Guide Metallographer:8.22今日黄金走势分析，金价本周仍面临鹰言压力

Market Review:


InternationalgoldFriday(8month19day)Close down again, opening price1759.63dollar/Ounces, highest price1761.09dollar/Ounces, lowest price1745.59dollar/Ounces, closing price1748.93dollar/ounce.


　　今日消息面解读：


　　美联储官员巴尔金表示，支持“提前”加息。美联储必须抑制通货膨胀，即使这会导致经济衰退。美联储现在正在平衡对利率的迫切要求和对经济影响的不确定性。美联储将需要将利率调整到限制性的范围，但将从经济中获取关于利率需要有多高的信号。“还有很多时间”才能决定9月份加息的规模。7月份的通胀报告比较“好”，对它继续下降有一些希望。不可能有一个高通胀的强劲经济。通胀恢复正常并不需要经济活动出现“灾难性”下降。美联储致力于让通胀率回归2％的目标。但这不会立即发生。


　　分析称，虽然美国CPIfrom9.1%Descend to8.5%，但消费者仍显示出了历史水平的财务实力，以及历史最低的失业率。从表面上看，这些领域保持强劲对美国经济有利，但从通胀缓解的角度来看，这似乎更不利。正如美联储纪要所显示，汽油价格等下跌或在短期内降低通胀率，却几乎没有证据表明通胀压力正在普遍缓解。


American goodsfutures交易委员会数据显示，截至8month16日当周，投机者所持COMEX黄金净多头头寸减少6561手合约至46236Hand contract.


The world's largest goldETF--SPDR Gold TrustIncrease in position compared to the previous day3.18Tons, current position is989.01Tons.


This week's focus is on:


　　周二：法国、德国、欧元区、英国、美国PMI数据；美国新屋销售、里奇蒙德联储制造业指数；英国CBI工业订单差值；


　　周三：美国耐用品订单、成屋签约销售数据；德国出口物价指数月率；美联储卡什卡利讲话；


　　周四：美国、德国GDP数据；美国初请失业金人数；德国IFO商业景气指数；英国CBI零售销售差值；欧洲央行货币政策会议纪要；


　　周五：美国核心PCE物价指数、个人支出月率、密歇根大学消费者信心指数；德国Gfk消费者信心指数；杰克逊霍尔全球央行年会举行，为期三天，鲍威尔出席，拉加德、贝利缺席；


Technical analysis of gold:


　　黄金上周延续下跌收阴，日线形成四连阴。自1802一带压以来，一路回吐至1755低位，从最终量的结构来看，连阴小K线慢性震荡下跌，边整理修正边下跌的走法，由于指标暂时凌乱发散，没走出极弱的单边，而是亚欧盘长时间震荡修正，美盘再摔低且收低。昨日的空间从1772摔跌至1755.基本上是昨日的日评预期的区间，随着日线的连阴回落，短线仍会伴随弱势下探。而美元短线多头正劲。继续令金价承压，4小时图正处于下跌浪形延伸当中，慢性的下跌，下行通道比较明显。维持在布林道中轨附近承压反复摔出新低。这种比较鲜明的空头结构，1小时图则继续维持在小台阶震荡下跌当中，随着反弹高点的下降。高点由1786-1772.反弹力度在减弱，形成弱台阶震荡下跌，在台阶下跌行情中，注意的是目前黄金的回落力度已经明显减弱，能量出现多次背离，随时出现超跌反弹的情况。从黄金的结构上看，1680-1808这里的反弹A浪已经是一个阶段了。自1808回落以来进入了同级别的回落调整模式，也可以说是大区间震荡调整修复。综上所述，黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期关注1757-1762Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1735-1730Frontline support.


Operational strategy:1750-1752Air defense1760.50target1738-1730.落袋一半破位下看。


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