest gold market:

Analysis of Gold News: Monday（8month22日）现货黄金跌破1730dollar/盎司整数关口，日内跌超1%。现货黄金连续第六个交易日下跌，创7month27Recently, it has reached a new low1727.20美元，受制于美元重新走强以及美联储进一步加息预期。本周焦点集中在周末即将举行的杰克逊霍尔全球央行年会，美联储主席鲍威尔将在会上发表讲话。不少人认为，美联储政策从紧力度已经足以压制高通胀。他们还推测，美联储可能停止加息甚至降息。鲍威尔应该会对这些想法作出回击。

Federal Reserve9Third consecutive month75The possibility of raising interest rates by basis points is unlikely50%。一些美联储政策制定者此前发表评论，称由于通胀预期已见顶且经济衰退担忧加剧，美联储要放慢加息步伐，但圣路易斯联储主席布拉德倾向于再次加息75个基点，以更快地实现价格稳定。旧金山联储主席戴利也表示，现在宣布通胀胜利还为时过早，并表示加息50Basis points or75个基点都是合适的。所以接下来的加息对于黄金来说怎样都是利空的。周内将重点关注欧元区8monthMarkitmanufacturingPMIInitial value and8月消费者信心指数初值，美国7月季调后新屋销售年化总数，美国7月耐用品订单月率初值，美国截至8month20Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week, United States7monthPCE物价指数年率。事件方面需关注，明尼阿波利斯联储主席卡什卡利的讲话，欧洲央行7月货币政策会议纪要。重点则是杰克逊霍尔全球央行年会的举行，以及鲍威尔等官员在会议上的讲话。

　　黄金技术面分析：黄金从日线图上看，震荡下跌;MACDDead fork,KDJ死叉，金价失守布林线中轨和7month8Daily high point1752.36Nearby support,5日均线也下穿21日均线形成死叉，短线看空信号显著加强，后市偏向震荡跌向布林线下轨附近，目前布林线下轨支撑在1694.34附近，短线的话，7month22Daily high point1739.18附近还存在一些支撑，7month26The daily high is supported by1728.11Nearby, strong support on7month27Daily low point1711.38附近。上方留意布林线中轨1755.71附近阻力，在收复该位置前，后市偏向空头。若能收复该位置，则削弱短线看空信号;21Daily moving average resistance1766.00Nearby,10Daily moving average resistance1774.26Nearby, then8month16Resistance to daily highs1783.04附近，若意外收复该位置，则增加后市看涨信号。黄金1800美元遇阻回落，1745-1750美元一线直接跌破，空头强劲。跌破1750美元一线之后加速下行，支撑已是难以奏效，亚盘上方关注1742美元一线的阻力。综上所述，黄金今日操作思路上秦泽冉建议以反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期关注1748-1753Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1727-1722Frontline support. The article can only provide you with a temporary direction and ideas. As for the specific entry point and timing of settlement, please pay attention to Qin Zeran's firm offer and it will be provided in real time.

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

Analysis of crude oil news: Monday(8month22day)International oil prices have fallen nearly2%，因为投资者担心美国利率上涨将削弱全球经济增势并抑制燃料需求，而美元上涨也增加了大宗商品下行压力。与其他主要大型经济体央行相比，美联储被认为有更大的加息空间。分析师表示：“全球经济放缓担忧加剧是导致国际油价下跌的主要原因，而美元走高也给市场带来了新的卖压。”利率交易员目前预计，美联储9Third consecutive month75The possibility of raising interest rates by basis points is unlikely50%。但一些美联储政策制定者暗示，货币政策需要继续针对控通胀。里士满联储主席巴尔金上周五(8month19day)表示，美联储官员“还有很多时间”来决定9月政策会议上具体加息多少个基点。他指出，最新公布的数据显示，美国零售销售强劲、工业生产强于预期、企业招聘持续，表明自美联储7月会议以来，美国经济可能已经获得动力——而没有明确证据显示需求正在降温。欧盟和美国上周表示，他们正在研究伊朗就核协议恢复对欧盟“最终”提议给出的回应。

　　原油技术面分析：原油方面昙花一现的利空伊核谈判短时间难有气色，那么又将回归主流市场下半年能源需求旺盛，且供应不足的恶性循环中，所以趋势上油价短期内不会大跌了，高位循环震荡是必然。再观盘面上经历日线双底86企稳后多头反攻的力度未减，上方唯一的短线压制位92.5一旦突破极有可能还有高点，故而做单上顺势而为低多为主，关注88区域多，目标逐步看92-94一带，空单方面首次承压92.5可激进短空，稳健则可放弃。综合来看，原油今日短线操作思路上秦泽冉建议以回调做多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方短期重点关注94.0-95.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below88.9-88.4Frontline support.

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This article is originally contributed by Qin Zeran. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Due to the delay of network push, the above contents are personal suggestions. Since the network documents are timely, the suggestions are only for reference, and operational risk is borne by yourself! Reproduction and plagiarism without permission are strictly prohibited.