Li Shengyi8.19Analysis of the Latest Gold Trends and Suggestions for Gold Operations

goldMessage interpretation:





　　昨晚，美联储公布了7月货币政策会议纪要，会议纪要显示，与会者一致认为，加息的步伐和未来收紧货币的程度将取决于未来信息暗示的经济前景及其风险。随着货币政策的立场进一步收紧，可能将适合在某个时候放慢加息的步伐，同时评估政策的累积调整对经济活动和通胀的影响。一些与会委员表示，他们认为利率必须达到足够限制性的水平，并在一段时间内保持这一水平，以控制目前处于40年高位的通胀。





　　同时，美联储重申了关于未来应放慢紧缩步伐的说法，而且谈到了存在过度紧缩的风险，加息步伐取决于未来数据。要想让美联储缩减加息幅度，在下次会议前发布的通胀报告可能需要证实物价上涨的速度正在放缓。美联储7月政策会议后公布的数据显示，美7月消费者物价同比涨幅从6Of9.1%Slow down to8.5%，这一事实将为9Monthly interest rate increase50个基点提供理据。会议纪要可能会证实，美联储仍在积极收紧货币政策，以遏制通胀，不过，有关未来加息幅度的暗示，将是美元近期上行趋势能否延续的关键，这可能会对黄金走势产生重大影响。





Today's Focus:





　　09:30Australia7Unemployment rate after quarterly adjustment





　　14:00Switzerland7Monthly trade account





　　17:00eurozone7monthCPIAnnual rate final value and monthly rate





　　20:30From the United States to8month13Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week





　　20:30U.S.A8Monthly Philadelphia Federal Reserve Manufacturing Index





　　22:00U.S.A7Annualized total monthly housing sales





　　22:00U.S.A7Monthly leading indicator monthly rate of the Chamber of Commerce





The next day01:20Federal Reserve George delivers a speech on the outlook for the US economy





Technical analysis of gold:





Gold continued its decline and closed lower yesterday, with its highest rebound at1782.30Under pressure on the first line, hold on to the neck line of the low mouth, and the pressure will fall again to break through the low, breaking through1765to1759.80At a low level, the daily line touched the middle track of Bollinger Road and closed nearby. Today we still need to test the gains and losses of the medium track, and the current pace of the daily line is slightly slow and stagnant. Accompanied by a three consecutive negative pullback, it broke the previous weak upward pattern, but the space for pullback seems not too large, and it will be horizontal consolidation for a longer time.





　　4Houtu walked out of the head and shoulder top falling shape, falling below1783Continuously descending after the neckline. At present, a small-scale two wave decline has also been constructed, relying on1807Make one wave high point, while the small period two wave high points are1786.70.This is also the reason why we have been bearish below this level this week, as the critical point has not recovered and the short-term trend remains bearish. The hour chart shows a step like oscillation decline, but the pace is relatively slow. The step decline is characterized by a chronic oscillation. After sorting out the hour chart at the beginning of the week, the moving average indicator has turned downward, and the short-term thinking for the day relies on it1783Make a defensive rebound and bear short first, breaking the low point in the hourly chart1770-1772Forming resistance, today's upward pressure focuses on yesterday's US market opening and closing1773-1772Nearby, rely on this position to suppress the main air and continue to see the fall. The target position below is still focused on breaking the bottom, and the recent divide between the strength and weakness of the long air1780关口，日线级别收盘未站稳此位置之前，任何反弹都是做空机会，多单需谨慎，综上所述，今日黄金操作思路上李胜溢建议反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方关注1770-1773USD resistance, follow below1754-1750Support.





　　8.18Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:





Empty order strategy:





Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1770-1773Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1760-1755Nearby, break down and take a look1750frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)





Multiple order strategy:





Strategy 2: Gold Callback1752-1754Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1760-1765Nearby, break down and take a look1770frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)



本文作者为李胜溢、